New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday June 1 2026
Use Code WWWC We have your New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners MLB prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Mets hit the road to face the Seattle Mariners.
New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners Pick
Best Moneyline Odds: Seattle Mariners (-125) or New York Mets (+125) via Polymarket.
Best Spread Odds: Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+170) via Caesars or New York Mets +1.0 (-125) via BetRivers.
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (+113) via Kalshi or Under 7.0 (+105) via Caesars.
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Game Info
Date: June 1, 2026
Time: 9:40 PM EDT
Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
TV: KIRO
New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners (31-29) enter this matchup as one of the hottest teams in baseball, currently riding a six-game winning streak and having won eight of their last ten. They sit atop the AL West and have been dominant at home with a 17-15 record. Seattle's pitching has been their calling card, ranking 2nd in the league in both home runs allowed (49) and strikeouts (551). Emerson Hancock takes the hill for the Mariners, bringing a strong 4-2 record and a 2.78 ERA. Hancock has been particularly efficient lately, coming off a win against Oakland where he threw six innings of shutout ball with a 0.50 WHIP.
The New York Mets (26-33) arrive in Seattle on a four-game winning streak of their own, looking to climb out of the bottom of the NL East. While their overall record has been disappointing, the Mets' offense has shown flashes of elite power, ranking 7th in the MLB with 76 home runs. They will send Austin Warren to the mound, who has been a revelation with a 1.40 ERA and 22 strikeouts over 19.1 innings. However, the Mets have struggled significantly on the road this season, posting a 11-18 record away from Citi Field. They will also be without star shortstop Francisco Lindor, who remains on the 10-day IL with a strained left calf.
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
The Mariners have held the upper hand in recent meetings, going 4-2 straight up in their last six games against the Mets. In 2025, the Mets managed to take two out of three games in a mid-August series, winning 7-3 and 3-1 after dropping the opener 11-9. Historically, the Mariners' pitching has found success against New York; for instance, Emerson Hancock has limited current Mets hitters to a combined .167 batting average in limited career plate appearances. Conversely, Austin Warren has struggled in his brief history against Seattle, posting a career 5.40 ERA against the Mariners roster.
Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline (-125)
The Mariners are the play here due to the combination of their current momentum and the Mets' road woes. Seattle is on a six-game tear and features a pitching staff that excels at generating strikeouts and limiting the long ball the Mets' primary source of offense. Emerson Hancock has been in elite form, maintaining a 1.01 WHIP and showing the ability to pitch deep into games. While Austin Warren has a sparkling ERA for the Mets, he has historically struggled against Seattle and faces a Mariners lineup led by Randy Arozarena (64 hits) and Julio Rodriguez that has been clicking during this win streak. With Seattle playing at home, where they are 17-15, and the Mets struggling at 11-18 on the road, the Mariners have the clear edge.
Emerson Hancock Over 4.5 Strikeouts
Hancock has been highly effective at missing bats recently, recording 63 strikeouts on the season with a 2.78 ERA. He faces a Mets lineup that, while powerful, ranks 10th in the league in strikeouts. In his last three starts, Hancock has shown consistency in his command, and given that the Mets are missing the contact-heavy bat of Francisco Lindor, Hancock should be able to navigate this lineup and clear a modest strikeout total. His 1.01 WHIP suggests he will keep runners off base, allowing him to pitch deeper into the game and rack up the necessary Ks.
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez has a perfect 1.000 batting average in his limited career history against Austin Warren (1-for-1). More importantly, Rodriguez has been a catalyst for the Mariners' six-game winning streak. The Mets' pitching staff, while sporting a good ERA, has a bullpen that has shown vulnerability, and Warrena's 1.19 WHIP indicates he allows enough baserunners for a hitter of Rodriguez's caliber to capitalize. At T-Mobile Park, Rodriguez often thrives on the energy of the home crowd, and his ability to hit for extra bases makes this a high-value prop.
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits
Since joining the Mets, Marcus Semien has been one of their most consistent offensive contributors, combining with Carson Benge for 98 hits this season. While Hancock has been tough, Semien is a veteran presence who excels at making adjustments. Semien leads the Mets' active roster in plate appearances against Hancock, and while he is hitless in six tries, his season-long form (.226 BA with 233 PA) suggests he is due for a breakthrough. In a game where the Mets will need to manufacture runs to stay competitive, look for their lead-off man to find a way on base.
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