St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Saturday, August 22, 2026
The St. Louis Cardinals visit the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 6:05 PM ET. St. Louis is 66-63 and third in the NL Central after a 10-9 win over Cincinnati. The Cardinals have won three of their last five and sit three games behind the final NL Wild Card spot. Philadelphia is 70-58 and second in the NL East after beating Miami 4-1. The Phillies have won six straight and currently hold the second NL Wild Card position. Saturday’s matchup offers an interesting betting choice in our free MLB picks.
St. Louis Cardinals Continue Competitive Road Stretch
St. Louis has gone 3-2 over its last five games, with all five played at Cincinnati. The Cardinals scored 24 runs during that stretch, including 10 in Thursday’s victory. St. Louis ranks 21st in MLB with a .241 batting average and has a .317 on-base percentage with a .382 slugging percentage. Jordan Walker is batting .288 with 26 home runs, 94 RBI and 17 stolen bases. Alec Burleson is also hitting .288 with 21 homers and 93 RBI, while Ivan Herrera leads the team with a .361 on-base percentage.
St. Louis ranks 12th in MLB pitching with a 4.01 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. The Cardinals have held opponents to a .250 batting average while allowing 125 home runs, the fewest among the two staffs in this matchup. St. Louis has recorded 47 quality starts and nine shutouts through 128 games. The Cardinals are 34-29 away from home and won two of their first three meetings with Philadelphia this season, outscoring the Phillies 14-7 in those contests.
Injuries: Ramon Urias (60-Day IL), Max Rajcic (60-Day IL).
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Philadelphia Phillies Look to Extend Winning Streak
Philadelphia enters Saturday on a six-game winning streak and has scored at least four runs in every victory. The Phillies swept Miami in their latest series and have scored 38 runs during the six-game run. Kyle Schwarber remains the leading power threat with 37 home runs and 74 RBI, while Bryce Harper is batting .260 with 25 homers, 72 RBI and a .381 on-base percentage. Brandon Marsh leads Philadelphia with a .274 average, and Bryson Stott has added 23 stolen bases.
The Phillies rank 16th in MLB pitching with a 4.12 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Philadelphia has held opponents to a .250 batting average while recording 1,259 strikeouts and 55 quality starts. The staff has surrendered 150 home runs, while its 15 shutouts are among the strongest totals in the league. Philadelphia is 35-30 at Citizens Bank Park and enters this matchup with a 50-37 record in night games.
Injuries: Rafael Marchan (10-Day IL), Caleb Kilian (15-Day IL), Tanner Banks (60-Day IL), Felix Reyes (60-Day IL), Johan Rojas (60-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
St. Louis Cardinals – Andre Pallante
Pallante is 12-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.24 WHIP across 136 innings. The right-hander has allowed 128 hits, 41 walks and 10 home runs while striking out 97. Pallante has kept the ball in the park consistently and owns the better ERA and WHIP in Saturday’s matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies – Andrew Painter
Painter is 2-8 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.55 WHIP through 85.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed 98 hits, 34 walks and 17 home runs while recording 71 strikeouts. Painter has allowed frequent baserunners, with both his ERA and WHIP considerably higher than Pallante’s numbers.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Game Pick
- St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis gets the call Saturday because the starting pitching difference is difficult to overlook. Pallante enters 12-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, while Painter is 2-8 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Philadelphia has won six straight and is playing its best baseball recently, but St. Louis owns a 34-29 road record and won two of the first three meetings. With Painter allowing 98 hits and 17 homers in 85.1 innings, the Cardinals have the better matchup from the opening innings.Take the Cardinals to win.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Over/Under Pick
- Over
Recent scoring and Painter’s season numbers put the over in a favorable position Saturday. Philadelphia has scored at least four runs in six consecutive games and totaled 38 runs during its winning streak. St. Louis has scored 24 times over its last five and reached double figures Thursday. Painter enters with a 6.43 ERA and has surrendered 17 home runs in only 85.1 innings. Pallante has stronger numbers, but Philadelphia’s current scoring form gives both sides a realistic chance to contribute enough offense for a higher-scoring result. The play is over.