New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for AL Division Series Game 2, Sunday, October 5, 2025
Use Code WWWC The regular season is in the rearview mirror, and the postseason brings a clash between AL East rivals as the New York Yankees take on the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of their best-of-five AL Division Series Sunday afternoon and we have you covered with our Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction. New York advanced as they blanked Boston 4-0 in the decisive third game of their AL Wild Card Series at home Thursday night. Toronto capped a three-game home sweep of the Rays to end the regular season as they rolled to a 13-4 win Sunday. Which team heads to the Big Apple riding the momentum of a win here? This article was published before the conclusion of Game 1 at Rogers Center on Saturday afternoon. Read more about this Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction! Don’t go down on strikes! Increase your bankroll with our MLB Betting Picks!
Yankees Looking to Head Home With Momentum
New York managed to oust Boston by taking the decisive Game 3, winning two straight after dropping the opening game of the set. The Yankees now head north of the border and look to draw first blood in the set with a road win here. Against Boston Thursday night, New York finished with eight hits as Jazz Chisholm Jr. (run) was the lone player with two. The Yankees went three of 11 with runners in scoring position and left seven men on base in the game. A four-run fourth inning provided all the offense in the contest. Cam Schlittler (1-0) earned the win in his postseason debut. He tossed eight scoreless innings, allowing five hits with no walks and 12 strikeouts, before departing. The Yankees made just one roster change from the wild card round, adding Game 1 starter Luis Gil and removing reliever Mark Leiter Jr. from the mix.
Max Fried gets the ball for the Yankees as he logs his second start of the postseason in this contest, following 32 regular-season outings. He was 19-5 with a 2.86 ERA, a 1.101 WHIP, 51 walks and 189 strikeouts over 195.1 innings of work on the year. In the postseason, he has no record with a 0.00 ERA, a 1.105 WHIP, three walks and six strikeouts over 6.1 innings. Fried didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Red Sox at home in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series Tuesday night. He threw 6.1 innings, allowing no runs on four hits with three walks and six strikeouts in a game the Yankees went on to drop 3-1. In his last three starts, Fried has a 2-0 record with a 0.44 ERA, a 0.84 WHIP, six walks, and 26 strikeouts over 20.1 innings of work. Fried makes his eighth career start against the Blue Jays in this contest. He is 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 1.038 WHIP, 14 walks and 27 strikeouts over 43.1 innings of work against them. Fried is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA, a 1.235 WHIP, five walks and five strikeouts over 11.1 innings of work in two career starts at Rogers Centre.
Toronto Hoping to Maintain Regular Season Success at Home vs. Bronx Bombers
Toronto closed the regular season with four straight wins, sweeping the Rays last weekend to head to the postseason with momentum. The Blue Jays finished the regular season 94-68 and were tied with the Yankees for the top spot in the AL East. Since they won the head-to-head series, that gave them the division title and the bye. Against Tampa Bay, Toronto banged out 15 hits as Alejandro Kirk (two runs, six RBI) and George Springer (two runs, two RBI) each had three to lead the way. Kirk (his 14th and 15th) went deep twice in the win, while Addison Barger (his 21st) and Springer (his 32nd) also went deep in the win. Kevin Gausman threw 3.2 innings, allowing four runs on eight hits with two walks and five strikeouts, but didn’t factor in the decision. Mason Fluharty (5-2) threw 1.1 scoreless innings of relief, allowing no hits or walks while striking out two, to earn the win. Toronto’s Division Series roster has some big names missing as Bo Bichette (knee) along with starting pitchers Max Scherzer (arm fatigue) and Chris Bassitt (back) aren’t in the mix.
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With three starting pitchers missing, the Blue Jays hand the ball to rookie Trey Yesavage, who made only three major league starts, in this contest. He was 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA, a 1.429 WHIP, seven walks and 16 strikeouts over 14 innings of work. Yesavage earned the win in his last start, which came September 27 at home against the Rays. He threw five innings, allowing no runs on five hits with two walks and five strikeouts in a 5-1 Blue Jays win. In what amounts to his fourth major league start, Yesavage pitches against the Yankees for the first time. This marks his second career start at Rogers Centre, with his start against Tampa Bay on September 27 his only previous outing at the park. That makes Yesavage 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, two walks and five strikeouts over five innings of work. In the minors this season, Yesavage was 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA, a 0.969 WHIP, 41 walks and 160 strikeouts over 98 innings in 25 appearances, 22 starts, split between Single-A Dunedin of the Florida State League, Vancouver of the A+ Northwest League, Double-A New Hampshire of the Eastern League and Triple-A Buffalo of the International League.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Pick
Moneyline Pick for Yankees vs. Blue Jays
- Yankees (4 units)
While the pitching matchup favored Toronto in Game 1 since the Yankees had to use Fried, Carlos Rodon and Cam Schlittler in the wild card round, things flip here. Fried was solid against the Red Sox in the first game of the wild card series, and he’s facing a guy who has made just three major league starts. That puts Toronto in a bit of an awkward position as they pushed Shane Bieber to start Game 3 in New York Tuesday night. It’s unclear what to expect from Yesavage given such a small sample size. We know Fried is battle-tested, and the Yankees are intent on earning at least a split here. Take the Yankees in this one.
Over/Under Pick for Yankees vs. Blue Jays
- Over (4 units)
New York has seen the under hit in 84 of their 165 games, with five pushes, this season entering Saturday’s Game 1. The Yankees are first in the majors by averaging 5.20 runs per game, though they allow 4.19 runs per game, giving them an average of 9.39 runs per game. New York puts up an average of 5.43 runs per game on the road, while allowing 4.46 runs per game, giving them an average total of 9.89 runs per contest. Toronto has seen the over post an 86-71-5 mark on the year entering Friday night. The Blue Jays are 4th in the majors with 4.93 runs per game and that number edges up to 5.32 runs per game at Rogers Centre. Toronto has an average total of 9.38 runs per game, but that number climbs to 9.48 runs per game at home. With Yesavage prone to putting guys on base, the potential for crooked numbers is high. Take the over here.
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