New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox Picks and Prediction for Saturday, August 22, 2026

The New York Mets visit the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. New York is 58-70, fifth in the NL East and 10 games behind the final NL Wild Card position. The Mets beat San Diego 4-2 in their latest game and have won four of their last five. Chicago is 66-61 and leads the AL Central by 3.5 games over Minnesota. The White Sox lost 2-0 to Atlanta in their most recent game and are 2-3 over their last five. Cash in on a big ticket with our free MLB picks.

New York Mets Look to Continue Strong Recent Form

New York has won four of its last five games, beating Washington twice and San Diego twice during that stretch. The Mets have scored 531 runs this season while batting .235 with a .307 on-base percentage and .388 slugging percentage. Bo Bichette leads New York with 134 hits and 64 RBI while batting .266. Carson Benge owns a team-high .272 average among qualified hitters and has added 15 home runs, 51 RBI and 18 stolen bases.

The Mets rank 25th in MLB in batting average, but recent results have improved despite scoring no more than five runs in any of their last five games. Francisco Lindor has 12 home runs in 71 games, while Francisco Alvarez has added 13. New York’s pitching staff ranks 14th in MLB with a 4.06 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and .237 opponent batting average. The Mets are 28-35 away from home and have a minus-42 run differential this season.

Injuries: Juan Soto (10-Day IL), Cionel Perez (15-Day IL), Mark Vientos (10-Day IL), Justin Hagenman (60-Day IL), Devin Williams (15-Day IL).

Chicago White Sox Look to Protect AL Central Lead

Chicago has dropped three of its last four after a 2-0 loss to Atlanta in its latest game. The White Sox have scored 605 runs this season, 74 more than New York, while hitting 167 home runs. Miguel Vargas has supplied 28 homers and a team-high 72 RBI, while Munetaka Murakami leads Chicago with 29 home runs and owns a .530 slugging percentage. Chase Meidroth is batting .273 with 123 hits and a .347 on-base percentage.

The White Sox rank 22nd in MLB with a .239 batting average but have a .319 on-base percentage and .411 slugging percentage. Chicago’s power gives the lineup another route to scoring, with Colson Montgomery adding 26 home runs and 71 RBI. The pitching staff ranks 15th in MLB with a 4.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP while holding opponents to a .238 average. Chicago has been considerably stronger at Rate Field, where the White Sox are 37-25 this season.

Injuries: Drew Thorpe (60-Day IL), Chris Murphy (15-Day IL), Ky Bush (60-Day IL), Davis Martin (15-Day IL), Jordan Leasure (60-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

New York Mets – Christian Scott

Scott is 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.29 WHIP across 84.2 innings. The right-hander has allowed 74 hits, 35 walks and eight home runs while striking out 105. Scott’s strikeout production has been a strength, with more than one strikeout per inning, while his eight home runs allowed show an ability to limit damaging contact.

Chicago White Sox – Luis Castillo

Castillo is 4-9 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.37 WHIP through 115.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed 122 hits, 36 walks and 19 home runs while recording 102 strikeouts. Castillo has worked more innings than Scott, but the 19 home runs and 122 hits allowed have contributed to an ERA approaching 5.00.

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox Game Pick

• New York Mets

New York gets the selection with Scott providing the stronger starting-pitching numbers and the Mets entering in better recent form. Scott has a 3.51 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 105 strikeouts across 84.2 innings, while Castillo owns a 4.99 ERA and has surrendered 19 home runs. Chicago’s 37-25 home record and stronger power numbers keep the matchup close, but the Mets have won four of their last five games. Scott’s ability to limit home runs makes New York the play for Saturday’s game.

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox Over/Under Pick

• Under

Recent scoring patterns point toward a lower-scoring matchup despite Chicago’s season-long power numbers. New York has scored 17 runs over its last five games, with none of those contests producing more than seven combined runs. Chicago was shut out 2-0 by Atlanta in its latest game and scored three or fewer in three of its last five. Scott’s 3.51 ERA and eight home runs allowed also support the pitching side. With Soto unavailable for New York, the under is the play Saturday.