New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 12, 2026
Use Code WWWC The New York Yankees visit the Washington Nationals on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. New York enters with a 52-42 record and is second in the AL East, while Washington is 48-47 and sits fourth in the NL East. The Yankees have won the first two games of the series and are looking to complete the sweep, while the Nationals hope to finish the first half with a home victory. Win big with our free MLB picks
New York Yankees Looking to Complete the Series Sweep
New York has remained near the top of the American League despite dealing with several injuries to key players. The Yankees rank 26th in MLB with a .237 batting average but continue to generate offense through their power, totaling 139 home runs while scoring 453 runs. Ben Rice has emerged as the club's top hitter with 29 home runs and 66 RBI. Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs, Paul Goldschmidt has driven in 41 runs.
Pitching has carried the Yankees throughout the season. New York ranks second in Major League Baseball with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .228 batting average. The pitching staff has piled up 818 strikeouts and consistently kept games under control, allowing the bullpen to protect late leads. Even with several starters on the injured list, the Yankees continue to receive dependable performances from both the rotation and the relief corps.
Injuries: Max Fried, Clarke Schmidt, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Carlos Rodón.
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Washington Nationals Looking to Finish the First Half on a High Note
Washington has exceeded expectations offensively this season. The Nationals rank eighth in MLB with a .251 batting average while scoring 511 runs with 817 hits and 134 home runs. James Wood has developed into the lineup's biggest threat with 26 home runs and 62 RBI. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .287 with 20 home runs and a team-high 68 RBI, while CJ Abrams has also reached the 20-home run mark.
The Nationals have not received the same consistency from their pitching staff. Washington ranks 26th in MLB with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .259. The rotation has struggled to consistently work deep into games, placing additional pressure on the bullpen. Although the offense has kept Washington competitive, better pitching will be necessary if the Nationals hope to remain in the Wild Card race during the second half.
Injuries: Max Kranick, Richard Lovelady, Brad Lord, Trevor Williams.
Pitching Matchup
New York Yankees – Will Warren
Warren is 7-4 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP across 93.1 innings. He has allowed 97 hits while striking out 94 batters and walking 31. Warren has consistently given New York quality starts and has done a good job limiting damage when pitching with runners on base.
Washington Nationals – Cade Cavalli
Cavalli enters with a 5-4 record, a 3.88 ERA, and a 1.38 WHIP over 92.2 innings. He has allowed 97 hits while striking out 105 batters against 31 walks. Cavalli has been one of Washington's most dependable starters and gives the Nationals an opportunity to compete whenever he takes the mound.
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Game Pick
- New York Yankees
New York has the advantage because it combines one of baseball's best pitching staffs with enough offensive production to capitalize on scoring chances. Warren has been reliable throughout the season, and the Yankees continue to receive strong bullpen support behind him. Rice has emerged as the lineup's biggest power threat, while Goldschmidt, Bellinger, and Chisholm provide additional depth. Washington's offense is capable of keeping the matchup competitive, but the Nationals' pitching staff has struggled too often this season. The Yankees have been the better club throughout the series and are the play.
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Over/Under Pick
- Under
The under offers the better value because both starting pitchers have produced solid seasons and are capable of working into the middle innings. Warren has benefited from outstanding defensive support behind him, while Cavalli has consistently generated strikeouts and limited major innings. New York's pitching staff has been among the league's best all season, and Washington will face one of its toughest pitching matchups of the week. Expect a competitive series finale with quality pitching making the difference and the total cashing under.
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