Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 24th, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Pittsburgh Pirates (26-25, 27-24 ATS, 27-22-1 O/U) and the Toronto Blue Jays (24-27, 25-26 ATS, 25-25-1 O/U) conclude a three-game series on Sunday afternoon in downtown Toronto. The Pirates are sending Mitch Keller to the mound. The Blue Jays will respond with Dylan Cease. The Blue Jays opened the series with a 6-2 home win against the Pirates on Friday.
Can Keller and the Pirates come away with a surprising road win on Sunday? Continue reading to find out. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our MLB Picks!
Keller Gets the Nod on Sunday
Mitch Keller will get the call on Sunday. Keller was shaky in his recent outing, yielding four runs in 5.2 innings against the Cardinals, and managed to escape with a no-decision in a game the Pirates lost in extra innings. The veteran righty has stumbled in his last two starts but is having another solid season, recording a 3.86 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP accompanied by a 4-2 record in 58.1 innings pitched. Keller has conceded six runs with a 1-1 record in 9.2 innings in his career against Toronto.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been hovering around the .500 mark for a good portion of the season. The Pirates have been shaky. They were dealt a home sweep at the hands of the Phillies last weekend and answered by winning two of three road encounters against the Cardinals, led by the bats, scoring 19 runs and yielding 11 runs. The Pirates stand at 13-12 on the road.
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Bryan Reynolds has been a threat, netting 13 RBIs in May. The 31-year-old slugger has 32 RBIs and a .746 OPS. Brandon Lowe has been the Pirates' top hitter. The veteran second baseman has smashed 13 big flies with 32 RBIs and a .916 OPS. He posted 15 RBIs and a 1.1 OPS against the Blue Jays last year.
Oneil Cruz has seven RBIs in May. The 27-year-old center fielder is having the best season of his career, bashing 10 bombs with 33 RBIs and a .765 OPS. Nick Gonzales has yet to homer but has added 21 RBIs. The young third baseman has a .753 OPS. Konnor Griffen is one of the top prospects in the MLB. The 20-year-old has posted an .833 OPS this month and has 20 RBIs and a .722 OPS on the season.
Pittsburgh is scoring an average of 4.90 runs on the season, marking them sixth. The pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, placing them 11th in the bug leagues.
Blue Jays Target Home Win on Sunday
Dylan Cease will get the call for the Blue Jays. Cease had a rough one his this week, squandering five runs in five innings against New York and was dealt the defeat. The veteran ace has been worth the mammoth new contract he signed with Toronto in the offseason. Cease has a 1.50 ERA in May and has reported a 2.98 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP, accompanied by a 3-2 record in 57.1 innings on the season. Cease has secured 85 strikeouts. Cease has solid numbers in his career against Pittsburgh, netting a 3.54 ERA and a 1-1 record in 20.1 innings.
The Toronto Blue Jays have not met expectations and are well out of the top spot in the AL East, but could be finding a groove. The squad earned a series win against the Tigers last weekend. Next, Toronto salvaged a series in the Bronx by answering two defeats with two wins to split the series against the Yankees this week. They did generate 13 runs, and the pitching was key, holding New York to 13 runs. The squad has reported a 14-11 record at home.
Ernie Clement has a .763 OPS this month. The 30-year-old second baseman is having a solid year, posting 16 RBIs and a .756 OPS. Daulton Varsho has been one of the Jays' most consistent hitters. The veteran outfielder has recorded 16 RBIs and a robust .777 OPS.
Andres Gimenez has driven in 11 runs this month. The veteran shortstop has piled up 27 RBIs and a .650 OPS on the season. Kazuma Okamoto has posted 12 RBIs in May. The 29-year-old third baseman has been decent in his first year in the big leagues, clubbing 10 homers with 27 RBIs and a .700 OPS. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is having a rough season. The star first baseman has three RBIs in his past 10 games, and only three homers with 22 RBIs and a .745 OPS. He issued one RBI against the Pirates last season.
Toronto is averaging 4.10 runs on the season, rating them 22nd. The Blue Jays have a strong 3.88 ERA, placing them 12th.
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Pick
Spread Pick for Blue Jays vs. Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (5 units)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been competitive on the road, where they stand above .500 entering Saturday's action. They have the better offense so far and also own the better team ERA. The Pirates won two of three against the Cardinals prior to this series. The Toronto Blue Jays remain below the .500 mark and have not looked like last year’s squad in any way. They have only won two of their past five series.
Furthermore, Pirates pitcher Mitch Keller has netted a 3.57 ERA and a 1-0 record on the road this season. Also, the Pirates have won in four of Keller’s past six outings. Blue Jays pitcher Dylan Cease was pelted in his recent outing, surrendering five runs in just five innings against the Yankees.
Over/Under Pick for Blue Jays vs. Pirates
- Over 7.5 (5 units)
I expect this one to have plenty of scoring. The Pirates' pitching has been shaky in the past few weeks. They have surrendered 29 runs in their past six games. Keller has given up 10 runs in his past two outings.
In addition, Pittsburgh is the most improved offensive team in the big leagues this season. They stand in the top 10 in the big leagues in most hitting categories. They are raking on the road, scoring 40 runs in their past six road bouts entering Saturday. The Blue Jays have conceded 20 runs in their past five games. The over is a convincing 4-1 in the Pirates' past five road games.
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