Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Prediction for Saturday March 28 2026
Use Code WWWC It's Saturday evening on the NBA hardwood, and we have a Chicago vs Memphis prediction ready to rock and roll for you. The Bulls come into this game off a rough 131-113 road loss to Oklahoma City, and that was on the heels of a horrible 157-137 loss to the Sixers on the road. Chicago is now 29-44 on the year. Memphis is off a loss last night as they fell to Houston at home by a score of 119-108. They are now 24-49 on the year. Read on to see our Bulls vs Grizzlies prediction.
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Chicago Defense Is Being Shredded
Chicago heads into Memphis trying to stop the bleeding after a brutal stretch that continued with a 131–113 loss at Oklahoma City, which followed the 157–137 defeat in Philadelphia. The Bulls have now dropped to 29–44, and the defensive slide has been glaring — they’ve allowed 133.2 points per game over their last five, a stretch where opponents have shot freely and dictated tempo. Offensively, Chicago still produces at a respectable level, averaging 116.3 points, shooting 46.9% from the field, and ranking top‑10 in three‑point percentage at 36.3%. They rebound well enough (45.1 per game, 9th), move the ball at a top‑seven rate, and have multiple perimeter scorers who can get hot. But the defensive issues are overwhelming: 120.8 points allowed, opponents hitting 47.6%, and a bottom‑five ranking in opponent three‑point percentage. The recent losses to Philly and OKC were perfect examples — Chicago scored, but they couldn’t get stops in any meaningful stretch.
Against Memphis, the keys are straightforward but difficult for this roster to execute: slow the pace, protect the arc, and avoid the defensive breakdowns that have buried them during this skid. Memphis has struggled this season as well, but they still play with energy at home and can exploit Chicago’s transition defense if the Bulls don’t value possessions. With Chicago officially out of postseason contention, the challenge becomes finding enough defensive resistance to keep the game from turning into another track meet. If the Bulls can control the glass, limit second‑chance points, and avoid letting Memphis’ guards dictate tempo, they can at least keep this one competitive — but until the defense shows signs of life, every matchup feels like an uphill climb.
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Memphis Has Lost 13 Of Its Last 14
Memphis returns home trying to regroup after a 119–108 loss to Houston, a game that looked a lot like the rest of their recent stretch — competitive in spurts, but unable to string together stops. That defeat dropped the Grizzlies to 24–49, and the slide has been steep: they’ve lost 13 of their last 14, and the defensive numbers have cratered during that run, giving up 126.1 points per game over their last 12. For the season, Memphis sits at 115.1 points per game (18th), shooting 45.8% from the field and 35.4% from deep, with a respectable 79.2% at the line. They rebound at a middle‑tier level (43.0 per game, 20th), but the defensive profile has been the real issue — 119.1 points allowed, opponents shooting 47.8%, and a bottom‑ten ranking in opponent three‑point percentage. The injuries haven’t helped either, with multiple rotation players sidelined and the roster constantly shifting.
Against Chicago, the formula is less about reinventing anything and more about stabilizing the basics. The Bulls have been leaking points at an even worse rate than Memphis lately, so this matchup becomes a question of which defense can hold up long enough to avoid another shootout. Memphis needs cleaner possessions, better transition defense, and more resistance at the rim — all areas that have slipped during this skid. Controlling the glass and limiting second‑chance points will matter, especially with Chicago’s top‑10 rebounding numbers. If the Grizzlies can slow the pace, keep the Bulls out of rhythm from three, and avoid the defensive lapses that have defined their recent stretch, they’ll give themselves a chance to stop the slide. But until the defense shows signs of life, every game feels like a tightrope walk.
Chicago vs Memphis Pick
Bulls vs. Grizzlies Spread Pick
- Chicago -3 (4 Units)
Chicago -3 makes sense because even with both teams stumbling, the Bulls are at least functioning offensively while Memphis has completely fallen apart on the defensive end. Chicago’s issues are real, but they still score at a top‑15 rate, shoot it better from deep, and rebound more consistently than a Grizzlies team that’s dropped 13 of 14 and is giving up 126.1 points per game over its last dozen. Memphis just hasn’t shown the ability to get stops for four quarters, and their offense hasn’t been strong enough to compensate. In a matchup of two struggling groups, the Bulls simply have the steadier profile right now, and that’s usually enough in a short number like this.
Bulls vs. Grizzlies Over/Under Pick
- Over 244.5 (5 Units)
The Over 244.5 fits this matchup because neither defense is offering much resistance right now, and both teams are giving up points in bunches. Chicago has surrendered 133.2 points per game over its last five, while Memphis has been even worse, allowing 126.1 per game across its last twelve. Both groups struggle to defend the arc, both give up high shooting percentages, and both play long stretches of transition basketball because of turnovers and missed assignments. Chicago’s offense is still top‑15 in scoring and top‑10 in three‑point percentage, and Memphis can score enough at home to keep pace, especially against a Bulls defense that’s been leaking points for weeks. With two tired, struggling defenses and two offenses that can get into rhythm quickly, this has all the ingredients of another high‑possession, high‑scoring game.
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