Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, Game 4, NLDS, Picks and Predictions, Thursday, October 9th, 2025

By: Paul B Published 10/09/2025, 03:06 AM ET
Phillies vs. Dodgers Prediction
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The Philadelphia Phillies (1-2) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (2-1) will play Game 4 of the NLDS on Thursday night as the Phillies kept the series alive Wednesday night for this Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction after an 8-2 victory. The Dodgers are still one win away from clinching this divisional series, as the Phils hope to send this to a winner-take-all all Game 5. Philadelphia has not yet announced its starter as Los Angeles will send out Tyler Glasnow (3.19 ERA). First pitch is set for 6:08 EST and can be found on TBS. See below to find our Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction, and check out all of our best Free MLB Picks.

Philadelphia Stays Alive

The Philadelphia Phillies fought to keep their postseason and World Series hopes alive on Wednesday with a win on the road. The Phillies earned the 2-seed in the National League and a first-round bye, but it may have cooled their momentum as they lost their first two games of this series at home. Philadelphia is now in another must win scenario on the road, as they well send this series back to Philly for Game 5 if they can pull off the win.

Kyle Schwarber has been the best bat for the Phillies all season, even if he started this series going 0-7 in Games 1 and 2.  On Wednesday, he broke out with two homers and three RBIs. Schwarber led all of Major League Baseball with 132 RBIs to go with his 56 home runs which finished second in the league behind only Cal Raleigh of Seattle. Schwarber was their leadoff hitter in their most recent seasons, but moved to second in the lineup behind Trea Turner this season. Turner is their shortstop who finished the year with 15 home runs and 69 RBIs. Bryce Harper had another solid season despite missing some games with an injury, he had 27 home runs and 75 RBIs on the year.

The Phillies have not yet named their starter for this game, but it will not be Nola or Luzardo as they started each of the last two games. The Phillies gave up five or fewer runs in each of the first two games, and finished the season ranked 8th in ERA at 3.79.

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Dodgers Need One More Win

The Los Angeles Dodgers had their chance to close the series on Wednesday night, but were unable to finish off the Phillies in Game 3 at home. The Dodgers still have one more game at home before the series would be sent back to Philadelphia if the Dodgers were to fall in this game. Los Angeles is the reigning champs, and wants to close this series after stealing the first two games on the road.

The Dodgers have a strong offense, but the bullpen often leaves much to be desired. Their offense will need to come up big with another win here, led by their all-world talent Shohei Ohtani. The part-time pitcher and full-time designated hitter bats leadoff for the Dodgers, and finished the season third in the league in home runs with 55 home runs. Ohtani also added 102 RBIs while batting .282 at the plate. Teoscar Hernandez has been one of the best postseason performers coming into this game. The former Home Run Derby Champion had 25 home runs in the regular season and had three over his first four playoff games.

Tyler Glasnow will start this game for the Dodgers as a 32-year-old right-hander. The 6'8 pitcher is a strong presence on the mound, and finished the season with a 4-3 record and a 3.19 ERA. He had a 106-43 strikeout to walk ratio, he pitched in Game 1 of this series in relief, going for 1.2 scoreless innings in their win.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers picks

Moneyline pick and prediction for Phillies vs. Dodgers

  • Dodgers (4 units)

Los Angeles dropped Game 3 at home, giving them one more shot at closing the series before they have to travel cross-country back to Philly for Game 5. The Dodgers are sending Glasnow to the mound, one of the better pitchers in the league, whose numbers were not quite as impressive only due to missed games from injury. Glasnow finished the year with a 3.19 ERA and will be able to go through this Philadelphia lineup for a longer duration than he did in Game 1. The Dodgers won the first four games of the postseason and will close out here on their way to the NLCS.

Take the Dodgers to win.

Over/Under Pick for Phillies vs. Dodgers

  • Over (4 units)

Desperation mode will hit both teams here, as the Dodgers do not want to head back to Philadelphia, and the Phillies are one loss away from packing their bags for vacation. The Phillies are late to announce their starter, but we know Luzardo will not be out there after his strong showing in Game 2. The Phillies may need to rely on their bullpen more than usual, which will allow the Dodgers' lineup to manufacture runs against the Phillies' relief pitchers. Expect both teams to be aggressive on the basepath, and the Phillies are not likely to slow-play their offense after their ill-timed bunt late in Game 2. This will be a high-scoring game going over the total.

Take the over.

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