New York Mets vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026

The New York Mets visit the New York Yankees on Saturday at Yankee Stadium, with the opening pitch scheduled for 1:35 PM ET on MLB.TV/MLB Network. The Mets are 68-78, fourth in the NL East, 17.5 games behind Atlanta and 10 games outside the final NL Wild Card spot. The Mets have won four straight. The Yankees are 84-62, second in the AL East, three games behind Tampa Bay and hold the top AL Wild Card position. New York has won three straight. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.

New York Mets Riding a Four-Game Winning Streak

The Mets have scored 35 runs during a three-game sweep at Miami, including a 15-14 win Wednesday. New York is batting .238 with a .309 on-base percentage, .394 slugging percentage and 181 home runs. Juan Soto has 24 homers with a .397 on-base percentage, while Bo Bichette leads the club with 151 hits and 73 RBI.

Carson Benge is batting .272 with 144 hits and 22 stolen bases, adding another steady bat to the lineup. Pitching has been less consistent, with the Mets posting a 4.19 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and .241 opponent batting average. New York has allowed 667 runs while scoring 627.

Injuries: Brett Baty is day-to-day. Cionel Perez and Devin Williams are on the 15-day IL. Jorge Polanco and Reed Garrett are on the 60-day IL.

New York Yankees Rolling After a Colorado Sweep

The Yankees swept Colorado while scoring 21 runs across three games, capped by a 10-3 victory Thursday. Ben Rice leads the lineup with 36 home runs, 88 RBI and 134 hits. Cody Bellinger is batting .266, while Aaron Judge has 17 homers and a .372 on-base percentage in 61 games.

Pitching remains a major strength for the Yankees. The staff owns a 3.20 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and .223 opponent batting average, with 1,313 strikeouts. New York has scored 667 runs, hit 199 home runs and allowed 533 runs, producing one of baseball’s strongest run differentials.

Injuries: Clarke Schmidt and Giancarlo Stanton are on the 60-day IL. Ryan Weathers and Fernando Cruz are on the 15-day IL. Trent Grisham is on the 10-day IL.

Pitching Matchup

New York Mets - Zac Thornton

Zac Thornton is 3-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.19 WHIP across 66.1 innings. The left-hander has allowed 64 hits and 15 walks while striking out 51. Thornton has surrendered 11 home runs, but his walk rate has helped limit baserunners.

New York Yankees - Gerrit Cole

Gerrit Cole is 8-8 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.09 WHIP through 111 innings. Cole has recorded 113 strikeouts against only 22 walks while allowing 99 hits and 17 home runs. His WHIP and strikeout-to-walk numbers have been strong.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Game Pick

• New York Yankees

The Yankees are the pick behind Cole and a pitching staff that has posted a 3.20 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and .223 opponent batting average. New York also has 199 home runs and has outscored opponents by 134 runs. The Mets have won four straight, but their staff owns a 4.19 ERA and they are only 34-38 away from home. Cole’s 1.09 WHIP and 113 strikeouts add another edge, while the Yankees have won three straight at Yankee Stadium this week.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Over/Under Pick

• Over

Recent scoring makes over the play in this New York matchup. The Mets have scored 35 runs across their last three games, including outputs of 15, seven, and nine against Miami. The Yankees answered with 21 runs during their three-game sweep of Colorado and have hit 199 home runs this season. Thornton has allowed 11 homers in 66.1 innings, while Cole has allowed 17 in 111. Both starters own solid ERAs, but the current production from these lineups supports a higher-scoring game Saturday.