Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Sunday, August 9, 2026

The Toronto Blue Jays visit the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. Toronto is 55-62, fifth in the AL East and 15 games behind Tampa Bay. The Blue Jays have won three of their last five after Friday’s 5-4 victory over Philadelphia. The Phillies are 62-55, second in the NL East and 8.5 games behind Atlanta. Philadelphia has won three of its last five despite Friday’s loss. Toronto leads the series 1-0 entering Saturday’s game. Cash in a winner with our free MLB picks.

Toronto Blue Jays Looking for More Road Success

Toronto is batting .242 with 456 runs, 112 home runs, a .303 on-base percentage, and a .377 slugging percentage. The Blue Jays rank 19th in MLB in batting average and have scored 17 runs across their last five games. Ernie Clement leads Toronto with a .284 average and 125 hits, while Kazuma Okamoto has provided the most power with 24 home runs and 70 RBIs. Jesus Sanchez is batting .271 with eight homers and 32 RBIs, while George Springer has added 12 home runs and 36 RBIs.

The Blue Jays rank 11th in MLB pitching with a 4.04 ERA and 1.31 WHIP while opponents are batting .241. Toronto has recorded 1,025 strikeouts, 36 saves, eight shutouts, and 35 quality starts. The pitching staff has allowed 19 runs over the last five games and four or fewer in four of those contests. Toronto is 27-31 away from home and 25-27 in day games.

Injuries: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Day-To-Day), Jonatan Clase (10-Day IL), Lenyn Sosa (60-Day IL), Luis Urias (10-Day IL), Joe Mantiply (60-Day IL).

Philadelphia Phillies Looking to Answer Series-Opening Loss

Philadelphia is batting .238 with 516 runs, 145 home runs, a .307 on-base percentage, and a .401 slugging percentage. The Phillies rank 21st in MLB in batting average but have considerably more home-run power than Toronto. Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia with 33 homers while carrying an .882 OPS. Bryce Harper has 24 home runs, 70 RBIs, and a .366 on-base percentage, while Brandon Marsh leads the club with a .278 average. Philadelphia has scored 26 runs across its last five games.

The Phillies rank 17th in MLB pitching with a 4.19 ERA and 1.30 WHIP while opponents are batting .251. Philadelphia has recorded 1,133 strikeouts, 30 saves, 15 shutouts, and 50 quality starts. The staff has allowed 22 runs over the last five contests, though Philadelphia shut out Washington 5-0 on Tuesday. The Phillies are 31-29 at Citizens Bank Park and 18-20 in day games.

Injuries: Derek Hill (Day-To-Day), Andrew Painter (Day-To-Day), Rafael Marchan (10-Day IL), Tanner Banks (60-Day IL), Johan Rojas (60-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

Toronto Blue Jays – Shane Bieber

Bieber enters Sunday at 3-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.68 WHIP through 37 innings. The right-hander has allowed 42 hits and 20 walks while striking out 28 and surrendering seven home runs. Bieber’s baserunner numbers are a concern against a Philadelphia lineup with 145 homers, especially with Schwarber and Harper combining for 57.

Philadelphia Phillies – Jesus Luzardo

Luzardo is 10-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.16 WHIP across 136.2 innings. The left-hander has allowed 116 hits and 43 walks while recording 164 strikeouts and giving up 12 home runs. Luzardo owns a clear statistical advantage in the starting matchup, with a substantially lower ERA and WHIP than Bieber and 136 more strikeouts than walks.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Game Pick

• Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia is the pick behind the stronger starting pitching matchup. Luzardo owns a 3.36 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 164 strikeouts across 136.2 innings, while Bieber enters with a 5.11 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. The Phillies also have the more dangerous power numbers, hitting 145 home runs compared with Toronto’s 112. Toronto took Friday’s opener, but Philadelphia has won three of its last five and has scored 26 runs during that stretch. Luzardo gives the Phillies the better chance to take the series finale.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Over/Under Pick

• Over

The over is the pick with Bieber facing a Philadelphia lineup that has shown solid scoring form. The Phillies have produced 26 runs over their last five games and have 145 home runs this season, led by Schwarber’s 33 and Harper’s 24. Bieber has a 5.11 ERA and 1.68 WHIP while allowing seven homers in only 37 innings. Toronto has also scored at least five runs in two of its last three games, including five against Philadelphia on Friday, giving this matchup enough scoring to cash the total over.