New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Saturday, August 15, 2026

The New York Yankees visit the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday at 3:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre. New York is 68-53, second in the AL East and 6.5 games behind Tampa Bay after Thursday’s 1-0 loss to Seattle. The Yankees have won three of their last five games. Toronto is 59-64, fourth in the AL East and 16.5 games behind Tampa Bay after Thursday’s 7-0 loss to Boston. The Blue Jays have also won three of five. New York leads the season series 4-3 entering Friday’s opener. Cash in a big winner with our free MLB picks.

New York Yankees Bring Strong Pitching to Toronto

New York is batting .231 with a .310 on-base percentage and .411 slugging percentage while scoring 545 runs with 169 home runs. Ben Rice has been the biggest power source, batting .256 with 32 homers, 76 RBIs and a .890 OPS. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 17 home runs and 31 stolen bases, while Trent Grisham has added 15 homers. The Yankees have scored 20 runs over their last five games, although they were held to one run combined in their two losses during that stretch.

The Yankees lead MLB in pitching with a 3.30 ERA and 1.18 WHIP while holding opponents to a .224 batting average. New York has recorded 1,081 strikeouts, 34 saves, 12 shutouts and 48 quality starts. Cam Schlittler provides another major advantage Saturday. New York is 37-26 away and 23-20 in day games.

Injuries: Carlos Rodon (15-Day IL), Cody Bellinger (10-Day IL), Kervin Castro (15-Day IL), Giancarlo Stanton (10-Day IL), Aaron Judge (60-Day IL).

Toronto Blue Jays Look to Rebound at Home

Toronto is batting .242 with a .303 on-base percentage and .375 slugging percentage while scoring 482 runs with 115 home runs. Ernie Clement leads the Blue Jays with a .280 average and 129 hits, while Kazuma Okamoto has supplied most of the power with 24 home runs and 71 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .262 with a .337 on-base percentage. Toronto scored 19 runs over its last five games but was shut out Thursday after winning three straight against Boston.

The Blue Jays rank 11th in MLB pitching with a 3.98 ERA and 1.32 WHIP while opponents are batting .240. Toronto has recorded 1,067 strikeouts, 41 saves, eight shutouts and 36 quality starts. The staff allowed 22 runs across the last five games, although Toronto surrendered only eight during its three-game winning streak before Thursday. The Blue Jays have not announced a starting pitcher for Saturday. Toronto is 31-32 at home and 25-29 in day games.

Injuries: Brendon Little (Paternity), Lenyn Sosa (60-Day IL), Joe Mantiply (60-Day IL), Spencer Arrighetti (15-Day IL), Jonatan Clase (10-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

New York Yankees – Cam Schlittler

Schlittler has been one of the strongest starters in the league, going 10-6 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. He has 182 strikeouts against only 31 walks over 146.2 innings and has surrendered 14 home runs. Toronto enters with a .678 team OPS and only 115 homers, creating a favorable matchup for the Yankees right-hander.

Toronto Blue Jays – Undecided

Toronto has not announced its starter for Saturday. The Blue Jays have a solid overall pitching staff and are likely to announce a starter who is fifth or sixth in the rotation or use their bullpen and change pitchers frequently.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Game Pick

• New York Yankees

New York is the game pick because Schlittler provides the clearest advantage in the matchup. The right-hander owns a 2.21 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 182 strikeouts, while Toronto has not announced its starter. The Yankees also have a large power advantage with 169 home runs compared with Toronto’s 115 and have played well away from home at 37-26. Toronto has won three of five, but New York’s league-leading pitching numbers and superior starting-pitcher outlook make the Yankees the stronger play Saturday.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Over/Under Pick

• Under

The under is the preferred total pick with Schlittler facing a Toronto offense that has scored 482 runs and owns a .678 OPS. New York leads MLB with a 3.30 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and .224 opponent batting average, and Schlittler has been even better with his 2.21 ERA. Both clubs were shut out Thursday, and the Yankees have scored only one run across their last two losses. Toronto’s undecided starter adds uncertainty, but New York’s pitching advantage makes the under the stronger play Saturday.