Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions, Saturday, May 2nd, 2026

The Philadelphia Phillies (12-19) and the Miami Marlins (15-16) will play their second of a four game set in the NL East on Saturday afternoon in this Phillies vs. Marlins prediction. The first game was played on Friday night (Note: This article was published before Friday's results). This marks the first series between these rivals in the 2026 season. Philadelphia plans on starting Aaron Nola (6.03 ERA) with Miami going with Max Meyer (3.30 ERA). First pitch is set for 4:10 EST. See below for our Phillies vs. Marlins prediction, and check out all of our best Free MLB Picks.

Philadelphia Gains Momentum

The Philadelphia Phillies are finally winning some baseball games after their sluggish start to the season. They come into this four game set with Miami fresh off three consecutive victories at home against the Giants. This was a much needed stretch, as the Phillies still find themselves fourth in the NL East, 2.5 games behind the third place Nationals and 9.5 games behind the red hot Braves in first.

In their most recent game, they pulled out an exciting win in extra innings on a sacrifice fly from Alec Bohm to secure the win. Bohm has been quieter than usual this season, as he only has one home run to go with his 13 RBIs, and is batting a nightmarish .151 at the plate. Kyle Schwarber continues to be the best power hitter on the team, he leads the way with 11 home runs and 20 RBIs while he continues to bat second in the lineup after spending several seasons at leadoff. Bryce Harper is a big name, adding another 6 home runs and 19 RBIs while batting .263 at the plate.

Aaron Nola will make his 7th start of the season as a 32-year old right hander. The long time Phillie has a 1-3 record, and is struggling his his 6.03 ERA. His strikeout to walk ratio looks stronger at 35 strikeouts against 13 walks. In his last outing, he pitched 4.2 innings and gave up six runs in a loss to the Braves.

Marlins Take Down the Champs

The Miami Marlins also cruise into this matchup with positive momentum, as they just won a series over the powerful Dodgers. They did not sweep the series, but they did take two out of three from the reigning champs, which is still worthy of celebration. Miami is second in the NL East, but Atlanta has an early stranglehold on the division, as they lead the field by 6.5 games. The pitching carried the way to their last two victories, as the Marlins scored three or fewer in their last two wins.

They concluded their last victory over the Dodgers with a 3-2 win, powered by home runs from Liam Hicks and Estuary Ruiz. Hicks has been their most productive batter this season, the catcher leads the team with 7 home runs and 28 RBIs in just his second season in the league. Hicks typically bats 5th in the lineup. Xavier Edwards is their speedy infielder, he can play either second base or short stop, and has the best batting average on the team at .336.

May Meyer will make his 7th start of the season as a 27-year old right hander. He has a1-0 record to go with his 3.30 ERA and has 33 strikeouts against 12 walks. They have won in just two of his last five starts. In his most recent outing, Meyer pitched five scoreless innings against the Giants, but the bullpen gave the game away in a loss.

Phillies vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Moneyline pick for Phillies vs. Marlins

•   Marlins (5 units)

The Philadelphia Phillies have not looked like their usual selves this season. They sit in fourth in the division, and their offense has lost their usual pop and depth. Bohm cannot buy a hit with his .151, and it is not like his power is offsetting that number, as he only has one home run on the year. Adolis Garcia has not been putting up the power numbers they hopes for, and Aaron Nola is a big name, but has not showed a big game so far this year with his 6.03 ERA. Meyer is a quality pitcher for the Marlins, and will pick up the win here.

Take the Marlins to win

Over/Under Pick for Phillies vs. Marlins

•   Over (4 units)

These teams are both coming into this game after strong showing. The Phillies just swept the Giants, and the Marlins just won a series against the Dodgers. Philadelphia is hoping their offense starts to wake up more, as Schwarber and Harper need some help to climb the standings. They will get it here as Marsh, Turner and Garcia have too much talent to stay quiet. Miami is going up against Nola, and he is showing signs of age as he just got blasted for six runs in their loss against Atlanta. Expect a lot of runs here.

Take the over.