New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction, Saturday, June 20, 2026

By: Mike Fink Published 06/20/2026, 05:15 AM ET
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction
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The New York Mets face the Philadelphia Phillies with both teams heading in opposite directions this season. The Mets are 34-41 and in last place in the National League East Division while the Phillies are 40-35 and in second place in the division. Who will win this game? Check out our Mets vs Phillies prediction! Get in on all the baseball action with our free MLB Predictions.

New York hopes Peralta and lineup improve

The Mets are having an awful season and hope to turn things around before the All-Star Break. Freddy Peralta will start the upcoming game and he looks to improve on what’s been a rough season as he’s allowed 38 runs in 83 innings pitched.

Peralta has struggled but the lineup has let the Mets down this season, scoring only 4.08 runs per game. Juan Soto has 17 home runs and 124 total bases while Marcus Semien has nine home runs and 98 total bases but the rest of the lineup has struggled. Only five batters have an OPS+ over 100 and opponents can limit the top-heavy batting order as a result.

Phillies hope Sanchez helps out struggling lineup

The Phillies have turned around their season, thanks in part to dominant starting pitching. Cristopher Sanchez is one of those pitchers who has been lights out as he’s allowing only 25 runs in 99 innings pitched while tossing 116 strikeouts. In addition, he’s only allowed seven runs in his last five starts.

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Sanchez has stepped up but the lineup has let the Phillies down this season, scoring only 4.11 runs per game. Kyle Schwarber has 25 home runs and 153 total bases while Bryce Harper has 15 homers and 123 total bases but the rest of the lineup has struggled. Only three batters have an OPS+ over 100 and opposing pitchers can eliminate the top-heavy lineup as a result.

Mets vs Phillies Pick

Money Line Pick For Mets vs Phillies

  • Phillies (-170) (4 units)

The Phillies have their ace on the mound and I see them taking over this game from the first inning. The Phillies should constantly plate baserunners against Freddy Peralta, who has allowed 38 runs in 83 innings pitched, with Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper making contact and putting together strong plate appearances to easily drive in runs. The Phillies should limit the Mets lineup with Cristopher Sanchez, who has allowed only 25 runs in 99 innings pitched, tossing multiple scoreless innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a comfortable lead. The Phillies should win the game with a dominant performance at home.

Take the Phillies money line as home Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Mets vs Phillies

  • Under 7.5 (5 units)

Both lineups have struggled and I see this game being a low-scoring one from the first pitch. The Mets should limit the Phillies lineup, which averages only 4.11 runs per game, with Freddy Peralta stepping up on the mound and tossing multiple strong innings. The Phillies should eliminate and potentially shut out the Mets, who average only 4.08 runs per game, with Cristopher Sanchez, who has allowed only seven runs in his last five starts, tossing multiple scoreless innings with minimal contact and a surplus of strikeouts. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both starting pitchers stepping up.

Take the Under on 7.5 runs

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