Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Prediction for Thursday, November 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Atlanta Hawks (9-6) head to San Antonio on Thursday night to face the Spurs (10-4) in a matchup affected by injuries on both sides.
Atlanta is still without Trae Young and has several rotation players listed day-to-day, while San Antonio will again be missing Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper and Stephon Castle. Even with those key absences, both teams have remained competitive recently
Hawks are without Trae Young
Atlanta comes into this matchup sitting at 9-6 on the season with an 8-7 ATS record, but they’re still adjusting to life without Trae Young. Even with Young out, the Hawks have remained competitive thanks to efficient shooting. They’re averaging 117.2 PPG (18th) while hitting 48.6% from the field, the 8th-best mark in the league. Their three-point shooting sits at a solid 36.4%, and Jalen Johnson has stepped into a bigger role, leading the team with 22.0 PPG, 9.5 RPG, and a strong 57.4% FG.
The real question for Atlanta is defense and rebounding. They allow 114.4 PPG (11th) and hold opponents to 45.9% FG, but their biggest weakness remains the glass grabbing just 41.6 rebounds per game, ranking 24th. With Kristaps Porziņģis and N’Faly Dante both day-to-day, that issue becomes even more magnified. Their perimeter defense, however, has been excellent, limiting opponents to 33.7% from deep, the 6th-best mark in the NBA.
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Key Injury Report:
- C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) is questionable.
- F Zaccharie Risacher (hip) is questionable.
- G Trae Young (knee) is out indefinitely.
Spurs banged up
The Spurs are banged up, but they enter this game off back-to-back wins after beating the Kings 123-110 and the Grizzlies 111-101. De' Aaron Fox is back and is averaging 22.7 ppg in six games so far. Overall, defensive consistency has been their key to success. San Antonio allows just 111.4 PPG, ranking 3rd in the league, and opponents shoot only 44.3% from the field, the 5th-best defensive mark. They close out well, control the boards at 39.6 rebounds per game on defense, and rarely give up easy looks outside of the three-point line.
Offensively, the Spurs have been one of the most efficient shooting teams in the NBA, hitting 49.6% from the field, which ranks 4th. They’re not overly reliant on the three, shooting 36.1% from deep, but they generate high-quality shots through ball movement and quick decisions.
Key Injury Report for Spurs
- G Dylan Harper (calf) is out.
- G Stephon Castle (hip) is out 2-3 weeks.
- F Victor Wembanyama (cal) is out for multiple weeks.
Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs Predictions
ATS Picks for Hawks and Spurs
- Hawks -1 (4 units)
Last season, these teams played two of the tightest games you’ll see, with the Spurs squeezing out an overtime win at home and a one-point victory on the road. This time around, Atlanta comes in looking sharper. The Hawks are 7–2 in road games and have won five of their last six overall, with the lone setback coming against Detroit in their most recent outing.
The injury report is stacked on both sides, but let’s be real, Wembanyama is the toughest piece to replace. His absence changes everything on both ends of the floor, and I don't think the Spurs' depth matches up as well due to the other pieces out.
Take Atlanta.
Total Picks for Hawks and Spurs:
- Under (4 units)
Injuries on both sides push this matchup toward a slower, more defensive game. San Antonio comes in allowing only 111.4 PPG and forcing opponents into 44.3% shooting, while the loss of Wembanyama further slows their pace. Atlanta’s offense without Trae Young leans heavily on jump shots and suffers during half-court possessions, and several rotation players remain questionable. Both teams will likely have to rely on secondary scorers, which limits shot creation and reduces transition opportunities. With the Spurs consistently hitting the under against lower-tempo opponents and Atlanta struggling to generate efficient offense, this should be a more methodical, lower-scoring matchup.
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