Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 3, 2026

The Toronto Blue Jays face the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis on Sunday at 12:35 PM ET, with coverage on Peacock. Toronto enters at 15-17 (5-9 away) after a 7-3 win over Minnesota on May 1, while Minnesota sits at 14-19 (9-9 home) following that same loss. The pitching matchup features Trey Yesavage against Joe Ryan, with both teams splitting the first two games of this series. Hit a home run with our top MLB picks for Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins picks prediction today!

Blue Jays finding timely offense

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this matchup hitting .250 with a .311 OBP and 28 home runs while posting a 4.27 ERA. In the most recent game, Toronto beat Minnesota 7-3, getting consistent run production after dropping the prior game 7-1. The Blue Jays have now won three of their last five games, including back-to-back wins over Boston before this series.

Toronto continues to lean on Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is hitting .342 with a .430 OBP, giving the lineup a steady presence. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team with 7 home runs and 18 RBI, though his .228 average shows some inconsistency. Trey Yesavage gets the start with a 0.00 ERA and 0.75 WHIP through 5.1 innings, and while the sample is small, he has limited traffic and avoided damage so far.

Injuries: Yariel Rodriguez, 7-Day IL; Nathan Lukes, 10-Day IL; Javen Coleman, 7-Day IL; CJ Stubbs, 7-Day IL; Jose Berrios, 15-Day IL.

Twins relying on power but struggling with consistency

The Minnesota Twins are hitting .235 with a .327 OBP and 39 home runs, showing more power than Toronto but less consistency. In their last game, Minnesota lost 7-3 to Toronto after winning the previous matchup 7-1. The Twins have gone 2-3 over their last five games, with losses stacking up when the offense slows down.

Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 9 home runs and a .260 average, while Ryan Jeffers has driven in 21 runs and is hitting .301. The offense has produced 157 runs, but the .251 opponent batting average and 4.33 ERA show that run prevention has been an issue. Joe Ryan takes the mound with a 3.76 ERA and 1.04 WHIP across 38.1 innings, along with 39 strikeouts, giving Minnesota the more proven starter in this matchup.

Injuries: Cory Lewis, 7-Day IL; Julian Merryweather, 7-Day IL; Cody Laweryson, 15-Day IL; Cole Sands, 15-Day IL; Garrett Acton, 15-Day IL.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Picks Pick

Spread Pick for Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Picks

• Toronto Blue Jays (4 units)

Toronto has the edge based on recent production and how the lineup has performed in this series. The Blue Jays just scored seven runs against this pitching staff and have put up 19 runs across their last three wins. Minnesota has allowed at least five runs in three of its last five games, and the 1.36 WHIP shows too many baserunners. Joe Ryan brings stability, but Toronto has already shown it can generate offense in this matchup. With Guerrero Jr. setting the tone and the lineup producing, Toronto is the stronger side.

Over/Under Pick for Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Picks

• Over (4 units)

Both teams bring scoring trends that point toward runs. Toronto has scored at least three runs in four of its last five games and just put up seven in the latest matchup. Minnesota has allowed 7, 5, and 7 runs in three of its last five games, while also scoring seven in one of those contests. The Twins’ pitching staff allows a .251 opponent average, and Toronto’s staff sits at a 4.27 ERA. With both offenses showing the ability to generate runs and recent games in this series producing high totals, this sets up for another game that clears the number.