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Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday, January 3 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 01/03/2026, 06:00 AM ET
Hawks vs. Raptors Prediction

It’s an important Eastern Conference matchup with playoff caliber teams on Saturday, Jan. 3. Read our Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors prediction along with the along with our other NBA Picks. The Hawks are 17-19 overall this season and they have won big back-to-back victories over the Timberwolves and the Knicks. The Raptors are 20-15 and they have won three of their last five games coming into this outing. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 7:30 P.M. EST.

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Atlanta finds a big win over the Knicks

Atlanta is 17-19 overall this season. The Hawks are in 10th place in the Eastern Conference as they are nine games back of the Pistons for first place. Atalanta is three games back of the Heat to avoid the play-in round. Atlanta is 11-8 when they have played on the road this season. After losing seven straight games, the Hawks have won back-to-back games over the Timberwolves and the Knicks.

In their last game, the Hawks defeated the Knicks 111-99 away from home on Friday, Jan. 2. It was a massive victory for Atlanta, who was desperate for a marquee victory. The Hawks went on a 9-0 run in the second quarter to snag the lead and they never relinquished the lead securing the big win. The Hawks shot 48% from the field and 33% from behind the 3-point line. Onyeka Okongwu and Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the team with 23 points each in the win.

Jalen Johnson leads the Hawks with 24 points, 10.4 rebounds and 8.4 assists per game.

Atlanta is the 11th ranked offensive efficient team in the league. They also rank 19th in defensive efficiency while they are the fourth-worst rebounding team.

Atlanta is averaging 119.1 points per game, which ranks 10th best. They are shooting 48.2% from the field, which places them sixth in the league. The Hawks are the fifth-best 3-point shooting team, hitting 37.2% from behind the 3-point line.

On defense, the Hawks are allowing 119.6 points per game, which ranks 23rd. They are the 20th ranked defensive team allowing 47.5% from the field. Atlanta is allowing 35.6% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 11th best.

The Hawks are 18-18 against the spread this season. They are 9-14 against the spread when facing the East. Atlanta is 5-3 against the spread with no rest. The over is 20-16 when Atlanta has played this season. The under is 5-3 when the Hawks have had no rest. The total is 5-5 when Atlanta has been a road underdog.

Toronto fighting for top four seed

Toronto is 20-15 overall this season. The Raptors are in fourth place in the Eastern Conference. They are 5.5 games back of the Pistons for the top seed in the conference. The Raptors are one game ahead of a packed group of teams that sit in the play-in round. Toronto is 10-8 when they have played at home. They have won three of their last five games coming into this matchup.

In their last game, the Raptors lost 106-103 to the Nuggets at home on Wednesday, Dec. 31. Denver controlled much of the game as Toronto’s largest lead was just four points, which came in the third quarter. The Raptors could not score in the final few minutes of the game as Denver escaped with a win. The Raptors shot 37% from the field and 27% from behind the arc. Brandon Ingram led the team with 30 points on 11-for-21 shooting and eight rebounds. Scottie Barnes had a triple-double in the game, too.

Ingram leads the team with 22.1 points, while Barnes is grabbing a team-high 8.6 rebounds per game. Immanuel Quickly is passing for a team-leading 6.3 assists per game, too.

Toronto is the 22nd ranked offensive efficient team in the league, while they are also placed seventh in defensive efficiency. The Raptors are also the 17th ranked rebounding team.

Toronto is averaging 113.9 points per game, which ranks 23rd. They are the 15th ranked shooting team, making 47.2% from the field. The Raptors are making 35% from behind the 3-point line, placing them 20th.

On defense, the Raptors are allowing 112.5 points per game, which ranks fourth-best. They are the seventh ranked defensive team, allowing 46.3% from the field. Toronto is also the second-best 3-point defensive team, giving up 33.8% from behind the arc.

Toronto is 15-20 against the spread this season. The Raptors are 2-3 against the spread with two days of rest. They are also 4-10 against the spread after a loss. Toronto is 6-12 against the spread when playing at home. The under is 22-13 when Toronto has played this season. The under is 11-7 during home games. The under is also 4-1 when Toronto has had two days of rest.

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Hawks vs Raptors Spread Pick

  • Toronto Raptors 3.5 (5 units) 

The Hawks have not played their best with zero days rest. They have lost two straight games in such instances. Atlanta has struggled for consistency as they have won back-to-back games, they are destined for another loss, per what the previous few months have dictated. The Raptors have been playing really winning three of their last five games, as they almost defeated Denver in their last game. Toronto has enjoyed a few days off with their last game coming on Wednesday. The Raptors have not played their best at home either, but with some rest and against a team that is flying the night before, they should have the momentum for a big home win to help them continue to move up the Eastern Conference. Atlanta is 9-14 against the spread when facing the East this season.

Take the Raptors to cover.

Hawks vs Raptors Over/Under Pick

  • Under 233.5 (5 units) 

This is a game with contrasting styles .The Hawks are the fourth fastest team in the league, but the team’s pace should be neutralized especially on zero days rest. The Raptors are the seventh slowest team in the league, too. The Raptors pride themselves on strong defense with the seventh-best defensive efficient team in the league. Expect a low scoring game between these two Eastern Conference teams. The under is 11-7 during Toronto home games. The under is also 4-1 when Toronto has had two days of rest. The under is 5-3 when the Hawks have had no rest.

Take the under on Saturday. 

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