New York Yankees vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction, Saturday, May 16, 2026

By: Mike Fink Published 05/16/2026, 04:40 AM ET
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The New York Yankees face the New York Mets, with both teams looking to improve in the standings. The Yankees are 27-17 and in second place in the American League East Division while the Mets are 18-25 and in last place in the National League East Division despite seven wins in their last 10 games. Who will win this game? Check out our Yankees vs Mets prediction and all of our other Free MLB Predictions!

Yankees hope lineup helps out Rodon

The Yankees are having a great season and look to return to first place following a strong weekend. Carlos Rodon will start the upcoming game, and he looks to improve on a rough start to the season as he’s allowed three runs in 4 innings pitched in his first start of the season.

Rodon has struggled but the lineup is one of the best in baseball, averaging 5.07 runs per game. Aaron Judge has 16 home runs and 97 total bases while Ben Rice and Paul Goldschmidt have added 17 homers and 122 total bases to round out the lineup.

Mets hope Peterson and lineup improve

The Mets are having a rough season, and their starting pitching is one of the reasons why. David Peterson has shown flashes but is having a rough go on the mound, allowing 28 runs in 39 innings pitched.

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Peterson has struggled but the lineup has let the Mets down, scoring only 3.74 runs per game. Juan Soto has five home runs and 45 total bases while Mark Vientos has six homers and 52 total bases but the rest of the lineup has struggled. Only four active batters have an OPS+ over 84, and opposing pitchers can eliminate the hapless batting order.

Yankees vs Mets Pick

Money Line Pick For Yankees vs Mets

  • Mets (-110) (4 units)

The Yankees are having a great season but the Mets have been great lately with seven wins in their last 10 games, and I see them taking over this one on the road. The Mets should constantly plate baserunners with Juan Soto and Mark Vientos making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Mets should limit the Yankees batting order with David Peterson stepping up on the mound and tossing multiple scoreless innings to hand the ball over to the bullpen with the lead. The Mets should win the game with a strong performance at home.

Take the Mets money line as home Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Yankees vs Mets

  • Over 8.5 (5 units)

Both starting pitchers have struggled, and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the first inning. The Yankees should drive in runs at will against David Peterson, who has allowed 28 runs in 39 innings pitched, with Aaron Judge, Ben Rice, and the rest of the batting order making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Mets should run up the score against Carlos Rodon, who allowed three runs in four innings, with Juan Soto, Mark Vientos, and the rest of the batting order swinging for the fences and crushing pitches to circle the bases at will. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both lineups stepping up.

Take the Over on 8.5 runs.

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