MLB Home Run Props: Top Dinger Picks for March 31, 2026
Use Code WWWC If you’re hunting for the best home run props today, Tuesday’s MLB slate offers several strong HR props backed by early-season form, matchup data, and power splits. With hitters starting to find their rhythm and pitchers still settling in, this is one of the best times to target value in home run props.
Below are three of the best home run props for March 31, 2026 that stand out based on matchup history, current form, and long ball upside. Be sure to checkout daily MLB prop bets every day at Winners and Whiners.
Best Home Run Props Today: Top Targets
When evaluating home run props today, the key is identifying hitters with both current momentum and favorable pitching matchups. These players check both boxes.
Yordan Alvarez +360
Yordan Alvarez is always one of the top names to consider in HR props, but this spot stands out even more given his early-season form. He already went deep on Monday, giving him two home runs in just five games. Alvarez is 6 for 18 to start the year, with half of those hits going for extra bases, showing he is locked in at the plate.
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The matchup against Brayan Bello adds even more upside. Alvarez has had success in limited opportunities, going 3 for 5 with a home run against Bello in his career. Bello has shown vulnerability to power hitters, especially left-handed bats with elite exit velocity like Alvarez. With his timing dialed in, this is a strong spot for another long ball.
Michael Busch +470
Michael Busch is off to a quiet start this season, but this is exactly the type of profile to target in home run props today. His underlying splits suggest positive regression is coming, especially in this matchup.
Last season, Busch crushed right-handed pitching, hitting 30 of his 34 home runs against righties while posting a .910 OPS. That makes this matchup against Jose Soriano particularly appealing. Pitching at Wrigley Field also adds some upside depending on conditions, and Busch has the power profile to take advantage of any mistake pitches.
This is a classic buy-low HR props angle where the market is pricing in slow early production instead of long-term power metrics.
Value HR Props With Strong Matchup Data
Some of the best home run props come from hitters who combine strong current form with proven success against a specific pitcher.
Jesus Sanchez +400
Jesus Sanchez has been one of the hottest hitters to start the 2026 season, going 4 for 9 with an eye-popping 1.361 OPS. When a hitter gets into this type of rhythm early in the year, it often translates into continued extra-base production.
The matchup against Ryan Feltner only strengthens his case. Sanchez has dominated this pitching matchup historically (albeit in a limited sample size), going 4 for 11 with two home runs in his career against Feltner. That level of success is exactly what bettors should look for when targeting HR props.
With both current form and strong head-to-head results working in his favor, Sanchez profiles as one of the best home run props on the board.
Roundup: Home Run Props for 3/31/26
Tuesday’s slate presents a strong mix of proven power hitters and value-driven HR props. Alvarez brings elite consistency and matchup success, Busch offers upside at a discounted number based on splits, and Sanchez combines red-hot form with strong historical data.
When betting home run props, focusing on early-season trends, pitcher vulnerabilities, and batter splits can create a real edge. These three stand out as some of the best home run props today and are worth consideration for anyone building a dinger card.
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