New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 27, 2026
The New York Mets visit the Washington Nationals on Sunday at Nationals Park, with the opening pitch scheduled for 3:05 PM ET and televised on MLB.TV. This is the final regular-season game for both clubs. New York is 73-87, fifth in the NL East, and has been eliminated from playoff contention. The Mets lost 7-6 to Washington on Friday and are 4-6 over their last 10. Washington is 76-84, fourth in the division, and has also been eliminated. The Nationals beat New York on Friday for their third straight win and are 7-3 across their last 10 games. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.
New York Mets Trying to Finish on a Winning Note
New York has dropped two straight, with Friday’s 7-6 loss following a 3-1 defeat at Texas. Before those setbacks, the Mets beat the Rangers 7-2 and 6-3. Carson Benge leads New York with a .277 average and has 162 hits, 20 home runs, 64 RBI and 22 stolen bases. Juan Soto is batting .276 with a team-high 27 home runs, 68 RBI and a .395 on-base percentage. Bo Bichette has a team-best 164 hits and 78 RBI while batting .261 with 18 homers.
New York is batting .239 with 688 runs, 1,289 hits and 199 home runs, along with a .309 on-base percentage and .394 slugging percentage. The Mets rank 23rd in MLB batting and 16th in pitching. The staff has a 4.16 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and .240 opponent average, with 1,431 strikeouts against 548 walks. New York has scored 36 fewer runs than it has allowed this season. Defensively, the Mets have made 92 errors with a .983 fielding percentage and own a 37-42 road record.
Injuries: Christian Scott (out), Jared Young (out), Daniel Duarte (out), Robert Stock (out), Jorge Polanco (out).
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Washington Nationals Riding a Three-Game Winning Streak
Washington has won three straight, including Friday’s 7-6 victory against New York and road wins of 4-2 and 3-1 against Detroit. CJ Abrams has driven the Nationals’ offense with a .263 average, 33 home runs, 105 RBI, 150 hits and 34 stolen bases. James Wood is batting .265 with 30 homers, 77 RBI and a .389 on-base percentage. Daylen Lile has added 22 home runs and 89 RBI while scoring 81 times, and Jacob Young has 18 stolen bases.
The Nationals are batting .247 with 814 runs, 1,344 hits and 208 home runs while posting a .322 on-base percentage and .423 slugging percentage. Washington ranks 10th in MLB batting but 26th in pitching, where the staff has a 4.66 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and .253 opponent average. Nationals pitchers have issued 597 walks and recorded 1,266 strikeouts. Washington has scored 10 more runs than it has allowed. The defense has committed 104 errors with a .982 fielding percentage, while Washington is 38-41 at Nationals Park.
Injuries: Orlando Ribalta (out), PJ Poulin (out), Connelly Early (out), Matt Waldron (out), Drew Millas (out).
Pitching Matchup
New York Mets - Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea is 6-7 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across 144.2 innings. The left-hander has allowed 145 hits and 23 home runs while recording 141 strikeouts and 43 walks.
Washington Nationals - DJ Herz
DJ Herz is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP across four innings. The left-hander has allowed five hits and one home run while recording four strikeouts and two walks.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Game Pick
- Washington Nationals
Washington is the pick after winning three straight games and seven of its last 10, while New York has dropped two in a row. The Nationals have produced 814 runs with 208 home runs and a .423 slugging percentage, compared with 688 runs, 199 homers and a .394 slugging percentage for the Mets. Washington also has the hotter recent stretch and scored seven runs against New York on Friday. Manaea pitched far more than his opponent, but Washington’s season-long offensive production makes the Nationals the pick here.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Over/Under Pick
- Over
The play is over with Washington combining a productive offense and a pitching staff that has allowed plenty of scoring this season. The Nationals have scored 814 runs while allowing 804, and their staff owns a 4.66 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. New York has allowed 724 runs and carries a 4.16 team ERA. Friday’s meeting produced 13 runs, while Washington has scored 14 across its last three listed results. Herz’s 9.00 ERA across four innings adds another factor favoring a higher-scoring finale.
