Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Picks - September, 27, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Minnesota Twins face the Philadelphia Phillies with both teams on opposite ends of the standings to wrap up the season. The Twins are 69-90 and will end the season with the second-worst record in the American League. The Phillies are 94-65 and have already secured a bye in the postseason in the National League. Who will win this game? Check out our Twins vs Phillies prediction!
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Twins hope Abel and lineup step up
The Twins are wrapping up an awful season that will probably result in big changes in the offseason to come. Mick Abel is one of the young pitchers they hope will lead them next season and the 23-year-old starter looks to improve on what’s been a rough start to his career as he’s allowed 28 runs in 33 innings pitched. Moreover, with a .299 expected opponent Batting Average, a .516 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, and a 6.06 expected ERA, opponents are making hard contact and driving in runs at will against Abel.
Abel has struggled but the lineup has let the Twins down all season, scoring only 4.22 runs per game. Byron Buxton is slashing .265/.328/.551 with 34 home runs and 264 total bases while Luke Keaschall and Matt Wallner have added 26 home runs and 237 total bases but the rest of the lineup has struggled. Only four active batters have an OPS+ over 100 and opposing pitchers can easily eliminate the hapless lineup.
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Philadelphia hopes Suarez and the lineup end the season strong
The Phillies are wrapping up a great season and shaping up to be one of the favorites to win the World Series in October. Ranger Suarez will start the upcoming game and he looks to end a great season on a high note as he’s allowed only 54 runs in 153 innings pitched while tossing 147 strikeouts. Moreover, with a .353 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, a 30.8 Hard Hit Rate, and a 3.02 expected ERA, opponents are making weak contact and struggling to drive in runs against Suarez this season.
Suarez has been incredible while the lineup has also carried them, scoring 4.86 runs per game. Kyle Schwarber is slashing .245/.369/.573 with 56 home runs and 340 total bases, while Harrison Bader is slashing .314/.371/.479 with 81 total bases since he was added at the trade deadline (from the Twins, ironically enough) but the rest of the lineup has also been great. Bryce Harper is slashing .263/.357/.493 with 27 home runs and 242 total bases, while Brandon Marsh and Trea Turner have added 26 home runs and 434 total bases to round out the lineup.
Twins vs Phillies Prediction
Pick for Twins vs. Phillies
- Phillies (-140) (4 Units)
The Phillies are wrapping up a great season and look to take over this game from the first inning. The Phillies, who average 4.86 runs per game, should drive in runs at will with Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and the rest of the lineup making hard contact and crushing pitches. The Phillies should limit the Twins' lineup with Ranger Suarez pitching multiple scoreless innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with the lead. The Phillies should win the game with a strong performance at home.
Take the Phillies money line as home Favorites.
Over/Under Pick for Twins vs. Phillies
- Under 8.5 (5 Units)
The Phillies have one of their best pitchers on the mound and look to make this game a low-scoring one from the first pitch. The Twins should limit the Phillies' lineup with Mick Abel tossing multiple strong innings with minimal contact. The Phillies should eliminate the Twins lineup, which averages only 4.22 runs per game, with Ranger Suarez, who has allowed only 54 runs in 153 innings pitched, tossing multiple scoreless innings with minimal contact and a surplus of strikeouts. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both starting pitchers stepping up.
Take the Under on 8.5 runs.
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