Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 6, 2025
On Saturday, the Toronto Blue Jays (81-59, 1st AL East) play the middle game of a 3-game series in the Big Apple against American League East rival the New York Yankees (78-62, 2nd AL East). Toronto defeated the Cincinnati Reds 13-9 on Wednesday. Toronto has won two straight and three of the last four. The Blue Jays lead the American League East by three games over the Yankees. New York defeated the Houston Astros 8-4 on Thursday. New York has won two of the last three and nine of the last 11. While second in the AL East, New York currently is first in the AL wildcard race, with the first three qualifying for the postseason. Toronto will play without seven pitchers and DH Anthony Santander. New York will play without nine pitchers and 3B Oswaldo Cabrera. Make sure to read this in-depth Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees prediction. Baseball excitement starts here! Dive into our MLB picks for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees prediction.
This article was written before these two played on Friday.
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Toronto is one of the best at the plate, but could improve on the mound
The Toronto Blue Jays are in the top four in four hitting categories. The Blue Jays are 1st in both on-base percentage at .339 and batting average at .270, while 4th in both slugging percentage at .435 and runs scored with 704. George Springer has 27 home runs to lead Toronto, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr is second with 22. Bo Bichette is the leader in RBI with 91, and Guerrero Jr is second with 77. Toronto has six players with 55 or more RBI. Toronto has hit 254 doubles, 9 triples, and 173 home runs for 436 extra-base hits in 140 games.
On the mound, Toronto is 12th in batting average against at .243, 13th in Quality Starts with 52, 14th in WHIP at 1.27, and 21st in ERA at 4.29. Chris Bassitt is the leader in wins with 11, while Kevin Gausman leads the Blue Jays in strikeouts with 157 and ERA for starters at 3.75. On Saturday, Toronto will hand the ball to Max Scherzer. This season, the right-hander is 5-2 with a 4.11 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 62 strikeouts.
New York is performing above average both at the plate and on the mound
The New York Yankees are first in both slugging percentage at .448 and runs scored with 741, while 3rd in on-base percentage at .331, and 12th in batting average at .251. Aaron Judge leads New York in both home runs with 43 and RBI with 97. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is second in home runs with 28, and Cody Bellinger is second in RBI with 87. New York has four players with 70 or more RBI. The Yankees have hit 225 doubles, 19 triples, and 241 home runs for 485 extra-base hits in 140 games.
On the mound, New York is 3rd in batting average against at .230, 12th in WHIP at 1.26, 14th in ERA at 3.92, and 15th in Quality Starts with 49. Carlos Rodon leads New York in wins with 16 and strikeouts with 180, while Max Fried leads in ERA for starters at 2.98. On Saturday, New York will hand the ball to Luis Gil. This season, the right-hander is 2-1 with a 3.68 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, and 29 strikeouts.
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Pick
Pick for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
- New York Yankees (4 units)
Toronto is just 5-5 in its last 10 games overall and has lost four of the last five on the road against New York. The Yankees have won nine of their last 11 overall and have won six of the last nine against a team from the American League East. Both Toronto and New York are strong at the plate, as the Blue Jays are in the top four in four hitting categories, and New York is in the top 12 in four hitting categories. New York has performed slightly better on the mound as the Yankees are 12th in WHIP and 14th in ERA, while Toronto is 14th in WHIP and 21st in ERA. Toronto starter Max Scherzer has not fared well in either of the last two outings, giving up 13 hits and eight runs in 10 innings, including serving up four homers during that span. New York Yankees starter Luis Gil has performed well in five consecutive appearances, allowing 23 hits and seven runs in 26 innings.
Over/Under Pick for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
- Over (5 units)
The total has finished over in each of Toronto starter Max Scherzer’s last three appearances. The total has been over in 10 of Toronto’s last 11 games and in all of the Blue Jays’ last 5 played on the road. New York has had the total finish over in 14 of the last 18 games and in 14 of the last 19 games against Toronto. New York is first in runs scored, and Toronto is 4th.
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