Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, April 4, 2026
Use Code WWWC Tampa Bay (2-4) will be trying to pick up their first series win of the season when they visit Target Field on Saturday night to face Minnesota (2-4) in the second game of their three-game series at 7:10 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Rays vs. Twins prediction. When it comes to MLB picks, our MLB Predictions are stellar.
Steven Matz, 1-0, 7.20 ERA, will get the start for the Rays. The Twins will counter with Mick Abel, 0-1, 13.50 ERA.
Minnesota and Tampa Bay split their last 10 meetings.
**This preview was written before Friday’s game was played.**
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Rays Trying To End Two-Series Slide
The Rays aren’t off to a good start this season after losing four of their first six games. They will try to put an end to the streak and pick up their first series win of the season when they face the Twins.
Tampa Bay averages five runs per game, which is seventh in the league. Their .274 batting average is fifth in the league. Their .337 on base percentage is seventh, while their .402 slugging percentage is ninth.
Chandler Simpson leads the Rays with a .476 batting average, while Yandy Diaz leads the team with two home runs and eight RBI.
Tampa Bay is giving up 6.33 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. Opponents have a .256 batting average against the Rays, which is 24th in the league. Their 5.44 ERA is 28th, while their 1.31 WHIP is 14th.
In his last start, Matz gave up six hits and four runs in five innings, leading to an 11-7 win over the Cardinals.
Twins Looking For First Home Series Win
The Twins kicked off their season with a six-game road trip, losing four of the six contests. They are playing at home for the first time and will try to turn things around with a win over the Rays.
Minnesota averages 4.33 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. Their .218 batting average is 20th in the league. Their .325 on base percentage is 11th, as is their .383 slugging percentage.
Victor Caratini leads Minnesota with a .278 batting average, while Josh Bell leads the team with two home runs and five RBI.
Minnesota is giving up 4.67 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. Opponents have a .267 batting average against the Twins, which is 27th in the league. Their 4.32 ERA is 22nd, while their 1.48 WHIP is 25th.
In his last start, Abel gave up eight hits and five runs in 3.1 innings, leading to an 8-6 loss to Baltimore.
Rays vs. Twins Picks
Money Line Pick for Rays vs. Twins
- Minnesota Twins ML (4 Units)
The Twins have the edge here because they played well offensively on their road trip. Even though they’ve struggled against left-handers, they’re facing Matz, who didn’t look good on the mound in his first start, giving up four runs. With the Rays also having one of the worst bullpens in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Twins.
Tampa Bay has played well offensively as well, but they will struggle offensively in this game because Abel has done well on the mound for the Twins in recent starts, giving up seven runs in his last three starts. With Minnesota’s bullpen also doing a better job than Tampa Bay’s, expect them to keep the Rays’ offense in check. Take Minnesota on the money line.
Over/Under Pick for Rays vs. Twins
- Over (4 Units)
The Rays average five runs per game. They’re batting .293 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up five runs in his first start, and a team that is giving up 4.67 runs per game. The Twins average 4.33 runs per game. They’re batting .218 for the season, and they’re facing a starter who gave up four runs in his first start, and a team that is giving up 6.33 runs per game. Expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total. The Rays and Twins played over the total in their last two meetings.
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