Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Saturday, March 28, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 03/28/2026, 05:20 AM ET
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Itโ€™s the first week of the MLB calendar and thereโ€™s some big games on Saturday, March 28. Read our Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets prediction along with our otherย Free MLB Picks on the night. The Pirates finished in last place in the National League Central. The Mets missed the playoffs last season by just one game. New York defeated the Pirates 11-7 in the first game of the season on Thursday. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 4:10 P.M. EST.

Pittsburgh trying to rebuild after poor 2025

The Pirates are coming off of a poor 2025 season. Pittsburgh ended the year with a 71-91 record, which placed them last in the National League Central Division. The Pirates were 27-54 when playing on the road. They had the second-worst road record in the National League last season.

On Saturday, Mitch Keller gets the start for the Pirates. The right-handed pitcher held a 6-15 record last season in 32 starts. Keller held a 4.19 ERA overall this season. Keller had an ERA of 4.02 when playing on the road. He held a 3.64 ERA in 22 games against the National League. He had two starts against the Mets last season. Keller had a 2.19 ERA in two starts against the Mets last season. Keller also has a 2.06 ERA against the Mets in his career.

Last year, the Pirates hit .231, which ranked 28th in the league. They had the worst run scored record last year. The Pirates ranked 28th in hits and dead last in home runs hit. Pittsburgh hit .216 when playing on the road. They hit .230 against the National League, too. The Pirates held a .290 batting average in six games against the Marlins.

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Mets trying to get back into playoff contention this year

The Mets finished last year with an 83-79 record just missing out on the playoffs by one game. New York ended last year with a 49-32 record at home. The Mets have started this season with a big 11-7 win over the Pirates earlier in the week.

On Saturday, David Peterson gets the nod for the Mets. The left-handed pitcher ended last year with a 9-6 record and an ERA of 4.22 in 30 starts. Perez held a 4.20 ERA in 15 starts at home a season ago. He finished the season with a 4.53 ERA in 25 starts against the National League. He made two starts against the Pirates, finishing with a 5.91 ERA in those outings.

Last year, the Mets hit .249 last season, which ranked 14th in the league. They finished 14th in hits, while they ranked fifth-most in home runs hit. New York struck out the 10th-fewest times last year. The Mets hit .259 during home games and .256 when playing National League teams. The Mets held a .227 batting average in six games against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Picks

Pirates vs Mets Spread Pick

  • Take the Mets (5 units)

The Mets will try to keep things rolling after beating the Pirates 11-7 on Thursday. New York will be starting David Peterson, who is trying to bounce back after having a 4.20 ERA season at home last season. It should be an easy start for Peterson, who is going up against the Pirates. Pittsburgh had the third-worst batting average, while they scored the fewest runs in the sport The Mets offense will be key, as they ranked fifth-most in home runs hit. New York will be going up against the Mitch Keller, who held a 4.02 ERA on the road. The Mets more explosive offense, should jump all over this Pirates team.

Take the Mets to cover.ย 

Pirates vs Mets Over/Under Pick

  • Take the over (5 units)ย 

The Mets and Pirates are coming into this game after combining for 18 runs on Thursday. The offensive firepower should still be around in this game, against two starting pitchers that will be leaking runs throughout the game.

Take the over on Saturday.ย 

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