Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for ALDS, Game 4, Wednesday, October 8, 2025
Use Code WWWC The regular season is in the rearview mirror and the postseason brings another chapter in a bitter rivalry between AL East rivals as the Toronto Blue Jays take on the New York Yankees in Game 4 of their best-of-five AL Division Series on Wednesday evening and we have you covered with our Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction. Toronto took advantage of being rested and home-field advantage as they rolled to a 10-1 win in Game 1 of the set Saturday night. The Blue Jays followed that up with a 13-7 win in Game 2 on Sunday to put the Yankees on the brink of elimination. Aaron Judge carried the Yankees with a homer and four RBIs on Tuesday night to lead them to a 9-6 win in Game 3. Will Toronto advance to the ALCS here or can the Yankees extend their season? Read more about this Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction! Don’t go down on strikes! Increase your bankroll with our MLB Betting Picks!
Toronto Looking to Close Out Bronx Bombers
Toronto’s bats were out in full force again in Game 2 of this series as they battered the Yankees into submission and put themselves on the brink of the AL Championship Series. The Blue Jays hope to carry their success across to border to the Big Apple as the series changes venues. In Game 2 Sunday, Toronto rapped out 15 hits as Daulton Varsho (four runs, four RBI) had four hits while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (two runs, four RBI) and Ernie Clement (run, three RBI) each had three. Varsho (his first and second), Clement (his first), Guerrero Jr. (his second) and George Springer (his first) each went deep in the win and then Guerrero Jr. went deep again on Tuesday in Game 3 and had two RBIs. Trey Yesavage (1-0) earned the win as he threw 5.1 innings, allowing no runs on no hits with one walk and 11 strikeouts, before handing off to the bullpen. Shane Bieber was on the bump in Game 3 for Toronto Tuesday night and struggled, allowing five hits and three runs in 2.2 innings.
The Blue Jays have not officially named a starter for this contest, but the expectation is that Eric Lauer would get the call for his second appearance, first start, of the postseason. He made 28 appearances, 15 starts, in the regular season, posting a 9-2 mark with a 3.18 ERA, a 1.108 WHIP, 26 walks and 102 strikeouts over 104.2 innings of work. In the postseason, he has no record with an 81.00 ERA, a 9.00 WHIP, no walks and one strikeout in one-third of an inning. Lauer didn’t factor in the decision in his last outing, which came in relief in Game 2 of the AL Division Series against the Yankees at home Sunday. He threw one-third of an inning, allowing three runs on three hits with no walks and one strikeout in a 13-7 Blue Jays win. In his last three appearances, all in relief, Lauer has no record with a 5.79 ERA, a 0.64 WHIP, no walks and four strikeouts over 4.2 innings of work. Lauer makes his third career appearance, second start, against the Yankees here. He is 1-0 with a 6.00 ERA, a 1.167 WHIP, no walks and two strikeouts over six innings of work against them. Lauer beat the Yankees in his lone career start at Yankee Stadium, which came with the Padres on May 28, 2019. He threw 5.1 innings, allowing one run on four hits with no walks and four strikeouts in a 5-4 Padres victory.
Yankees Hoping to Take Season to the Limit
New York got off to a dismal start, digging a hole too deep to dig out of, and found themselves one loss from elimination. The Yankees now must pick up a win here at home to extend their season or head home for the offseason. Against Toronto in Game 2 Sunday, New York trailed 11-0 after four innings, leaving them facing a massive deficit. The Yankees finished the game with 10 hits as Aaron Judge (two runs, RBI), Ben Rice (run, RBI) and Giancarlo Stanton (two RBI) each had a pair. Cody Bellinger (his first) went deep in the contest for the Yankees in the loss. Max Fried (0-1) was roughed up and took the loss as he allowed seven runs on eight hits with two walks and one strikeout over three innings of work. Carlos Rodon was slated to get the ball for the Yankees in Game 3 as they tried to stave off elimination. Rodon was rocked for six runs in 2.1 innings, but the Yankees' bullpen did the job the rest of the way, holid the Jays to no runs and three hits in 6.2 innings.
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Cam Schlittler gets the call for the Yankees here for his second postseason start after making 14 regular-season starts. He was 4-3 with a 2.96 ERA, a 1.219 WHIP, 31 walks and 84 strikeouts over 73 innings of work in the regular season. In the postseason, Schlittler is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, a 0.625 WHIP, no walks and 12 strikeouts. Schlittler earned the win in his last start, which came against the Red Sox at home in Game 3 of the AL Wild Card Series on Thursday. He threw eight scoreless innings, allowing five hits with no walks and 12 strikeouts in a 4-0 Yankees win. In his last three starts, Schlittler is 2-0 with a 0.44 ERA, a 0.59 WHIP, two walks and 27 strikeouts over 20.1 innings of work. Schlittler makes his third career start against the Blue Jays in this contest. In those outings, he is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA, a 2.55 WHIP, five walks and five strikeouts over 8.1 innings of work against them. He makes his 10th career start at Yankee Stadium in this contest. Schlittler is 5-2 with a 2.61 ERA, a 1.097 WHIP, 17 walks and 59 strikeouts over 48.1 innings of work in those outings.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Pick
Moneyline Pick for Blue Jays vs. Yankees
- Yankees (4 units)
The pitching matchup swings in the Yankees' favor here. We saw Schlittler turn in a stellar eight scoreless frames in a win-or-go-home matchup against Boston in Game 3 of the wild-card round. Meanwhile, with Max Scherzer, Chris Bassitt and Jose Berrios not on the AL Division Series roster, the Blue Jays would be staring a bullpen game in the face here. Lauer was effective as a starter but pitched out of the pen the entire month of September. It likely would be a game led by Lauer and Louis Varland, which is tough to bank on here. The Yankees are in dire straits and Schlittler proved his mettle in the postseason already. Give the edge to the Bronx Bombers here as a result.
Over/Under Pick for Blue Jays vs. Yankees
- Under (4 units)
Toronto has seen the over post an 88-71-5 mark in their 164 games on the year entering Tuesday night. The Blue Jays are 3rd in the majors with 5.01 runs per game, and that number falls to 4.53 runs per game away from Rogers Centre. Toronto has an average total of 9.46 runs per game, but that number drops to 9.27 runs per game on the road. New York has seen the under hit in 84 of their 167 games, with five pushes, this season entering Tuesday night. The Yankees are first in the majors by averaging 5.19 runs per game, though they allow 4.28 runs per game, giving them an average of 9.47 runs per game. New York puts up 4.98 runs per game at home, while allowing four runs per game, giving them an average total of 8.91 runs per contest. While we saw double-digit runs in the first two games of the series but the three games in the wild card series here stayed under the total. If Schlittler pitches like he did against Boston and the Blue Jays shuffle arms to stay out of trouble, this game winds up short of the mark.
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