Bucks vs. Raptors Picks and Prediction, Friday, October 24, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Friday night, the Milwaukee Bucks will play the Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena in an NBA Eastern Conference matchup, and we have you ready to go with our Bucks vs. Raptors prediction. Tip-off from Toronto is at 6:30 p.m. ET.
The Raptors are two-point spread favorites, and the game total is 230.5 points scored.
Milwaukee won all three of its games against Toronto last season, covering the spread in each matchup. The Bucks are 7-3 in their previous ten meetings with the Raptors, covering the spread in six of the games. The over was 6-4. If you want the Bucks vs. Raptors prediction, read on to get our top NBA predictions and increase your bankroll!
Bucks will rely more on three-pointers this season
Milwaukee defeated Washington 133-120 in its season opener, as forward Giannis Antetokounmpo led the charge with 37 points and 14 rebounds. The Bucks never trailed and led by as many as 22 points, jumping out to a 40-23 lead in the first quarter. They emphasized the three-ball on Wednesday night, hitting five of six three-point attempts in the first five minutes, and finishing 18-for-44 (40.9%) from long range in the game. Milwaukee led the NBA in three-point percentage (38.7%) last season, but ranked 18th in three-point attempts. Nine Bucks scored at least nine points in the blowout win.
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Milwaukee finished with a 48-34 record last season, winning the NBA Cup and finishing fifth in the Eastern Conference. They were bounced in five games by the eventual EC champs, Indiana, in the first round of the NBA playoffs. The Bucks made a few changes to their roster in an attempt to make a deeper playoff run, trading Khris Middleton to Washington for Kyle Kuzma and acquiring Kevin Porter Jr. from the Los Angeles Clippers; however, the pieces didn't fit together well enough. That didn't deter management from continuing to retool the team in the offseason, signing Pacers star Myles Turner, waiving Damian Lillard, and letting Brook Lopez walk in free agency.
The addition of Turner turned heads around the league, and the big man gives Milwaukee elite rim protection and long-range shooting. He averaged 2.0 blocks per game last season and stretched the floor, hitting 2.2 three-pointers per game on 39.6 percent shooting. The Bucks also signed PG Cole Anthony and SG Gary Harris, and re-signed Porter Jr., Gary Trent Jr., Bobby Portis, Taurean Prince, and AJ Green, giving them solid depth around Antetokounmpo and Turner. It's unclear whether this roster gives Giannis a supporting cast capable of competing with the beasts of the East, but the conference is more wide open with several contenders dealing with season-long injuries to star players.
Milwaukee Bucks Basketball Injury Report: F Giannis Antetokounmpo (back) and G Kevin Porter Jr. (ankle) are day-to-day.
Raptors showed off their new-look offense on Wednesday
Toronto beat Atlanta 138-118 earlier this week, setting a team scoring record for an opening night game. The Raptors, who were 5.5-point road underdogs, consistently beat the Hawks in transition for buckets, helping them pull away in the second half. They shot 57 percent from the field, including 69 percent on two-point attempts, as seven Raptors scored in double figures. Toronto led by six at halftime and exploded for 45 points in the third quarter to separate from Atlanta. The visitors dominated on the boards (+20 rebounding margin) and scored 86 points in the paint.
Toronto went 30-52 last season, finishing 11th in the Eastern Conference, missing the NBA playoffs. Injuries derailed the Raptors' season from the jump, as Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley were sidelined for portions of November and December. While they were just 7-26 heading into the New Year, the Dinos were much more competitive in 2025, compiling a 22-21 record over the final 43 games. Improved defensive play was the catalyst, as Toronto went from 26th in defensive rating to 2nd after the All-Star break.
To build off their second-half improvement, the Raptors must stay healthy this season. They didn't lose or add much in free agency, drafting South Carolina forward Collin Murray-Boyles ninth overall. The 20-year-old averaged 16.8 points and 8.3 rebounds as a sophomore last season, showing off two-way athleticism. Re-signing center Jakob Poeltl (14.5 PPG and 9.6 RPG in 2024-25) was also key. Toronto built depth last season, as ten players averaged 17-plus minutes per game in 50-plus outings, and the team will benefit from the return of star forward Brandon Ingram (22.2 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 5.2 APG), who was acquired in February but didn't suit up for the Raptors. The 28-year-old veteran will boost a formidable lineup already featuring Barnes (19.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG, and 5.8 APG), Quickley (17.1 PPG and 5.8 APG), and RJ Barrett (21.1 PPG, 6.3 RPG, and 5.4 APG).
Toronto Raptors Basketball Injury Report: F Collin Murray-Boyles (forearm) and G Ja'Kobe Walter (illness) are day-to-day.
Bucks vs. Raptors Pick
Spread Pick for Bucks vs. Raptors
- Milwaukee ML (5 Units)
The Raptors' season-opening win was an eye-opener, but I'm not convinced that they can match their performance on Friday. Toronto scored nearly 90 points in the paint on Wednesday, dominating on the boards. They will be challenged inside by the Bucks, though, as Milwaukee has plenty of size and rim protection. The Raptors struggled from three-point range last season (29th in made threes and 23rd in three-point percentage), and didn't look like an improved shooting team in game one, going 6-for-25 (24.0%) from beyond the arc. Milwaukee ranked seventh in three-point defense last season, as well.
Given how effectively the Bucks shot the three-ball last season, it's no surprise that coach Doc Rivers wants his team to attempt more threes this year. They were similarly effective with a higher volume of shots on Wednesday night, and I don't expect them to lose their touch on Friday. That's an x-factor in this matchup, especially if the Raptors can't dominate in the paint.
Bet on the Bucks to win straight-up!
Over/Under Pick for Bucks vs. Raptors
- Under 230.5 (5 Units)
Milwaukee won't get bullied in the paint like Atlanta did. The Bucks ranked 11th in opponent two-point percentage last season and will be even tougher to score on at the rim with Turner on the court this year. Their solid three-point defense and the Raptors' poor shooting from long range will help keep the home team from sniffing the 138-point total they scored on Wednesday. That said, Toronto is also a good defensive team. The Raptors ranked 4th in opponent three-point percentage last season and will be well aware of the Bucks' propensity for the three-ball. With neither team likely to dominate in the paint, the under is the play on the total in Friday's game.
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