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Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, January 11, 2026

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 01/11/2026, 07:30 AM ET
Hawks vs. Warriors prediction

Atlanta (19-21) will be going for their second consecutive road win when they visit Chase Center on Sunday night to face Golden State (21-18) at 8:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Hawks vs. Warriors prediction. Need quality NBA predictions? This is the ultimate site for basketball winners.

The Hawks are coming off a 110-87 win over Denver as three-point favorites. The Warriors are coming off a 137-103 win over Sacramento as 14.5-point favorites.

Atlanta is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Golden State.

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Hawks Going For Third Consecutive Win

The Hawks followed up their two-game losing streak with wins over New Orleans and Denver. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third straight win when they play on Sunday.

Atlanta averages 118.2 points per game, which is 11th in the league. They’ve made 48 percent of their field goals and 37 percent of their three-pointers.

Jalen Johnson leads the Hawks with 23.7 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 8.3 assists per game. Nickeil Alexander Walker averages 20.5 points and 3.6 rebounds per game, while Trae Young averages 19.3 points and 8.9 assists per game.

Young was traded to Washington for CJ McCollum, who is averaging 18.8 points and 3.6 assists per game.

Atlanta is giving up 118.6 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. Opponents have made 48 percent of their field goals and 35.4 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles), Zaccharie Risacher (Knee), Corey Kispert (Hamstring), and CJ McCollum (Quad) are questionable for this game.

Warriors Going For Fourth Consecutive Home Win

The Warriors bounced back from their loss to the Clippers with two straight wins. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fourth straight home win when they play on Sunday.

Golden State averages 115.5 points per game, which is 18th in the league. They’ve made 46 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers.

Stephen Curry leads Golden State with 28.7 points and 4.7 assists per game. Jimmy Butler III averages 19.6 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, while Brandin Podziemski averages 11.9 points and 4.5 rebounds per game.

Golden State is giving up 113.4 points per game, which is seventh in the league. Opponents have made 47 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Hawks vs. Warriors Picks

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Point Spread Pick for Hawks vs. Warriors

  • Golden State Warriors to cover. (4 Units)

The Warriors have the edge here because they’re playing very well offensively, scoring more than 119 points per game in their last three games, while making 48 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 84 percent of their free throws, while the Hawks made less than 75 percent of theirs during that span. Their ball movement is very good, and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than 11 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also turned the ball over less than 10 times per game during that span, and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Hawks aren’t very good defensively, and they’re giving up more than 117 points per game on the road, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Warriors. Take Golden State to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Hawks vs. Warriors

  • Under (4 Units)

The Hawks average 118.2 points per game. They play at the fourth-fastest pace in the league, averaging 106.2 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 106.3 points per game in their last three games. The Warriors average 115.5 points per game. They play at the 19th-fastest pace in the league, averaging 103.3 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 101.7 points per game in their last three games. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.

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