Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Saturday August 22 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 08/22/2026, 06:05 AM ET

On Saturday, the Tampa Bay Rays (76-52) face off against the Baltimore Orioles (62-67) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Get involved in the action with our free MLB picks.

Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore Game Information

  • August 22, 2026
  • 7:05 PM EST
  • Oriole Park at Camden Yards
  • MLB.TV/MASN/Rays.TV/Fubo

Baltimore Form & Recent Results

Baltimore heads into this matchup with a win in its most recent game, but the team has still dropped four of its last five overall. Three of those defeats came during a home series sweep against the Yankees, while the other loss happened on the road against the Rays in St. Petersburg. The Orioles were able to bounce back on Friday with a 5-3 win over Tampa Bay at home, giving them something positive to build on before this next contest. In that victory, first baseman Pete Alonso had a strong day at the plate, going 2-for-4 with a single, a home run, one run scored, and three runs batted in. Starting pitcher Trevor Rogers also gave Baltimore a solid outing, working seven innings while giving up six hits and three earned runs. He issued just one walk and struck out six Tampa Bay hitters, helping keep the Orioles in control for most of the game.

Offensively, Baltimore finished that win with eight total hits, two home runs, and 15 total bases, showing some needed power in the lineup. Alonso has been the Orioles’ top run producer this season, leading the team with 30 home runs and 85 RBI. He also owns the best batting average on the roster at .271, making him one of the most important bats in Baltimore’s order. Gunnar Henderson has also provided power for the Orioles, ranking second on the team with 20 home runs so far this year. While Baltimore’s offense has had some bright spots, the pitching staff has had trouble keeping opponents off the scoreboard lately. Over their last five games, the Orioles have allowed an average of 4.8 runs per game, which is an area they will likely need to improve if they want to build momentum.

Tampa Bay Form & Recent Results

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup looking to get back on track after losing two games in a row and three of its last five overall. The Rays were beaten 5-3 by Baltimore on the road Friday, and although the team came up short, catcher Kenneth Piper gave them a solid offensive boost. He finished the game 1-for-3 with a home run, one run scored, and two RBIs, providing one of the bigger highlights for Tampa Bay in the loss.

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Offensively, Junior Caminero has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, leading the team with 35 home runs. Yandy Díaz has also been an important part of the lineup, ranking second on the team with 19 home runs so far. Caminero has done more than just hit for power, as he also leads Tampa Bay with 81 RBIs on the year. Chandler Simpson has been the team’s most consistent hitter in terms of average, leading the Rays with a .308 batting average. However, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has had some trouble recently, allowing an average of 6.4 runs per game over its last five contests.

Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay’s Junior Caminero this season: 35 HRs, 81 RBI, .276 AVG
  • Baltimore’s Pete Alonso this season: 30 HRs, 85 RBI, .271 AVG

Betting Odds & Market Overview:

  • TB -136 / BAL +113; O/U 8

Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore Picks and Prediction

The Rays will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Orioles on Friday, hoping to even things up with a stronger all-around performance. Tampa Bay will hand the ball to Shane McClanahan, who enters the matchup with a 9-6 record and a 3.25 ERA. Baltimore will counter with Brandon Young, who has put together a solid season of his own at 9-3 with a 3.52 ERA. The Orioles have also been getting a big boost from Pete Alonso, who has been locked in at the plate lately and will be a key bat for Tampa Bay to contain. Final Score Prediction, Baltimore Orioles win 3-2.

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