MLB Best Bets Today – Tuesday, September 23 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 09/23/2025, 12:00 PM ET
Tarik Skubal looks to lead the Tigers over the Guardians
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We’ve built a solid 13-7-1 run over our last 21 MLB Best Bets, and the grind continues with another value-packed slate tonight. Three matchups have been circled, each backed by pitching analysis, offensive form, and matchup insights. The goal is simple—keep momentum rolling and keep stacking profits on the diamond.

Below, let's take a look at some of my favorite MLB picks for today, in best bets form.

Best Bet #1 - Cincinnati To Take Down Pittsburgh

Cincinnati over Pittsburgh is the sharper side in tonight’s NL Central matchup, with the Reds riding a five-game win streak and surging toward a Wild Card berth. Brady Singer gets the start for Cincinnati, bringing a solid 3.86 ERA and 15 quality starts into a favorable home spot against a Pirates lineup that ranks dead last in MLB in runs scored, slugging percentage, and home runs.

Johan Oviedo counters for Pittsburgh, but he’s posted a 5.93 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in three appearances against the Reds this season. With Cincinnati’s offense generating consistent run support and the bullpen holding strong, the Reds are well-positioned to control tempo and cash the moneyline at home.

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Best Bet #1

  • Cincinnati -153

Best Bet #2 - Skubal Gets The Tigers Back On Track

Detroit over Cleveland is a strong play in tonight’s AL Central showdown, with ace Tarik Skubal taking the mound in a spot where he’s dominated all season. Skubal enters with a 13–5 record, 2.23 ERA, and a staggering 233 strikeouts in 189.1 innings, including 22 innings of 1-run ball with 32 Ks against Cleveland this year. The Tigers’ offense has been more productive overall, ranking 9th in MLB with 743 runs scored, and they’ve slugged 193 home runs compared to Cleveland’s 162.

While Detroit has dropped nine of its last ten, they’ve consistently bounced back behind Skubal, who’s posted 20 quality starts and held opponents to a .200 batting average. Cleveland’s lineup, batting just .226 with a bottom-five slugging percentage, has struggled to generate consistent offense, and Gavin Williams—despite a solid ERA—faces a Tigers team that’s hit him well in past matchups. With playoff positioning on the line and Detroit’s ace on the hill, the Tigers are well-positioned to snap their skid and take control at Progressive Field.

Best Bet #2

  • Detroit -150

Best Bet #3 - A Pitcher's Duel In Wriggley Field

Under 7.5 in tonight’s Mets–Cubs matchup is a sharp play, driven by strong starting pitching and recent offensive stagnation on both sides. Cade Horton has emerged as a reliable arm for Chicago, posting a 2.66 ERA and holding opponents to a .220 batting average, while David Peterson has quietly delivered solid outings for the Mets, with a 3.98 ERA and 149 strikeouts over 167.1 innings. Both pitchers have shown the ability to work deep into games and limit hard contact, and they’ll benefit from cooler September conditions at Wrigley Field, which historically suppresses run production.

Offensively, the Cubs have scored just seven runs over their last four games, while the Mets have failed to reach five runs in five of their last six. With both bullpens rested and capable of closing out tight contests, this game profiles as a low-scoring duel—think 4–2 or 3–3 heading into the late innings. The Under 7.5 is well-supported by matchup data, recent form, and ballpark conditions.

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Best Bet #3

  • NY Mets/ Chicago Under 7.5

Recapping Today's MLB Best Bets

  • Cincinnati -153
  • Detroit -150
  • NY Mets/ Chicago Under 7.5

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