New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction and Picks - Saturday, September 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC The New York Yankees face the Baltimore Orioles with both teams on opposite ends of the standings, to close out the season. The Yankees are 86-67 and are only a handful of games back of the best record in the American League East Division while the Orioles are 72-81 and have the worst record in the division. Who will win this game? Check out our Yankees vs Orioles prediction!
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Yankees hope Rodon and lineup step up
The Yankees are having a great season and hope a strong finish earns them a top seed in the postseason. Carlos Rodon will start the upcoming game, and he looks to wrap up a great season strong, as heβs allowed only 70 runs in 182 innings pitched while tossing 190 strikeouts. Moreover, with a .214 expected opponent Batting Average, a 29.8 Whiff Rate, and a 3.29 expected ERA, opponents are making minimal contact and struggling to drive in runs against Rodon this season.
Rodon has stepped up but the lineup is the best in baseball, scoring 5.24 runs per game. Aaron Judge is slashing .328/.453/.676 with 48 home runs and 344 total bases while Giancarlo Stanton is slashing .270/.340/.572 with 20 home runs and 127 total bases but the rest of the lineup has stepped up as well. Trent Grisham is slashing .238/.347/.474 with 33 home runs and 221 total bases while Ben Rice and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have added 52 home runs and 419 total bases to round out the lineup, making the Yankees tough to put away at the plate.
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Baltimore hopes Sugano and lineup improve
The Orioles are having a season to forget and will finish the season with the worst record in their division. Tomoyuki Sugano will start the upcoming game, and he is having an awful season, allowing 77 runs in 149 innings pitched. Moreover, with a .533 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, an 11.4 Barrel Percentage, and a 5.78 expected ERA, opponents are making hard contact and driving in runs at will against Sugano this season.
Sugano has struggled but the lineup has also been a letdown, scoring only 4.25 runs per game. Ryan OβHearn is slashing .283/.374/.463 with 13 home runs and 144 total bases while Gunnar Henderson is slashing .273/.347/.439 with 16 home runs and 239 total bases, but the rest of the batting order has struggled. Only three active batters have an OPS+ over 100, and opposing pitchers can limit the top-heavy lineup as a result.
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction
Money Line Pick for Yankees vs. Orioles
- Yankees -1.5 (+110) (4 Units)
The Yankees are eyeing the division title and look to take over this game from the first inning. The Yankees should drive in runs at will with Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and the rest of the lineup making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Yankees should limit the Orioles' lineup, which averages only 4.25 runs per game, with Carlos Rodon, who has allowed only 70 runs in 182 innings pitched, tossing multiple scoreless innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a comfortable lead. The Yankees should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on the road.
Over/Under Pick for Yankees vs. Orioles
- Over 9 (5 Units)
The Yankees are led by their lineup, and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the first pitch. The Orioles should constantly plate baserunners with Ryan OβHearn, Gunnar Henderson, and the rest of the lineup making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Yankees, who average 5.24 runs per game, should run up the score against Tomoyuki Sugano, who has allowed 77 runs in 149 innings pitched, with Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Ben Rice, and the rest of the lineup swinging for the fences and crushing pitches to circle the bases at will. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both lineups stepping up.
Take the Over on 9 runs.
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