St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday August 3 2026

Tonight's St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees picks center on Cam Schlittler's dominant season and an 8-run total at Yankee Stadium. New York is priced near -200, making the total a more attractive betting option. Michael McGreevy has pitched well enough to support a lower-scoring game even against the stronger lineup. Readers can also review our MLB player props coverage and daily MLB picks and predictions before first pitch.

Best Available Odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees

• Moneyline: St. Louis Cardinals +176 | New York Yankees -198
• Total: Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-110)

Game Info

• Date: Monday, August 3, 2026
• Time: 7:05 p.m. EDT
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
• TV: YES and Cardinals.TV
• Probable Pitchers: Michael McGreevy vs Cam Schlittler

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Preview

St. Louis has remained competitive on the road and brings a starter with a 3.57 ERA into the opener. The Cardinals will need disciplined at-bats because Schlittler has limited both baserunners and hard contact. New York can win without producing a large total if its starter controls the first six innings.

The MLB betting trends strongly support a restrained scoring environment. St. Louis games have gone under in 63 of 107 decisions, while Cardinals road games have produced 28 unders against 20 overs. Yankees games have also leaned under, and New York home team totals have gone under in 29 of 49 decisions.

New York opened near -200 and has remained in that range, while St. Louis has held between roughly +170 and +176. The total has stayed at 8.

Pitching Matchup

McGreevy is 4-9 with a 3.57 ERA and 76 strikeouts. His record is weaker than his run prevention, and his command gives St. Louis a chance to avoid an early deficit.

Schlittler is 10-6 with a 2.04 ERA and 165 strikeouts. His swing-and-miss ability and low baserunner rate make it difficult for opponents to build multi-run innings.

Game Thesis: Schlittler can keep St. Louis near two runs, while McGreevy can prevent New York from turning the game into a blowout. The Yankees should win, but the near -200 price offers little value. The under is the better way to approach the matchup.

Best Bet - Under 8 (-110)

The under is the best bet because both teams have produced strong lower-scoring records and the starting matchup supports those results. Schlittler can dominate St. Louis, while McGreevy has allowed fewer runs than his win-loss record suggests. A 5-2 Yankees victory stays below eight, and exactly eight runs would produce a push.

Prediction: New York Yankees 5, St. Louis Cardinals 2