New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, September 27, 2025
Use Code WWWC New York (82-77) will be trying to hang on to the final NL playoff spot when they visit LoanDepot Park on Saturday afternoon to face Miami (77-82) in the second game of their three-game series at 4:10 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Mets vs. Marlins prediction. Need some winners this baseball season? Check out our Free MLB Picks.
Sean Manaea, 2-4, 5.80 ERA, will get the start for the Mets. The Marlins will counter with Eury Perez, 7-5, 4.20 ERA.
Miami and New York split their last 10 meetings.
**This preview was written before Friday’s game was played.**
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New York Going For Second Consecutive Series Win
The Mets bounced back from their series loss to the Nationals with a series win over the Cubs. They are currently hanging on to the final NL wildcard spot, with a one-game lead over Cincinnati. They will try to keep the momentum going and secure a playoff spot with a win on Saturday.
New York averages 4.77 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. Their .250 batting average is 13th in the league. Their .326 on base percentage is sixth, as is their .429 slugging percentage.
Pete Alonso leads New York with a .271 batting average and 123 RBI, while Juan Soto leads the team with 43 home runs.
New York is giving up 4.43 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. Opponents have a .246 batting average against the Mets, which is 18th in the league. Their 4.04 ERA is also 18th, while their 1.33 WHIP is 24th.
In his last start, Manaea gave up four hits and three runs in three innings, leading to a 3-2 loss to Washington. He is 2-2 with a 5.33 ERA in five games against Miami.
Miami Going For Second Consecutive Home Series Win
The Marlins followed up their seven-game winning streak with two straight losses, which eliminated them from the NL wildcard race. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their second straight home series win, and prevent their rivals from clinching a playoff spot with a win on Saturday.
Miami averages 4.40 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Their .251 batting average is 10th in the league. Their .315 on base percentage is 18th, while their .394 slugging percentage is 20th.
Xavier Edwards leads Miami with a .279 batting average. Kyle Stowers leads the team with 25 home runs, while Otto Lopez leads the team with 77 RBI.
Miami is giving up 4.97 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. Opponents have a .249 batting average against the Marlins, which is 21st in the league. Their 4.64 ERA is 26th, while their 1.30 WHIP is 19th.
In his last start, Perez gave up two hits and no runs in four innings, leading to a 4-2 win over Texas.
Mets vs. Marlins Pick
Money Line Pick for Mets vs. Marlins
- Miami Marlins ML (4 Units)
The Marlins have won seven of their last nine games, while the Mets have lost three of their last five games. Miami has the edge here because they hit the ball well in recent games, and they’re going up against Manaea, who has struggled on the mound, especially on the road, where he gave up 11 runs in his last three starts. He also struggled in recent starts against the Marlins, giving up 10 runs in his last three starts against them, so expect the Marlins to play well offensively here.
New York won't be as successful offensively because they struggled offensively in recent road games, and they’re going up against Perez, who did a good job on the mound in recent starts, giving up three runs in his last three starts. With Miami’s bullpen also playing well in recent games, expect them to keep New York’s offense in check. Take Miami on the money line.
Over/.Under Pick for Mets vs. Marlins
- Under (4 Units)
The Marlins played under the total in four of their last five games. Miami averages 4.40runs per game and averaged 2.33 runs per game in their last three games. They’re batting .231 against left-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up 12 runs in his last three starts. The Mets average 4.77 runs per game and 4.58 runs per game on the road. They’re batting .255 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who didn’t give up a run in two of his last three starts. Don’t expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total.
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