Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Saturday, June 27, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s the middle game of an interleague series on the diamond between a pair of teams hoping to find some positive momentum in Charm City as the Washington Nationals play the second game of a three-game set with the Baltimore Orioles Saturday night and we have you covered with our Nationals vs. Orioles prediction. Washington dropped three of four at home to the Phillies as they fell 10-5 in the finale Thursday night. Baltimore dropped the rubber game of a three-game set on the road with the Angels, falling 7-6 in 10 innings Wednesday night. This article was published prior to the conclusion of the opening game of the set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Friday night. Read more about this Nationals vs. Orioles prediction! Winning isn’t easy so you need the top MLB Predictions.
Washington Hoping to Bounce Back on the Road
Washington had their chances to potentially sweep the series with the Phillies but their bullpen issues caught up with them as they dropped three of four. The Nationals entered Friday night 41-41 and stood fourth in the NL East, 8.5 games behind the Braves for the top spot. Against Philadelphia, Washington finished with eight hits as Dylan Crews (two runs) had three and Darren Lile (run, RBI) added two. Curtis Mead (his 14th) went deep in the loss for the Nationals. Cade Cavalli threw six innings, allowing two runs on five hits with one walk and seven strikeouts, but didn’t factor in the decision. Gus Varland (1-2) took the loss in relief as he allowed five runs on six hits with no walks and two strikeouts over two innings of work.
Foster Griffin is on the bump for the Nationals as he makes his 17th start of the season in this contest. He is 8-2 with a 3.15 ERA, a 1.062 WHIP, 23 walks and 89 strikeouts over 91.1 innings of work this season. Griffin earned the win in his last start, which came Monday at home against the Phillies. He threw 7.1 innings, allowing one run on four hits with no walks and nine strikeouts in a 4-1 Nationals win. In his last three starts, Griffin is 1-0 with a 1.40 ERA, a 0.93 WHIP, two walks and 20 strikeouts over 19.1 innings of work. Griffin, in his 24th career major league appearance, 17th start, pitches against the Orioles for the first time here. As a result, this marks his first career outing at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Orioles Looking to Get A Win at Home
Baltimore had their chances but dropped the rubber game of a set on the road against the Angels as they fell in extra innings Wednesday night. The Orioles entered Friday night 38-44 and stood fourth in the AL East, 11 games behind the Yankees for the top spot. Against the Angels, Baltimore finished with nine hits as Pete Alonso (two runs, two RBI) led the way with three. Taylor Ward (run) and Samuel Basallo (two runs, four RBI) each added two. Basallo (his 11th and 12th) went deep twice in the loss. Trey Gibson threw four innings, allowing two runs on three hits with two walks and five strikeouts, but didn’t factor in the decision. Keegan Akin (0-1) took the loss in relief as he allowed two runs (none earned) on one hit with no walks and one strikeout in two-thirds of an inning of relief.
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Brandon Young is on the mound for the Orioles as he makes his 13th start of the season in this contest. He is 6-2 with a 3.07 ERA, a 1.262 WHIP, 25 walks and 49 strikeouts over 67.1 innings of work this season. Young earned the win in his last start, which came against the Dodgers on the road Sunday. He threw five innings, allowing one run on five hits with two walks and five strikeouts in a 12-1 Orioles victory. In his last three starts, Young is 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA, a 1.06 WHIP, eight walks and 12 strikeouts over 18 innings of work. Young didn’t factor in the decision in his lone career start against the Nationals, which came on the road May 17. He threw 3.2 innings, allowing two runs on five hits with three walks and three strikeouts in a 3-2 Orioles win. Young is 2-5 with a 5.61 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, 21 walks and 52 strikeouts over 67.1 innings in 13 career starts at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Nationals vs. Orioles Pick
Moneyline Pick for Nationals vs. Orioles
- Nationals -105 (4 units)
Both pitchers have been solid to this point of the season. Griffin has better metrics going for him, averaging nearly a strikeout an inning this season. He has given up 16 homers on the year but if he limits damage, he’ll be in good shape. Young has a FIP ERA nearly a full run higher (3.97) than his actual number this season, so he’s been fortunate at times. That means regression to the mean is coming for him and that’s not necessarily good news. Washington has a pretty decent lineup and they get back on track with a win here as Griffin gets the job done.
Over/Under Pick for Nationals vs. Orioles
- Over 8.5 (4 units)
Washington entered Friday having gone over the total in 48 of their 82 games, with three pushes, on the season. The Nationals are 1st in the majors with 5.34 runs per game, a number that falls to 5.30 runs per game on the road. Washington has an average total of 10.63 runs per game and that number slides to 9.83 runs per game on the road this season. Baltimore has seen the over post a 47-32-3 mark on the year heading into Friday’s action. The Orioles are 9th in the majors with 4.66 runs per game and that number climbs to five runs per game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Baltimore has an average total of 9.62 runs per game but that number bumps up to 9.68 runs per game at home. With both teams above average offensively with shaky bullpens, this game winds up over the number.
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