New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 19, 2026
Use Code WWWC The New York Mets face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Sunday, July 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35 a.m. ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. New York enters at 41-57 overall and 20-29 away, while Philadelphia is 54-44 overall and 25-22 at home. The Mets won the opening game of the series 4-1 on Thursday, while the Phillies had won three of four games before that loss. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.
New York Looks for More Consistency
The New York Mets have struggled to build steady momentum, losing three of the last five games despite Thursday’s win in Philadelphia. New York scored four runs in the victory and held the Phillies to one run. New York is batting .233 with a .303 on-base percentage and a .382 slugging percentage. The Mets have scored 402 runs, collected 768 hits, and hit 115 home runs through 98 games. Juan Soto has been the best hitter in the lineup, batting .292 with a .412 on-base percentage, a .563 slugging percentage, 21 home runs, and 51 RBI. Bo Bichette leads the Mets with 97 hits, while Carson Benge has supplied a .263 average, 11 home runs, 37 RBI, and 16 stolen bases.
The Mets pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. New York pitchers have allowed opponents to bat .237 while recording 894 strikeouts and issuing 352 walks. The strikeout total is strong, but the walk total has created added baserunners for a staff that has already allowed 412 earned runs. New York has recorded only 17 saves, which puts more pressure on the starting rotation to work deep into games.
Injuries: Juan Soto, day-to-day. Luis Robert Jr., 60-day injured list. Dedniel Nunez, 60-day injured list. Clay Holmes, 60-day injured list. Austin Warren, 15-day injured list.
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Philadelphia Battling to Keep Pace with Atlanta
The Philadelphia Phillies remain in second place in the National League East with a 54-44 record, three games behind Atlanta. Philadelphia had won three of four before losing 4-1 to New York in the series opener. Philadelphia is batting .235 with a .302 on-base percentage and a .397 slugging percentage. The Phillies have scored 425 runs with 774 hits and 125 home runs, giving Philadelphia a small power edge over New York. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 32 home runs and 59 RBI while posting a .925 OPS. Bryce Harper has added 20 home runs, 57 RBI, and a .367 on-base percentage, while Brandon Marsh leads the team with a .297 average and 102 hits.
The Phillies pitching staff owns a 4.23 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP, numbers that are almost identical to New York’s season marks. Philadelphia has struck out 957 batters while issuing only 286 walks, giving the Phillies a clear edge in limiting free passes. The staff has also recorded 43 quality starts and 29 saves. Opponents are batting .255 against Philadelphia, however, which leaves room for the Mets to create scoring chances if New York can avoid empty at-bats.
Injuries: Lou Trivino, 15-day injured list. Tanner Banks, 15-day injured list. Brad Keller, 15-day injured list. Johan Rojas, 60-day injured list. Adolis Garcia, 60-day injured list.
Pitching Matchup
New York Mets - Nolan McLean
McLean is 6-6 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP across 107.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed only 81 hits and 10 home runs while striking out 125 batters and walking 39. McLean’s strikeout total and low hit rate give New York a strong starting pitching option against a Philadelphia lineup that has several dangerous power hitters.
Philadelphia Phillies - Alan Rangel
Rangel is 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 19.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed 18 hits and three home runs while recording 22 strikeouts and nine walks. Rangel has shown the ability to miss bats, but the higher WHIP gives New York a better chance to put runners on base and force Philadelphia into its bullpen earlier.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Game Pick
- New York Mets
The Mets are the straight-up pick based on the starting pitching matchup. McLean has the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and a much larger body of work than Rangel. New York also won the opening game of the series 4-1 and held Philadelphia’s top hitters in check. The Mets have not been the better team across the full season, but McLean’s 125 strikeouts, 1.12 WHIP, and 10 home runs allowed give New York the stronger starting point on Sunday.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Over/Under Pick
- Under
The under is the play because both projected starters have shown strong strikeout ability. McLean has struck out 125 hitters in 107.1 innings, while Rangel has recorded 22 strikeouts in only 19.1 innings. The opening game of the series produced five total runs, and Philadelphia has played recent games with final scores of 5-0, 4-2, and 1-0. New York has also scored two runs or fewer in three of the last five games, which supports another lower-scoring matchup.
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