Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Picks and Prediction, Saturday, May 16, 2026

By: Mike Fink Published 05/16/2026, 04:30 AM ET
Astros vs Rangers prediction
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The Texas Rangers face the Houston Astros, with both teams looking to improve in the American League West Division. The Rangers are 21-22 and sit in third place in the division while the Astros have a 17-28 record, which is the second-worst in the division. Who will win this game? Check out our Rangers vs Astros prediction and all of our other Free MLB predictions.

Texas hopes deGrom helps out the awful lineup

The Rangers are having a rocky season with their starting pitching, keeping them competitive. One of those great starters is Jacob deGrom, who has allowed only 13 runs in 44.2 innings pitched while tossing 57 strikeouts, and he looks to build off a start where he tossed seven scoreless innings.

deGrom and the pitching have been great but the lineup has let them down, scoring only 3.77 runs per game. Josh Jung has five home runs and 77 total bases while Ezequiel Duran has added three home runs and 49 total bases but the rest of the batting order has struggled. Only four batters have an OPS+ over 100, and opposing pitchers can eliminate the hapless lineup as a result.

Astros hope Teng and lineup step up

The Astros are having a rough season and hope to turn things around with things heading up. Kai-Wei Teng will start the upcoming game and he looks to build on what’s been a great season on the mound as he’s allowed only nine runs in 26 innings pitched while striking out 23 batters.

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Teng has been great but the lineup has carried the Astros, scoring 4.58 runs per game. Yordan Alvarez has 14 home runs and 106 total bases while Braden Shewmake and Christian Walker have added 13 home runs and 332 total bases to add depth to the lineup.

Rangers vs Astros Pick

Money Line Pick For Rangers vs Astros

  • Rangers (-135) (4 units)

The Astros look to step up at home but with the Rangers turning to one of their best pitchers, they look to take over this game from the first inning. The Rangers should constantly plate baserunners with Josh Jung and Ezequiel Duran making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Rangers should limit the Astros lineup with Jacob deGrom, who has allowed only 13 runs in 44.2 innings pitched, tossing multiple strong innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a lead. The Rangers should win the game with a strong performance on the road.

Take the Rangers money line as road Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Rangers vs Astros

  • Under 8 (5 units)

The two teams have excellent pitchers on the mound who look to make this game a low-scoring one from the first pitch. The Astros should limit the Rangers lineup with Kai-Wei Teng tossing multiple strong innings. The Rangers should eliminate the Astros lineup with Jacob deGrom building off a seven-inning scoreless outing and tossing multiple scoreless innings with minimal contact and a surplus of strikeouts. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both starting pitchers stepping up.

Take the Under on 8 runs

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