Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions for Saturday, August 1st, 2026

The Minnesota Twins visit the Seattle Mariners on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Minnesota is 55-55 and sits third in the AL Central, three games behind the Chicago White Sox. The Twins have won four of their last five games after edging the Kansas City Royals 4-3 on Thursday. Seattle is 53-57 and sits third in the AL West, 2.5 games behind the Texas Rangers. The Mariners have dropped three of their last five games after a 6-2 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday. Cash in a winner with our free MLB picks.

Minnesota Twins Winning Four of Their Last Five Games

The Twins have been one of the better offensive clubs in the American League, batting .245 while scoring 518 runs with 906 hits, 127 home runs, a .319 on-base percentage, and a .405 slugging percentage. Byron Buxton leads the club with 25 home runs despite currently being on the injured list, while Josh Bell has driven in a team-high 63 runs. Brooks Lee has collected 94 hits with 15 home runs, Trevor Larnach is batting .287, and Ryan Jeffers has provided a .294 batting average with nine home runs. Minnesota has consistently received production throughout the lineup.

Minnesota's pitching staff has struggled at times, posting a 4.62 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .252. The Twins have recorded 906 strikeouts, but inconsistent starting pitching has made it difficult to string together long winning stretches. Connor Prielipp gets the start on Saturday.

Injuries: Garrett Acton (60-Day IL), Byron Buxton (10-Day IL), Mike Paredes (15-Day IL), Mick Abel (60-Day IL), Cole Sands (15-Day IL).

Seattle Mariners Looking to Bounce Back at Home

Seattle has battled through offensive inconsistency, batting .230 while scoring 440 runs with 838 hits, 129 home runs, a .309 on-base percentage, and a .379 slugging percentage. Randy Arozarena has led the Mariners with a .283 batting average and 106 hits, while Dominic Canzone has supplied 18 home runs and 49 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has added 16 home runs, Cole Young has contributed 13 long balls, and Luke Raley has hit 15 home runs. Seattle has relied heavily on timely power to generate offense.

The Mariners have stayed in the playoff race thanks to one of the American League's strongest pitching staffs. Seattle owns a 3.74 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP while holding opponents to a .241 batting average. The staff has totaled 937 strikeouts, and Logan Gilbert has remained one of the rotation's most dependable starters.

Injuries: Brendan Donovan (10-Day IL), Carlos Vargas (60-Day IL), Matt Brash (15-Day IL), Will Wilson (60-Day IL), Cooper Criswell (60-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

Minnesota Twins – Connor Prielipp

Prielipp is 3-5 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 72.1 innings. He has allowed 68 hits while striking out 76 batters and walking 26. His ability to generate strikeouts gives Minnesota a chance, but limiting hard contact will be important against Seattle.

Seattle Mariners – Logan Gilbert

Gilbert is 8-6 with a 3.44 ERA and an outstanding 0.99 WHIP across 125.2 innings. He has allowed only 98 hits while striking out 133 batters and issuing just 27 walks. Gilbert has consistently limited baserunners and has been Seattle's most reliable starter.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Game Pick

• Seattle Mariners

Seattle has the advantage with Logan Gilbert taking the mound. Gilbert owns a 3.44 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP, and 133 strikeouts in 125.2 innings, making him one of the most dependable starters in the American League. The Mariners also have a clear edge on the mound overall with a 3.74 team ERA compared to Minnesota's 4.62. Playing at T-Mobile Park with the stronger pitching staff makes Seattle the better play.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Over/Under Pick

• Under

Seattle's pitching staff has been one of the league's strongest, ranking near the top of the majors with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Logan Gilbert has consistently worked deep into games while limiting baserunners, and Minnesota's offense will also be without injured slugger Byron Buxton. Connor Prielipp has shown the ability to miss bats, and both clubs have enough pitching to keep scoring in check throughout this matchup.