Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 6, 2026

On Sunday, the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium, with the opening pitch scheduled for 2:10 PM ET and televised on MLB.TV. Toronto is 71-71, fourth in the AL East and 13.5 games behind Tampa Bay. Kansas City is 63-79, fifth in the AL Central and 11.5 games behind Chicago. Toronto sits 0.5 games behind the final AL Wild Card spot, while Kansas City is 7.5 games back. The Blue Jays have won three straight, while the Royals have struggled recently. Cash in on a winner with our free MLB picks.

Toronto Blue Jays Heating Up on the Road

Toronto has found better form with three straight victories, including Friday’s 9-2 win at Kansas City. The Blue Jays also beat Cleveland 11-0 and 6-3 after dropping the series opener 6-1. Toronto has won four of its last five overall, scoring at least six runs in each victory. The Blue Jays are batting .247 with a .309 on-base percentage and .382 slugging percentage, producing 575 runs and 134 home runs through 142 games.

Ernie Clement leads Toronto with a .276 average and 145 hits, while Kazuma Okamoto has been the top power threat with 28 home runs and 79 RBI. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .262 with a .333 on-base percentage, and George Springer has 14 home runs. Toronto’s pitching staff owns a 3.92 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and .237 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays have recorded 1,229 strikeouts and are 34-36 away from home.

Injuries: Luis Urias is on the 10-Day IL. Trey Yesavage is on the 15-Day IL, Patrick Corbin and Anthony Santander are on the 60-Day IL, and Jameson Taillon is out.

Kansas City Royals Searching for a Response at Home

Kansas City needs a better response after Friday’s 9-2 loss, which followed a 7-3 victory over Miami. The Royals have dropped four of their last five games, allowing at least six runs in each defeat. Kansas City is batting .248 with a .316 on-base percentage and .403 slugging percentage. The Royals have scored 608 runs with 148 home runs, and their 114 stolen bases add another way to create scoring chances.

Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .283 with a .360 on-base percentage, 17 home runs, 136 hits and 38 stolen bases. Jac Caglianone has produced 23 home runs and 69 RBI while batting .281 with a .493 slugging percentage. Carter Jensen has added 22 homers and 67 RBI. Kansas City’s pitching has been a problem, with a 4.71 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and .257 opponent batting average. The Royals have allowed 175 home runs and are 37-33 at home.

Injuries: Maikel Garcia is on the 10-Day IL. Tony Gonsolin and Beck Way are on the 15-Day IL, while Connor Seabold and James McArthur are on the 60-Day IL.

Pitching Matchup

Toronto Blue Jays - Spencer Arrighetti

Spencer Arrighetti is 7-8 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.34 WHIP across 99 innings. The right-hander has allowed 78 hits, 55 walks and 15 home runs while recording 97 strikeouts. Arrighetti has kept his hit total below his innings pitched, but the 55 walks have increased the number of baserunners he has needed to work around. He heads into Sunday one inning short of reaching 100 for the season.

Kansas City Royals - Randy Dobnak

Randy Dobnak is 2-3 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.39 WHIP through 57.2 innings. The right-hander has allowed 57 hits, 23 walks and five home runs while striking out 40. Dobnak’s ERA has remained below 3.00 through his current workload, and he has kept home runs limited. His 23 walks have contributed to the higher WHIP, but only five balls have left the park against him this season.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Game Pick

• Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto is the pick Sunday after putting together its best recent stretch with four wins in five games. The Blue Jays have scored 33 runs across those five contests, including nine against Kansas City on Friday. Toronto also owns the stronger pitching numbers, posting a 3.92 team ERA and .237 opponent average. Kansas City has a 4.71 ERA and has allowed at least six runs in four of its last five games. With Toronto sitting just behind the final Wild Card position, the Blue Jays are the choice.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Over/Under Pick

• Over

Recent scoring trends point toward Over in Sunday’s matchup. Toronto has scored at least six runs in four of its last five games, reaching nine or more three times during that stretch. Kansas City has allowed 38 runs across its last five contests, including nine to Toronto on Friday. Spencer Arrighetti also has a 4.82 ERA with 55 walks in 99 innings, while the Royals own a 4.71 team ERA. With both staffs allowing baserunners, another higher-scoring game is expected; take the over.