Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 28, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s the final game of a three-game series on the diamond in Hotlanta to close the regular season as the Pittsburgh Pirates travel to face the Atlanta Braves Sunday afternoon and we have you covered with our Pirates vs. Braves prediction. In the opening game of the series Friday night, it was Pittsburgh picking up a 9-3 victory to draw first blood in the set. Which team heads into the offseason on a positive note? This article was published before the conclusion of the middle game of the set at Truist Park Saturday night. Don’t go down on strikes! Increase your bankroll with our MLB Betting Picks! Read more about this Pirates vs. Braves prediction!
Pittsburgh Trying to Win Season Series
Pittsburgh won for the fifth time in six games as they rolled past Atlanta in the opening game of the series Friday night on the road. The Pirates entered Saturday 70-90 and sat in the basement of the NL Central, 26 games behind Milwaukee for the top spot. They have been eliminated from contention in the NL playoff picture. On Friday night against the Braves, Pittsburgh finished with 14 hits as Spencer Horwitz (three runs, four RBI) led the team with three. Horwitz (his 10th and 11th) homered twice in the victory while Tommy Pham (his 10th) also went deep in the contest. Mitch Keller threw 3.2 innings, allowing one run on three hits with five walks and six strikeouts, but didn’t factor in the decision. Yohan Ramirez (3-3) fanned the only hitter he faced in relief to earn the victory.
Johan Oviedo is on the mound for the Pirates as he makes his ninth start of the season in this contest. He is 2-0 with a 3.57 ERA, a 1.217 WHIP, 20 walks and 39 strikeouts over 35.1 innings of work. Oviedo didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Reds on the road Tuesday. He threw 4.2 innings, allowing two runs on two hits with three walks and seven strikeouts in a 4-2 Pirates win. In his last three starts, Oviedo has no record with a 4.70 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, nine walks and 15 strikeouts over 15.1 innings of work. Oviedo makes his third career appearance, second start, against the Braves in this contest. He has no record with a 5.06 ERA, a 2.063 WHIP, one walk and six strikeouts over 49 innings of work against them. Oviedo made both his appearances against the Braves at Truist Park, giving him a passing familiarity with the park.
Braves Closing Out Disappointing Campaign
Atlanta dropped their second straight after a 10-game win streak as they were drubbed in the opening game of this set on Friday. The Braves entered Saturday 75-85 and stood fourth in the NL East, 20 games behind the Phillies for the top spot. They have been eliminated from contention in the National League playoff picture. Against Pittsburgh on Friday, Atlanta finished with eight hits as Ronald Acuna Jr. (run) had three while Michael Harris II (run, RBI) added a pair in the contest. Joey Wentz (5-7) took the loss as he allowed four runs on eight hits with two walks and three strikeouts over four innings of work.
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Charlie Morton gets the call for the Braves as he makes his 33rd appearance, 27th start, of the season overall and first start for the Braves in this contest. He is 9-11 with a 5.89 ERA, a 1.571 WHIP, 71 walks and 148 strikeouts over 140.2 innings of work on the year. Morton took the loss in his last outing, which came in a start against this Braves squad while with the Tigers at home on September 19. He threw 1.1 innings, allowing six runs on five hits with two walks and two strikeouts in a game the Tigers dropped 10-1. In his last three starts, Morton has a 0-1 record with an 11.88 ERA, a 2.641 WHIP, nine walks and eight strikeouts over 10.2 innings of work. Morton makes his third career start against the Pirates in this contest. He is 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA, a 0.811 WHIP, two walks and 19 strikeouts over 12.1 innings of work against them. Morton is 25-15 with a 3.43 ERA, a 1.184 WHIP, 124 walks and 435 strikeouts over 365 innings in 66 career starts at Truist Park.
Pirates vs. Braves Pick
Moneyline Pick for Pirates vs. Braves
- Pirates (4 units)
Both teams are playing out the string here as they have long been eliminated from playoff contention. Pittsburgh battered Wentz and the Braves’ bullpen in the opener with a rare offensive display. Morton may be making his final big league appearance here at age 41 as he struggled most of the year. It’s tough to get excited about a guy with an ERA near six on the year, especially given his last few outings with the Tigers. Oviedo has been decent this season, and the Pirates have played solid ball over the last week or so. Take Pittsburgh on the road here as they close the season with a win here.
Over/Under Pick for Pirates vs. Braves
- Over (4 units)
Pittsburgh has seen the under post a 91-63-6 mark on the year heading into Saturday’s action. The Pirates are 30th in the majors with 3.62 runs per game and that number falls to 3.35 runs per game away from PNC Park. Pittsburgh has an average total of 7.62 runs per game but that number barely moves to 7.68 runs per game on the road. Atlanta entered Saturday night having gone under the total in 75 of their 160 games, with 12 pushes, on the season. The Braves are 13th in the majors with 4.49 runs per game, a number that slides to 4.25 runs per game at home. Atlanta has an average total of 9.06 runs per game and that number drops slightly to 9.03 runs per game at home this season. Morton had a 7.09 ERA in nine starts with the Tigers before getting cut loose and likely sputters here as well. Take the over in this one as a result.
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