Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians, Picks and Prediction, Friday, September 26, 2025
Use Code WWWC Texas (80-78) will be trying to take the series lead when they visit Progressive Field on Friday night to face Cleveland (86-72) in the first game of their three-game series at 7:10 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Rangers vs. Guardians prediction. Need a hot take on the MLB Season? Check out our Free MLB Picks and cash in.
Jack Leiter, 9-10, 3.92 ERA, will get the start for the Rangers. The Guardians will counter with Slade Cecconi, 7-6, 4.15 ERA.
Cleveland and Texas split their last 10 meetings.
**This preview was written before Thursday’s game was played.**
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Texas Trying To Snap Three-Series Losing Streak
The Rangers followed up their series win over the Mets with series losses to Houston, Miami, and Minnesota, eliminating them from the playoffs in the process. They will try to put an end to the losing streak and close out their season with a series win when they play on Friday.
Texas averages 4.22 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Their .235 batting average is 26th in the league. Their .304 on base percentage is also 26th, as is their .383 slugging percentage.
Josh Smith leads Texas with a .252 batting average. Wyatt Langford leads the team with 22 home runs, while Adolis Garcia leads the team with 74 RBI.
Texas is giving up 3.71 runs per game, which leads the league. Opponents have a .229 batting average against the Rangers, which is second in the league Their 3.45 ERA leads the league, as does their 1.18 WHIP.
In his last start, Leiter gave up eight hits and four runs in 5.2 innings, leading to a 4-3 loss to Miami. He is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in two games against Cleveland.
Cleveland Trying To Increase AL Central Lead
The Guardians continue to roll and they’re coming off a series win over Detroit, which has allowed them to take a one-game lead in the AL Central standings. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fifth straight series win when they play the Rangers.
Cleveland averages 3.96 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. Their .226 batting average is 29th in the league. Their .297 on base percentage is also 29th, while their .373 slugging percentage is 28th.
Jose Ramirez has been the most consistent batter for Cleveland. He leads the team with a .284 batting average, 30 home runs, and 84 RBI.
Cleveland is giving up 3.97 runs per game, which is fifth in the league. Opponents have a .239 batting average, which is 10th in the league. Their 3.68 ERA is fourth, while their 1.26 WHIP is 14th.
In his last start, Cecconi gave up two hits and no runs in seven innings, leading to a 6-0 win over Minnesota. He is 0-0 with a 3.09 ERA in three games against Texas.
Rangers vs. Guardians Pick
Money Line Pick for Rangers vs. Guardians
- Cleveland Guardians ML (4 Units)
The Guardians have won 12 of their last 14 games, while the Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games. Cleveland has the edge here because they hit the ball well in recent games, and they’re going up against Leiter, who struggled on the mound in recent games, giving up 13 runs in his last three games. He gave up 10 runs in his last three road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Guardians.
Texas won’t be as successful offensively because they’ve struggled against right-handers, and they’re going up against Ceconni, who did a good job on the mound in recent starts, giving up two runs in his last three starts. He gave up five runs in his last three home starts, so expect him to keep Texas’ offense in check. Take Cleveland on the money line.
Over/Under Pick for Rangers vs. Guardians
- Under (4 Units)
The Rangers played under the total in their last four games, while the Guardians played under the total in four of their last five games. Texas averages 4.22 runs per game and averaged 2.33 runs per game in their last three games. They’re batting .238 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up four runs in three starts against them. The Guardians average 3.96 runs per game and averaged four runs per game in their last three games. They’re batting .228 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up six runs in two starts against them. Don’t expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total. The Guardians and Rangers played under the total in three of their last four meetings.
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