Bucks vs. Cavaliers, Picks and Prediction for Monday, November 17, 2025
It’s a battle of Central Division foes on the hardwood on the shores of Lake Erie as the Milwaukee Bucks travel to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers Monday night and we have you covered with our Bucks vs. Cavaliers prediction. Milwaukee was routed 119-95 at home by the Lakers in the second game of a back-to-back in their previous contest Saturday night, losing outright as a two-point favorite. Cleveland downed Memphis 108-100 in their previous game Saturday night, failing to cover the line as a 10.5-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Bucks own a 132-106 advantage but the Cavaliers have won the last six meetings, including a 118-113 home win in the first matchup this season October 26. Read more about this Bucks vs. Cavaliers prediction! No air balls here—only slam dunks with our NBA Picks!
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Milwaukee Looking to Earn Road Victory
Milwaukee couldn’t follow up on their win over the Hornets as they were hammered by the Lakers at home in the second game of a back-to-back Saturday night. The Bucks fell to 8-6 on the year and stood third in the Central Division, 3.5 games behind the Pistons for the top spot. Against Los Angeles, Milwaukee was out of this one early as they trailed 30-18 after the opening quarter and 65-34 at the half en route to a one-sided loss. The Bucks shot 40%, including 15 of 39 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 47-39. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 32 points, 10 rebounds and five assists in the loss.
The Bucks are 13th in the league in scoring offense with 118.4 points per game on the season. Milwaukee is 28th in rebounding by pulling down 40.2 boards per contest while the team is 12th by dishing out 26.8 assists per game. The Bucks are 19th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 118.8 points per contest this season. Giannis Antetokounmpo is leading Milwaukee with 32.6 points, 12.9 rebounds and 7.1 assists per contest this season. Ryan Rollins chips in 16.9 points plus 5.4 assists per game while Gary Trent Jr. (10.1 points, 2.4 assists), AJ Green (10.8 points), Cole Anthony (11.1 points, 5.1 assists) and Kevin Porter Jr. are good secondary scoring options. Kyle Kuzma (13.5 points), Myles Turner (12.1 points, 6.2 rebounds), Bobby Portis, Taurean Prince, Amir Coffey, Jericho Sims and Gary Harris are solid pieces in the mix as well. Milwaukee is 3rd in the league in field goal percentage by shooting 50.2% as a team this season. The Bucks are 5th in threes per game by draining 15.3 triples per contest and stand 2nd in three-point shooting by hitting 41.1% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Milwaukee is struggling at the charity stripe as they are 30th in the league by shooting 69.9% at the stripe on the year.
Key Injury Report for Bucks
- Porter Jr. (knee) is out until late November or early December.
- Prince (neck) last played on November 4 and underwent surgery for a herniated disc. He is out indefinitely.
Cavaliers Trying to Gain Ground in Central Division
Cleveland bounced back from a loss to Toronto as they rallied to drop Memphis at home Saturday night in their previous game. The Cavaliers entered Sunday night 9-5 on the season and stood tied for second in the Central Division, 2.5 games behind the Pistons for the top spot. Against Memphis, Cleveland trailed by four after the opening quarter, by seven at the half, and by eight after three quarters before rallying. The Cavaliers outscored the Grizzlies 32-16 in the fourth quarter to earn the victory. Cleveland shot 45.8% from the field, including 13 of 40 from three-point range, and overcame 20 turnovers in the game. Donovan Mitchell led the Cavaliers with 30 points, five rebounds, and five assists in the win.
The Cavaliers come into this one ranked 6th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 121.1 points per game this season. Cleveland is 17th in rebounding as they grab 43.8 boards per contest and stand 8th in assists by handing out 27.6 dimes a contest this year. The Cavaliers are 18th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 116.9 points per game this season. Donovan Mitchell leads the way in the scoring department for Cleveland as he puts up 30.4 points plus 5.4 assists a night on the year. Evan Mobley (19.2 points, nine boards, 4.2 assists), Jarrett Allen (15.6 points, 7.7 rebounds) and De’Andre Hunter (18 points, 4.7 rebounds) are solid secondary options. Jaylon Tyson (11.1 points), Dean Wade, Larry Nance Jr., Lonzo Ball, Tyrese Proctor, Thomas Bryant, Sam Merrill (13.4 points), Darius Garland (13 points, five assists), Craig Porter Jr. and Luke Travers are other contributors in the Cavaliers’ rotation. Cleveland is 23rd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.3% from the floor as a team on the year. The Cavaliers are 2nd by knocking down an average of 16 three-pointers a night, while they are 14th by connecting on 36.1% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Cleveland is below average at the charity stripe as they rank 24th by shooting 76.1% from the line as a team.
Key Injury Report for Cavaliers
- Max Strus (foot) remains out indefinitely.
- Garland (toe) is out
- Tyson (concussion) both missed Saturday’s game and is out.
Bucks vs. Cavaliers Pick
Bucks vs. Cavaliers Spread Pick and Prediction
- Cavaliers (4 units)
Both teams have been up and down this season in the early going as injuries and inconsistency have been the name of the game. Milwaukee has struggled on the glass this season and they are playing their third game in four nights here, which is going to take a toll. Both teams are playing their fourth game in six nights and it will be interesting to see how the minutes for the stars shake out here. Milwaukee is 3-3 on the road this season, while Cleveland is 5-2 at home on the year. The Bucks have to find scoring to support Antetokounmpo, but the Cavaliers are a more complete team at the moment. Look for Cleveland to come up with the victory here.
Bucks vs. Cavaliers Over/Under Pick
- Under (4 units)
Milwaukee has seen the over post an 8-6 mark in their first 14 games this season. The Bucks are 13th in the league in scoring offense, 13th in offensive efficiency and 17th in adjusted tempo with an average of 100.3 possessions a night this season. Cleveland stands 6th in the league in scoring offense, 12th in offensive efficiency and 7th in tempo with an average of 102.3 possessions per game. The Cavaliers have gone over the number in eight of their 14 games and have stayed under the mark in four of their seven home games this season. Seven of the last 10 meetings, including the first matchup this season, have stayed under the number. Look for this game to wind up falling short of the total.
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