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Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction for Monday, September 1st, 2025

By: Adam Rauzino Published 09/01/2025, 04:41 PM ET
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

The Texas Rangers (71-67, 73-65 RL, 60-74-5 O/U) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (68-70, 65-73 RL, 65-64-9 O/U) begin a three-game series on Monday evening, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Rangers are sending Patrick Corbin to the mound. The Diamondbacks will respond with Ryne Nelson. The Diamondbacks lead the season series 2-1.

Can the Rangers extend their winning streak on Monday? Check out the Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction. Nobody does it better when it comes to MLB Picks!

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Rangers Post Sweep Against Athletics

Patrick Corbin will get the nod on Monday. Corbin was dominant in his recent effort, posting eight scoreless innings against the Angels, and was credited with the win. The veteran has been hit or miss this season. He had a disastrous August, posting a 7.17 ERA. The southpaw has recorded a 4.33 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP, accompanied by a 7-9 record in 131 innings of work on the season. Corbin has been exposed by the Diamondbacks in his career, posting a putrid 11.28 ERA and an 0-4 record in 26.1 innings.

The Texas Rangers are in a groove, winning eight of their past eight games. They are in the middle of a road trek. They opened the trip with a dominating sweep against the Athletics. They scored 23 runs and conceded just 11 runs. It’s been a bit of a disappointing season, but they are still in contention in the wildcard spot, standing only 2.5 games out. The Rangers are 29-40 on the road

Josh Smith is slumping at the dish, posting a weak .500 OPS in August. The 28-year-old has nine home runs with 32 RBIs and a .705 OPS on the year. Kyle Higashioka is swinging a hot bat, amassing nine RBIs in his past 10 games. The 35-year-old catcher has 45 RBIs on the season. The Rangers are dealing with key injuries. Corey Seager is out this week, and Marcus Semien is out for the remainder of the season.

Texas is averaging 4.29 runs on the year, marking them 19th. The pitching is stingy, posting a 3.41 ERA, which leads the big leagues.

Nelson Gets the Nod to Begin Series

Ryne Nelson is on the mound to begin the series on Monday evening. Nelson was sharp in his recent outing, keeping a potent Milwaukee offense to only one run in six innings, and earned the win. The young pitcher has not been quite as strong this month, where he netted a 4.60 ERA, but is enjoying the best season of his career, sporting a 3.53 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP, accompanied by a 7-3 record in 125 innings of work. Nelson squandered five runs in 5.1 innings against Texas last month and has surrendered nine runs in 11.1 career innings against the Rangers.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are hoping to reach the .500 mark before the season ends. The squad has been competitive since trading away key players last month, which is a good sign for next season. Arizona posted a series road win against the Brewers last week. Next, they won two of three road meetings against the Dodgers on the weekend, aided by the pitching, conceding six runs. The Diamondbacks stand at 34-32 at home.

Ketel Marte recorded 18 RBIs in August. The star second baseman has bashed 23 home runs with 60 RBIs and a .916 OPS on the year.  Geraldo Perdomo is the most underrated hitter in the game. The 25-year-old has posted 87 RBIs and an outstanding .832 OPS on the season. Arizona is happy to have Gabriel Moreno back in action. The 25-year-old catcher missed over two months with an injury. He has been a threat since his return, posting nine RBIs and a .905 OPS in seven games in August. He has 29 RBIs on the season. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. did not record an RBI in the series against Texas last month. The 31-year-old has 19 bombs with 80 RBIs on the season.

Arizona is scoring an average of 4.95 runs this year, marking them fifth. The pitching staff has reported a 4.50 ERA, positioning them 25th.

The Texas Rangers are not a reliable squad to back when on the road. They have won just 29 of 68 road games on the season. The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing with confidence. They have won four of their past five games. This includes series wins against the Brewers and Dodgers, who boast the best records in the NL. The Diamondbacks stand at 4-1 in their past five home games

Furthermore, Rangers pitcher Patrick Corbin has been horrendous, registering a 7.17 ERA in August. Diamondbacks pitcher Ryne Nelson is dominant at home, sporting a stingy 2.42 ERA and a 5-1 record. The Diamondbacks are a great play when Nelson is pitching. The Diamondbacks have won in four of Nelson's past five home starts.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -145 (5 units)

I expect plenty of runs. Texas is piling on the runs, plating five or more runs in five of their last six games. They have been just as threatening on the road, posting 30 runs in their past five road games. Also, Nelson gave up five runs in his meetings against Texas last month.

In addition, Corbin has issued a poor 5.43 ERA on the road this season. Arizona scored 15 runs in the three meetings against Texas last month. Arizona is putting crooked numbers on the board at home, scoring 26 runs in their past five home games. The over is 4-1 in the Rangers' past five road games.

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Over 9.5 (5 units)

Corbin was roughed up in August except for his last start. He last faced Arizona last July with Washington and gave up 13 hits and 11 runs in a 17-0 loss. Ryne Nelson met the Rangers on Aug. 11 and gallowed five runs in 5.1 innings in a 7-6 Texas win.

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