Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 26, 2026

The Texas Rangers visit the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on Saturday, with the opening pitch scheduled for 4:10 PM ET and televised on MLB.TV. This is the next-to-last regular-season game for both teams. Texas is 79-80, tied with Houston atop the AL West, and remains in the playoff race after beating the Mets 3-1 on Thursday. The Rangers are also three games behind the final AL wild-card spot. Minnesota is 75-84, third in the AL Central, and has been eliminated from playoff contention. The Twins have won two straight after beating San Francisco 4-2 on Wednesday. Here’s our breakdown of this matchup and more of our free MLB picks.

Texas Rangers Fighting for the AL West Lead

Texas has dropped three of its last five games, but Thursday’s 3-1 victory over the Mets kept the Rangers level with Houston in the AL West standings. Brandon Nimmo leads Texas with a .260 average and 151 hits, adding 14 home runs and 61 RBI. Jake Burger has a team-high 27 homers and 89 RBI, while Ezequiel Duran is batting .259 with 17 home runs and 83 RBI. Josh Jung has also produced at the plate with a .299 average, 12 homers and 42 RBI in 103 games.

The Rangers are batting .242 with 661 runs, 178 home runs, a .317 on-base percentage and .395 slugging percentage. Texas ranks 18th in MLB batting and 22nd in pitching, posting a 4.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and .247 opponent average. Rangers pitchers have recorded 1,315 strikeouts, while the club has a 34-44 road record. Texas ranks fourth in fielding with 68 errors and a .988 fielding percentage, an area that has remained reliable late in the season.

Injuries: Kyle Higashioka (out), Carter Baumler (out), Jose Corniell (out), Joc Pederson (out), Jack Leiter (out).

Minnesota Twins Building a Two-Game Winning Streak

Minnesota returns home after consecutive road wins over San Francisco, beating the Giants 3-2 and 4-2. The Twins have won three of their last four overall. Luke Keaschall is batting .276 with a .366 on-base percentage, 10 home runs, 49 RBI and 19 stolen bases. Brooks Lee has 146 hits with 24 home runs and 83 RBI, while Josh Bell has 20 homers and a team-high 92 RBI. Kody Clemens leads Minnesota with 26 home runs and has driven in 76 runs.

Minnesota is batting .244 with 721 runs, 184 home runs, a .316 on-base percentage and .402 slugging percentage. The Twins rank 16th in MLB batting and 25th in pitching with a 4.57 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .249 opponent average. Minnesota has struck out 1,355 batters but has allowed 181 home runs. The Twins are 40-38 at Target Field and rank tied for seventh defensively with 72 errors and a .987 fielding percentage.

Injuries: Mike Paredes (out), Mick Abel (out), Kaelen Culpepper (out), Trevor Larnach (out), Byron Buxton (out).

Pitching Matchup

Texas Rangers - Undecided

Texas Rangers had not yet announced its starting pitcher at the time this preview was written.

Minnesota Twins - Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober is 7-6 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.26 WHIP across 126 innings. He has allowed 123 hits and 19 home runs while recording 91 strikeouts and 36 walks.

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Game Pick

• Texas Rangers

Texas is the pick with the Rangers still battling Houston for the AL West and coming off a 3-1 victory over the Mets. The Rangers have a 4.28 team ERA compared with Minnesota’s 4.57, along with a lower WHIP and opponent average. Minnesota starter Bailey Ober has a 4.21 ERA and 1.26 WHIP across 126 innings, but the Twins have allowed 785 runs this season. Texas has also committed only 68 errors, while Minnesota has recorded 72.

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Over/Under Pick

• under

Under is the pick with Texas scoring three runs or fewer in four of its last five games. Minnesota has allowed only 15 runs across its last five, including an 8-0 shutout of the Angels, while Ober owns a 4.21 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Texas has a .242 team average and .395 slugging percentage, and the Rangers have scored 661 runs this season. Minnesota’s 4.57 team ERA creates some scoring risk, but Texas’ recent offensive results favor a lower-scoring matchup.