Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 27th, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Pittsburgh Pirates (69-90, 86-72 RL, 62- 91-6 O/U) and the Atlanta Braves (75-84, 77-81 RL, 72-76-10 O/U) continue a three-game series on Saturday evening, and we have the prediction. The Pirates are going with Bubba Chandler. The Braves will answer with Spencer Strider. The Pirates lead the season series 2-1.
Can the Braves' recent dominance continue with Strider on the mound on Saturday evening? Keep reading for the Pirates vs. Braves prediction. Nobody does it better when it comes to MLB Picks!
Pirates Conclude Another Disappointing Season
Bubba Chandler will get the nod on Saturday evening. Chandler was outstanding in his recent effort, posting five scoreless innings against the Athletics and earning the win. The rookie is one of the Pirates' top prospects and could be an ace behind Skenes. He only had one bad start, which has affected his numbers. Chandler has issued a 4.56 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP, accompanied by a 3-1 record in 25.2 innings on the season. He has amassed 25 Ks on the season. This is his first meeting against the Braves.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are concluding a disappointing season. They continue to be in a rebuild that has not yielded results. The good news is that the pitching is above average. They have been in a groove in the past week. The Pirates won a series against the Athletics last week and won two of three road meetings against the Reds before this series, led by the pitching, which conceded only nine runs. The Pirates are 25-53 on the road.
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Nick Gonzales has managed six RBIs this month. The 26-year-old has 28 RBIs and a .665 OPS. Oneil Cruz is slumping, reporting a .545 OPS this month. The 26-year-old shortstop has decent numbers, but more was expected. He has amassed 61 RBIs and a .681 OPS. Bryan Reynolds has struggled against the Braves this season, posting a .258 OPS. The veteran slugger is having a down year, posting 16 home runs wth 73 RBIs and a .718 OPS. Henry Davis is having another poor season. The catcher has one RBI this month and has posted 20 RBIs and a .492 OPS. He was once a #1 pick, but it does not appear he will be the big bat many expected.
Pittsburgh is averaging 3.59 runs on the year, ranking them 30th. The Pirates have a strong pitching staff, posting a 3.79 ERA, good for seventh.
Braves Display Improvement in September
The Braves will have Spencer Strider on the rubber. Strider was magnificent in his previous start, pitching five scoreless innings against Detroit and securing the win. The veteran righty has been shaky this season, but has amassed an outstanding 2.35 ERA this month. Strider has generated a 4.45 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a 7-13 record in 119.1 innings of work on the year. Strider has racked up 126 Ks. He has struggled against Pittsburgh in his career, as seen in his 6.48 ERA and a 1-1 record in two meetings.
The Atlanta Braves are enjoying their best stretch of the season and are setting the stage for next year. The squad was expected to be a contender, but had injuries and struggled on the mound as a result. The Braves recently won 10 games in a row. They swept Detroit last weekend and won a series against the Nationals this week, keeping them to only 11 runs. The Braves are 38-40 at home.
Ozzie Ablies has a hand injury and is done for the last few games. Ronald Acuna Jr. has knocked in six runs in his past six games. The star outfielder missed a good portion of the year. He has great numbers, smashing 20 bombs with 40 RBIs and an outstanding .925 OPS. Marcell Ozuna has been quiet against the Pirates this season, managing zero RBIs and a disastrous .508 OPS. The veteran DH has bashed 21 big flies with 67 RBIs. Nacho Alvarez Jr. has recorded eight RBIs this month. The 22-year-old has netted 15 RBIs and a .642 OPS on the season.
Atlanta is posting an average of 4.50 runs on the season, rating them 12th. The pitching staff has a subpar 4.36 ERA, pegging them 22nd.
Pirates vs. Braves Pick
Spread Pick for Pirates vs. Braves
- Atlanta Braves -1.5 (5 units)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been one of the worst road teams in the big leagues, standing a whopping 28 games below the .500 mark. The only team with a worse road record is the Rockies. Other than the Mariners, the Atlanta Braves are the hottest squad in the big leagues, winning 10 of their past 11 games, including a sweep of the Tigers.
Furthermore, Pirates pitcher Bubba Chandler has a 6.62 ERA this month. He is a promising pitcher, but he is just a rookie and has made just six outings. Chandler is not pitching deep into games, pitching five or fewer innings in four of his six outings. Braves pitcher Spencer Strider is enjoying his best stretch of the season. The veteran pitched five scoreless innings against Detroit and has conceded just one run in his past 12 innings. Strider has posted a stingy 2.35 ERA this month.
Over/Under Pick for Pirates vs. Braves
- Over 8.5 (5 units)
I expect plenty of runs. Pittsburgh is scoring runs. They have scored 22 runs in their past five games. Strider has been inconsistent this season as he returned from his major elbow injury and has recorded a poor 4.61 ERA at home.
In addition, Atlanta is in a groove at the plate and should get to the rookie, Chandler. The bats have averaged a stunning 6.9 runs in their past 10 games. They have scored 27 runs in their past five home games entering Friday evening. The over is a convincing 5-1 in their past six home games.
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