New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 11, 2026
Use Code WWWC The New York Yankees visit the Washington Nationals on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. New York enters with a 51-42 record and sits second in the AL East, four games behind Tampa Bay. Washington is 48-46 and fourth in the NL East, seven games behind Atlanta. The Yankees have split their last five games but are coming off a 12-4 victory over Tampa Bay, while the Nationals have also gone 2-3 over their last five contests after taking two of three from Houston. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.
New York Yankees Looking to Gain Ground in the AL East
New York has relied heavily on its power this season despite ranking 26th in MLB with a .235 team batting average. The Yankees have scored 448 runs while collecting 725 hits, 135 home runs, a .316 on-base percentage, and a .420 slugging percentage. Ben Rice has been the standout performer, batting .275 with 28 home runs and 65 RBI. Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 51 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt has contributed 14 home runs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. continues to provide speed with 26 stolen bases, and Aaron Judge has hit 17 home runs despite currently being on the injured list.
The Yankees have paired that power with one of baseball's strongest pitching staffs. New York ranks second in MLB with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP while holding opponents to a .228 batting average. Yankees pitchers have recorded 801 strikeouts while allowing only 90 home runs.
Injuries: Max Fried (15-Day IL), Clarke Schmidt (60-Day IL), Aaron Judge (10-Day IL), Giancarlo Stanton (10-Day IL), Carlos Rodón (15-Day IL).
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Washington Nationals Looking to Stay Above .500
Washington has quietly developed into one of the better offensive clubs in baseball, ranking eighth in MLB with a .251 team batting average. The Nationals have scored 508 runs with 809 hits, 132 home runs, a .325 on-base percentage, and a .435 slugging percentage. James Wood continues to lead the offense with 25 home runs, 61 RBI, and a .402 on-base percentage. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .291 with 20 home runs and 68 RBI, while CJ Abrams has added 20 home runs and 67 RBI..
The Nationals have not received the same consistency from their pitching staff. Washington ranks 26th in MLB with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .259. The Nationals have recorded 744 strikeouts but have struggled to consistently prevent runs against stronger lineups.
Injuries: Max Kranick (60-Day IL), Cade Cavalli (Suspension), Richard Lovelady (15-Day IL), Brad Lord (15-Day IL), Trevor Williams (60-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
New York Yankees – Cam Schlittler
Schlittler has been one of the American League's most effective starters this season, posting a 9-5 record with a 2.01 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 112.0 innings. He has allowed only 83 hits while striking out 131 batters and walking just 21. Schlittler has consistently limited traffic on the bases and gives New York a major advantage whenever he takes the mound.
Washington Nationals – Miles Mikolas
Mikolas enters with a 3-7 record, a 5.78 ERA, and a 1.33 WHIP across 90.1 innings. The veteran right-hander has allowed 101 hits and 20 home runs while striking out only 50 batters. Mikolas has struggled to consistently keep opposing offenses under control and faces one of baseball's most dangerous power lineups.
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Pick
- New York Yankees
The Yankees hold a significant edge because of the pitching matchup. Schlittler has been outstanding throughout the season with a 2.01 ERA and a WHIP below 1.00, while Mikolas has struggled to limit hits and home runs. Even without several key injured players, New York continues to generate power throughout the lineup behind Rice, Bellinger, and Goldschmidt. Washington has enough offense to stay competitive, but its pitching staff ranks near the bottom of the league. The combination of New York's elite starting pitcher and reliable bullpen makes the Yankees the play.
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Over/Under Pick
- Under
Schlittler has consistently shut down opposing lineups, and New York's pitching staff ranks second in MLB in ERA. While Washington has produced strong offensive numbers this season, facing one of the league's top starters should limit scoring opportunities. Mikolas has struggled, but the Yankees have not consistently produced high batting averages despite their power. If Schlittler delivers another quality outing, this matchup is more likely to cash under.
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