Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday January 29 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/29/2026, 09:12 AM ET
Hornets vs Mavericks
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Hornets vs Mavericks picks highlight a matchup where recent form and matchup history point in a different direction than the market might suggest. Charlotte heads to Dallas on the second leg of a back to back after another dominant road win, while the Mavericks are trying to regroup after an offensive no show at home. Before getting into the details, make sure to check out the latest NBA picks for more daily betting opportunities.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Hornets +4.5
  • Total Pick: Under 228.5
  • Projected Final Score: Charlotte 115, Dallas 108

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Spread Total
Charlotte +4.5 (-105) Over 228.5 (-110)
Dallas -4.5 (-115) Under 228.5 (-110)

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
Charlotte +3.5 (-114) Over 228.5 (-110)
Dallas -3.5 (-106) Under 228.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Charlotte Dallas
01 28 10:48 PM +3.5 (-114) -3.5 (-106)
01 29 03:05 AM +4.5 (-105) -4.5 (-115)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
01 28 10:47 PM 228.5 (-110) 228.5 (-110)

Key Matchups and Handicap

Charlotte continues to play its best basketball of the season, and the road results have been especially eye catching. The Hornets just picked up their fourth straight win and their sixth road victory by 15 or more points in January, tying an NBA record for a calendar month.

The efficiency has been across the board. Over the last 15 games, Charlotte ranks first in net rating, first in offensive rating, third in defensive rating, first in rebounding rate, and third in effective field goal percentage. That level of balance makes it difficult to step in front of this team, even on the second night of a back to back.

Dallas is trending the other way. The Mavericks struggled badly without Cooper Flagg on Wednesday, shooting just 3 of 18 from three point range against Minnesota. If the offense looks similar here, it is hard to justify laying points against a Hornets team that is confident and deep.

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Charlotte has covered the spread in six of the last seven meetings with Dallas. Five of the Hornets’ last six games have stayed under the total, while recent Mavericks games have featured inconsistent scoring output.

Key Injuries and Notes for CHA and DAL

Brandon Miller continues to produce at a high level for Charlotte, scoring 26 points in just 30 minutes last night. Dallas struggled offensively without Cooper Flagg in the previous game, which is something to monitor on the second night of a back to back.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Against the Spread: Hornets +4.5
  • Total: Under 228.5

Final Score Prediction

Charlotte’s form, efficiency, and recent history against Dallas point toward another strong showing, even on tired legs.

Final Score: Hornets 115, Mavericks 108

How to Bet Hornets vs Mavericks

This matchup offers value on both the spread and the total, especially with Charlotte continuing to outperform market expectations. Before placing a wager, make sure to compare odds using trusted sportsbook promo codes and shop lines across the best sportsbooks.

Bettors looking for alternative options can also explore social sportsbooks, while traditional bettors may want to take advantage of offers like the bet365 bonus code or the fliff promo code before tipoff.

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