Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Sunday, April 12th, 2026
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The Minnesota Twins (8-7, 9-6 RL, 8-7 O/U) and the Toronto Blue Jays (6-8, 4-10 RL, 7-7 O/U) conclude a three-game AL series on Sunday afternoon in downtown Toronto. The Twins are sending Taj Bradley to the rubber. The Blue Jays will counter with veteran Max Scherzer. The Blue Jays won last year’s season series 4-2, and this series is even at 1-1.
Can Max Scherzer record his second win of the season to end the series on Sunday? Check out the Twins vs. Blue Jays prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our MLB Picks!
Bradley Enjoys Dominant Start to Season
The Twins will have Taj Bradley on the mound to conclude the series. Bradley was in a groove in his recent outing, keeping Detroit to one run in 6.1 innings pitched, and was awarded his second win of the season. The young righty has been sharp, conceding either zero or one run in all three outings, leading to his dazzling 1.08 ERA, a 0.80 WHIP accompanied by a 2-0 record in 16.2 innings. Bradley has subpar numbers against Toronto, posting a 4.88 ERA and a 2-2 record in 24 innings. He did not pitch against them last season.
The Minnesota Twins are expected to be near the bottom of the standings, but have been competitive so far. They dropped two of three against Tampa Bay last weekend and rebounded with a series home win against the Tigers this week. Minnesota had a mammoth series at the dish, registering 20 runs and conceding 12 runs.
Josh Bell signed with Minnesota in the offseason and has been solid, bashing three home runs with 12 RBIs and a .935 OPS. The veteran slugger was quiet against the Blue Jays last season, going 1 for 10. Matt Wallner has also been hitting, netting three bombs with five RBIs.
Luke Keaschall has produced offense, driving in seven runs, but has a weak .517 OPS. Ryan Jeffers is a proven veteran hitter and has two home runs along with three RBIs. Austin Martin has issued an .830 OPS.
Minnesota is scoring an average of 4.57 runs per game, ranking them ninth. The pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, placing them 23rd in the bigs.
Scherzer Gets the Nod on Sunday
The Blue Jays are sending Max Scherzer to the rubber. Scherzer exited after conceding two runs in just two innings of work against the Dodgers last week due to a minor arm injury. The veteran was sharp in his season debut, keeping Colorado to one run in six innings pitched, and was credited with the win. Scherzer squandered four runs in six innings against Minnesota last season and is 10-2 with a 4.18 ERA in 118.1 career innings. Scherzer posted a weak 5.19 ERA and a decent 1.29 WHIP with the Blue Jays last season.
The Toronto Blue Jays were 3-0 to begin the season, but have been shaky since. They had dropped six games in a row, including a road sweep by the White Sox. They avoided a sweep by the Dodgers with a win on Thursday. The bats only scored seven runs in that series while squandering 21 runs. It’s been an easy schedule with only one series against a team that made the playoffs last year.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bit sluggish at the plate by his standards. The 27-year-old slugger has clubbed just one home run with five RBIs, but he has added a solid .783 OPS. Guerrero Jr. recorded four RBIs against the Twins last season and has one RBI in this series. Ernie Clement has the best season of his career in 2025 but has yet to find a groove, amassing four RBIs and a subpar.655 OPS. George Springer is one of many Jays hitters who have been kept in check. The 37-year-old has six RBIs but a .661 OPS.
Kazuma Okamoto was a big signing in the offseason. Okomoto was a big slugger in Japan. He has smashed two homers with three RBIs. Andres Gimenez leads the team with nine RBIs. Tyler Rogers is leaned on in the bullpen. He has yet to give up a run.
Toronto is posting an average of 3.92 runs on the year, marking them 21st. The pitching has been subpar, netting a 4.40 ERA, placing them 25th in the big leagues.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Pick
Spread Pick for Twins vs. Blue Jays
- Minnesota Twins -105 (5 units)
The Minnesota Twins are exceeding expectations so far. They just issued a four-game sweep against a good Tigers squad and are benefiting from timely hitting. The Toronto Blue Jays are out of sync to begin this season. They are having difficulty winning at home, where they have dropped six of their past nine games.
Furthermore, Twins pitcher Taj Bradley has been sharp, conceding either zero or one run in all three outings, including 6.1 innings against Detroit last week. Jays pitcher Max Scherzer gave up two runs in two innings against the Dodgers last week. The veteran ace is not the pitcher he once was, as seen in his 5.19 ERA last season. Go with Minnesota on Sunday.
Over/Under Pick for Twins vs. Blue Jays
- Over 8 (5 units)
I expect this one to have scoring. Minnesota is producing offense. They have scored 26 runs in their past five games, including a series against what is considered a stingy Tigers pitching staff. Max Scherzer squandered four runs in six innings in his only meeting against Minnesota last year.
In addition, Toronto is due to break out at the dish. They averaged 6.3 runs against the Twins last season. The Twins' bullpen can’t be trusted. They have registered a 5.23 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP on the season. Toronto scored 10 runs in the series opener. The over is a convincing 6-3 in the Twins’ past nine games.
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