Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions, Saturday, September, 6, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 09/06/2025, 05:13 AM ET
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The Seattle Mariners face the Atlanta Braves with both teams on opposite ends of the standings to close out the season. The Mariners are 73-67 and have the second-best record in the American League West Division and are looking to secure the final wild card spot in the American League. The Braves have a 63-77 record and have the second-worst record in the National League East Division and look poised to miss the postseason for the first time since 2017. Who will win this game? Check out our Mariners vs Braves prediction!

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Mariners hope lineup helps out Miller

The Mariners are having a great season and hope ot secure a spot in the postseason with a strong finish. Bryce Miller will start the upcoming game, and he looks to improve on what’s been a rough season as he’s allowed 41 runs in 64 innings pitched. In addition, with a .291 expected opponent Batting Average, a 47.7 Hard-Hit Rate, and a 5.46 expected ERA, opponents are making contact and powering the ball against Miller to easily drive in runs.

Miller has struggled but the lineup has stepped up, scoring 4.56 runs per game. Cal Raleigh is slashing .242/.352/.578 with 51 home runs and 296 total bases while Dominic Canzone is slashing .282/.347/.436 with 85 total bases but the rest of the lineup has also stepped up. Jorge Polanco is slashing .254/.319/.471 with 23 home runs and 187 total bases while Randy Arozarena and Julio Rodriguez have added 54 home runs and 502 total bases to round out the lineup, making the Mariners tough to put away at the plate.

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Atlanta hopes Waldrep helps out lineup

The Braves are having a rough season and look poised to miss the postseason for the first time in almost a decade. Hurston Waldrep is one of their top prospects and looks to put together a strong start. He’s only tossed 35 innings but he’s stepped up in his time in the majors, allowing only four runs and striking out 33 batters.

Waldrep has stepped up but the lineup has let the Braves down this season, scoring only 4.41 runs per game. Ronald Acuna Jr. is slashing .275/.400/.494 with 15 home runs and 131 total bases, while Jurickson Profar is slashing .258/.362/.472 with 12 home runs and 110 total bases, but the rest of the lineup has struggled. Only four active batters have an OPS+ over 100, and opposing pitchers can limit the top-heavy lineup as a result.

Mariners vs. Braves Pick

Spread Pick for Mariners vs. Braves

  • Mariners (-140) (4 Units)

The Mariners are having a great season and look to take over this game from the first inning. The Mariners should constantly drive in runs with Cal Raleigh, Jorge Polanco, and the rest of the batting order making contact and putting together strong plate appearances to easily plate baserunners. The Mariners should limit the Braves lineup, which averages only 4.41 runs per game, with Bryce Miller pitching multiple scoreless innings to hand the ball over to the bullpen with a lead. The Mariners should win the game with a strong performance at home.

Take the Mariners money line as road Favorites.

  • Over 8.5 (5 Units)

The Mariners are led by their lineup, and I see this game being a high-scoring one from the first pitch. The Braves should constantly plate baserunners against Bryce Miller, who has allowed 41 runs in 64 innings pitched, with Ronald Acuna Jr., Jurickson Profar, and the rest of the batting order making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Mariners, who average 4.56 runs per game, should run up the score with Cal Raleigh, Jorge Polanco, Julio Rodriguez, and the rest of the batting order swinging for the fences and crushing pitches to easily circle the bases. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both lineups stepping up.

Take the Over on 8.5 runs.

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