Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction and Picks - September 24, 2025
Use Code WWWC Wednesday afternoon on the MLB diamond, and we have a Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction ready to rock and roll. Washington has been out of the race for a long time and comes in with a 64-94 mark. The Braves have been better down the stretch, as they have won ten games in a row, but are still going to miss the postseason this year. Read on to see our Nationals vs Braves prediction.
Need some winners this baseball season? Check out our Free MLB Picks.
Nats Come Up Short In Game Two
Washington battled hard in Tuesday’s 3–2 loss, getting a solo homer from James Wood and an RBI single from CJ Abrams, but couldn’t overcome Atlanta’s power. Brad Lord pitched well, allowing just two runs over six innings, but the bullpen gave up the decisive run in the seventh. The Nationals have now lost six of their last eight and continue to struggle in close games, especially against division opponents. Their offense ranks 20th in MLB in runs scored and 27th in home runs, and they’ve hit just .243 as a team this season.
Andrew Alvarez gets the start Wednesday, making his fifth appearance of the season. The rookie left-hander has impressed with a 2.84 ERA and a .194 opponent batting average over 19.2 innings. He’s allowed two or fewer runs in three of his four starts and has shown poise despite limited experience. Alvarez will need to navigate a Braves lineup that ranks top 15 in home runs and slugging, and his ability to limit walks and keep the ball in the yard will be key. Washington’s bullpen has a 64.8% save rate and ranks 25th in holds, so early run support is critical.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
Offensively, the Nationals lean on Abrams and Wood to generate momentum. Abrams leads the team in homers and stolen bases, while Wood has emerged as a reliable middle-of-the-order bat with 90 RBIs and a .457 slugging percentage. But the lineup lacks depth, and their .305 OBP ranks 23rd in MLB. If Alvarez can keep the game close and the top of the order produces, Washington has a shot to steal the series finale. Otherwise, their defensive lapses and bullpen volatility could be exposed again.
Atlanta Pushes Win Streak To 10 In A Row
The Braves are surging, winning 10 straight games and playing their best baseball of the season. Tuesday’s 3–2 win featured solo shots from Acuña Jr. and Harris II, with Raisel Iglesias locking down his 28th save. Hurston Waldrep delivered six strong innings, and the bullpen combined for three scoreless frames. Atlanta has now won six straight against Washington and continues to dominate late in games, thanks to timely hitting and improved relief work.
Bryce Elder takes the mound Wednesday, looking to build on a strong outing against Detroit, where he allowed just one run over seven innings. Elder is 8–10 with a 5.36 ERA this season, but he’s posted a 2.63 ERA over his last six starts and has a 1.50 ERA in one prior appearance against Washington. He’s not overpowering, but his ability to induce soft contact and pitch deep into games gives Atlanta a clear edge. The Braves bullpen has improved its inherited runner rate and now ranks 21st in save percentage, giving Elder some cushion if he exits with a lead.
Atlanta’s offense remains dangerous, led by Acuña Jr. (.285 AVG, 20 HR, 40 RBI) and Matt Olson (.275 AVG, 167 hits, .488 SLG). Michael Harris II has been red-hot, hitting two homers on Tuesday and driving in five runs over his last three games. Drake Baldwin and Marcell Ozuna add depth, and the team ranks 13th in MLB in runs scored and ninth in OBP. With momentum, home-field advantage, and a favorable pitching matchup, the Braves are well-positioned to sweep the series and close the season on a high note.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Pick
Nationals vs Braves Moneyline Pick
- Atlanta -1.5 (5 Units)
Backing the Braves on the runline (-1.5) for Wednesday’s early matchup makes sense given their current form and the pitching edge. Atlanta has won 10 straight and covered the runline in seven of those games, including Tuesday’s 3–2 win where they controlled tempo and got clutch late-game execution. Bryce Elder has quietly turned a corner, posting a 2.63 ERA over his last six starts and showing improved command. Against a Nationals lineup that ranks bottom five in slugging and struggles to generate multi-run innings, Elder should be able to work deep and hand off a lead to a rested bullpen.
On the offensive side, Atlanta’s lineup is built to separate—Ronald Acuña Jr., Matt Olson, and Michael Harris II all have game-breaking power, and the team ranks top 10 in OBP and runs scored. Rookie Andrew Alvarez has shown promise for Washington, but he’s yet to face a lineup this deep or this hot. If the Braves can get to him early and force Washington’s bullpen into action by the fifth or sixth inning, the runline becomes even more attractive. With momentum, matchup history, and home-field advantage, Atlanta is well-positioned to win by multiple runs and close out the series sweep.
Nationals vs Braves Over/Under Pick
- Over 9 (4 Units)
The Over 9 is a strong play for Wednesday’s Nationals–Braves matinee, with both teams trending toward high-contact, run-producing profiles. Atlanta has scored 5+ runs in eight of its last ten games and boasts a top-10 slugging lineup led by Acuña Jr., Olson, and Harris II—all capable of clearing the fence or driving in runs with extra-base hits. Washington, while inconsistent, has shown flashes with Abrams and Wood, and rookie Alvarez could be vulnerable against a deep Braves order. Bryce Elder has pitched better lately, but his season ERA still sits above 5.00, and both bullpens have struggled to shut the door cleanly. With warm midday conditions and two contact-heavy lineups, this game sets up well to push past the posted total.
Never Tried Winners and Whiners? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code DOLLAR
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
- Check out more MLB predictions
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
