Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 13, 2025

By: Chris King Published 09/13/2025, 04:22 AM ET
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Itโ€™s the middle game of a three-game interleague series between a pair of teams fighting for their playoff lives on the diamond in the Big Apple as the Texas Rangers travel to take on the New York Mets Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Rangers vs. Mets prediction. Texas swept Milwaukee in a three-game set at home as they took the finale 6-3 on Wednesday in their previous contest. New York suffered a four-game sweep at the hands of the Phillies as they took a 6-4 defeat in the series finale on Thursday. This article was published prior to the conclusion of the opening game of the series at Citi Field on Friday. Donโ€™t go down on strikes! Increase your bankroll with our MLB Betting Picks! Read more about this Rangers vs. Mets prediction!

Rangers Battling to Earn Wild Card Spot

Texas swept the major league-leading Brewers at home, running their win streak to four games by taking the finale on Wednesday. The Rangers entered Friday 77-70 and stood third in the AL West, two games behind the Mariners and Astros, who are tied for the top spot. They were two games behind Houston for the final wild card spot in the American League playoff picture. Against Milwaukee, Texas finished with six hits as Jake Burger (three runs, three RBI) was the lone player with two. Burger (his 15th and 16th) homered twice in the victory. Merrill Kelly (12-7) earned the win as he threw 5.1 innings, allowing three runs on 10 hits with no walks and six strikeouts, before departing. Phil Maton got the final two outs, striking out one, for his fourth save.

Patrick Corbin toes the slab for the Rangers as he makes his 28th start of the season in this contest on getaway day. He is 7-9 with a 4.36 ERA, a 1.321 WHIP, 45 walks and 119 strikeouts over 142.1 innings of work. Corbin didnโ€™t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Astros on Sunday. He threw 5.2 innings, allowing one run on three hits with one walk and five strikeouts in a 4-2 Rangers win. In his last three starts, Corbin is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA, a 0.72 WHIP, three walks and 18 strikeouts over 19.1 innings of work. Corbin makes his 31st career appearance, 30th start, against the Mets in this contest. He is 8-13 with a 5.07 ERA, a 1.406 WHIP, 50 walks and 147 strikeouts over 165 innings of work against them. Corbin is 4-7 with a 5.40 ERA, a 1.343 WHIP, 24 walks and 72 strikeouts over 76.2 innings of action in 14 career starts at Citi Field.

New York Struggling Down the Stretch

New York suffered a sixth straight loss as they were swept by the Phillies after falling Thursday in the series finale. The Mets entered Friday 76-71 and were second in the NL East, 11 games behind the Phillies for the top spot. They held the final wild card spot in the NL playoff picture by 1.5 games over the Reds and Giants. Against Philadelphia on Thursday, New York finished with five hits as no player had more than one. The Mets scored four times in the top of the first inning only to go hitless the rest of the way. David Peterson threw five innings, allowing three runs on seven hits with one walk and eight strikeouts, but didnโ€™t factor in the decision. Reed Garrett (3-6) took the loss in relief as he allowed three runs on three hits with one walk and one strikeout in two-thirds of an inning.

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Brandon Sproat is on the mound as he makes his second start of the season for the Mets in this contest. He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA, a 1.167 WHIP, four walks and seven strikeouts on the season. Sproat took the loss in his last start, which came against the Reds on Sunday afternoon. Sproat took the loss in his major league debut, which came on the road. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on three hits with four walks and seven strikeouts in a 3-2 Mets defeat. Sproat, in his second career major league start, pitches against the Rangers for the first time here. This marks his first career start at Citi Field as well. Before being called up, Sproat was 8-6 with a 4.24 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, 53 walks and 113 strikeouts over 121 innings of work in 26 appearances, 25 starts, with Triple-A Syracuse of the International League.

Rangers vs. Mets Pick

Moneyline Pick for Rangers vs. Mets

  • Rangers +140 (4 units)

Texas has won four straight entering Fridayโ€™s series opener as Jacob deGrom faces his former team for the first time. The Rangers have fared well despite being a mediocre offensive team, as they have been solid at run prevention. New York has faded of late, entering Friday 4-10 in their last 14 games, dropping seven games in the standings in the process. Sproat is one of a trio of young arms, along with Jonah Tong and Nolan MacLean, to try and carry the team to the postseason. Given the Metsโ€™ struggles of late and the Rangers getting hot at the right time, give the edge to the visitors.

Over/Under Pick for Rangers vs. Mets

  • Under 9 (4 units)

Texas entered Friday night having seen the under post a 79-65-3 mark in their 147 games this season. The Rangers are tied for 20th in the majors with 4.29 runs per game, a number that edges up to 4.40 runs per game as the visiting team. Texas has an average total of 7.95 runs per game this season, and that number bumps up to 8.75 runs per game as the road team. The Mets are 10th in runs per game with 4.72 runs a night, a number that bumps up to 4.96 runs per game at home entering Friday. New York has an average total of 9.11 runs per game and that moves to 9.13 runs per game at Citi Field. The Mets entered Friday having seen the under post a 70-69-8 mark in their opening 147 games of the year. Look for both teams to have their offensive issues, keeping this one under the total.

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