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Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday April 9 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 04/09/2026, 08:54 AM ET
Bulls vs Wizards prediction

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Tuesday's 31-point blowout told you everything you needed to know about the gap between these two rosters — and yet the most interesting bet on the board for Thursday's rematch is not the spread at all. The Chicago Bulls and Washington Wizards are back at it in the nation's capital for the second leg of a two-game series, and if you are hunting the sharpest angle on the NBA picks slate, the total in this matchup has more layers than the lopsided scoreline suggests. The early money has already landed on the over, the line has moved nearly three full points since opening, and there is a very specific reason why the under's stranglehold on this series may be about to snap. Here is the full breakdown.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread: Bulls -6.5
  • Total: Over 247.5
  • Projected Final Score: Bulls 130, Wizards 122

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Market Chicago Washington
Spread -5.5 -110 +5.5 -110
Total Over 244.5 -110 Under 244.5 -110
Hottest Cappers L30 Days
# Handicapper Profit
1 Nick Parsons Nick Parsons +2,571.00
2 Rob Vinciletti Rob Vinciletti +2,530.00
3 Stephen Nover Stephen Nover +843.00
4 Tom Macrina Tom Macrina +273.00
5 Rocky Atkinson Rocky Atkinson +128.00

Current Odds

Market Chicago Washington
Spread -6.5 -105 +6.5 -115
Total Over 247.5 -110 Under 247.5 -110

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Chicago Washington Public ($, #)
04/08 09:43:15 PM -5.5 -110 +5.5 -110
04/08 09:46:49 PM -5.5 -115 +5.5 -105
04/09 04:49:50 PM -6.5 -105 +6.5 -115
04/09 07:08:38 AM -6.5 -108 +6.5 -112 WAS 74%, CHI 50%
04/09 08:10:45 AM -5.5 -115 +5.5 -105 CHI 73%, CHI 50%
04/09 08:30:26 AM -6.5 -105 +6.5 -115 WAS 78%, WAS 66%

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
04/08 09:43:15 PM 244.5 -110 244.5 -110
04/08 10:28:55 PM 245.5 -110 245.5 -110
04/08 10:29:16 PM 246.5 -105 246.5 -115
04/08 11:43:33 PM 246.5 -110 246.5 -110
04/09 11:49:15 PM 246.5 -112 246.5 -108
04/09 06:29:52 AM 247.5 -110 247.5 -110 OV 100%, OV 100%

Bulls vs Wizards Key Matchups and Handicap

Bulls

Chicago enters Thursday's rematch having just delivered one of the more dominant performances of its season — a 31-point road victory in Washington on Tuesday where the outcome was never remotely in doubt. The Bulls held a 20-point lead after the first quarter, and from that point on the game served primarily as a vehicle for bench minutes and garbage-time statistics rather than any kind of genuine competitive contest. Rob Dillingham led the way with 26 points in just 27 minutes of bench work, which speaks more to how completely the Wizards collapsed than to any particular offensive brilliance from Chicago's starters.

The more relevant number from Tuesday is this: the Bulls' starting lineup shot 4-for-25 from three-point range, a 16.0 percent clip that is about as cold as a starting unit can get while still winning by 31. That kind of shooting inefficiency from the perimeter is nearly impossible to replicate in back-to-back games, and even a modest correction toward league-average three-point shooting from Chicago's starters adds points to the final tally in a hurry. The Bulls also arrive with a meaningful injury list — Matas Buzelis, Josh Giddey, Nick Richards, and Anfernee Simons are all expected to be out, with Isaac Okoro listed as questionable — which compresses the rotation and makes it more likely that Chicago's available players log heavy minutes. Both teams face the front leg of a back-to-back, with the Bulls heading home to host the Magic on Friday.

Washington

The Wizards currently hold a one-game lead for the worst record in the league, sitting just below the Pacers, and with three games remaining it is a safe assumption that Washington is not going to do anything heroic to jeopardize that position. The Wizards have lost their last seven games by an average of 19.1 points per game — a margin that is not a reflection of close games that went the wrong way but rather a pattern of early collapses and disengaged play that has become the hallmark of a rebuilding team coasting toward the lottery. Tuesday's 31-point loss was entirely consistent with that profile.

Washington's injury and questionable list is even more extensive than Chicago's heading into Thursday. Tristan Vukcevic and Alex Sarr are both expected to miss the game, while Jaden Hardy, Tre Johnson, Anthony Gill, Bilal Coulibaly, and Justin Champagnie are all listed as questionable. That is a potentially massive chunk of the active roster unavailable or uncertain, and it means the Wizards could be running out a lineup with very little recognizable talent at any position. The irony is that a more depleted Washington roster might actually push this game toward a higher total — short rotations, foul trouble, and defensive breakdowns tend to produce more open looks on both ends, which is precisely the environment where the over becomes easier to cash even in a lopsided game.

  • Chicago has won six of the last seven meetings between these franchises, including Tuesday's 31-point blowout, making the Bulls the dominant team in this series regardless of roster or standings context.
  • Each of the last six meetings between the Bulls and Wizards has finished under the posted total — a remarkable six-game under streak that makes Thursday's over lean a genuine contrarian position rather than a consensus play.
  • The total has moved from 244.5 at opening to 247.5 by Thursday morning — a three-point jump in under 12 hours driven entirely by over money, with the most recent snapshot showing OV drawing 100% of both tickets and dollars.
  • The spread has oscillated between -5.5 and -6.5 across multiple snapshots, with the public percentage data showing split action between Chicago and Washington at different points — an unusual pattern for a matchup this lopsided in terms of recent results.
  • Washington has lost its last seven games by an average of 19.1 points per game, and yet the Wizards drew 78% of spread tickets and 66% of dollars at the most recent snapshot, suggesting public bettors are fading Chicago's ability to cover a number that has already moved a full point.
  • Chicago's starters shot 16.0 percent from three-point range Tuesday — one of the coldest shooting performances of the season — setting up a natural regression toward the mean that supports a higher-scoring Thursday game regardless of competitive dynamics.

Key Injuries and Notes — CHI and WAS

  • Matas Buzelis (CHI, F) — Out: Buzelis is expected to miss Thursday's game, removing a key rotation piece from Chicago's frontcourt depth.
  • Josh Giddey (CHI, G) — Out: Giddey's absence further compresses the Bulls' backcourt rotation and reduces their playmaking options in the starting lineup.
  • Nick Richards (CHI, C) — Out: Richards is unavailable, thinning Chicago's interior depth and potentially creating foul trouble situations late in the game.
  • Anfernee Simons (CHI, G) — Out: Simons is also expected to miss Thursday, limiting the Bulls' perimeter scoring depth behind the available starters.
  • Isaac Okoro (CHI, G/F) — Questionable: Okoro's status is uncertain heading into tip-off, adding additional roster uncertainty to Chicago's already-thin available rotation.
  • Tristan Vukcevic (WAS, F) — Out: Vukcevic is expected to miss the game, further depleting Washington's frontcourt options.
  • Alex Sarr (WAS, C) — Out: Sarr's absence removes one of the Wizards' most important developmental pieces and limits their interior defensive presence.
  • Jaden Hardy, Tre Johnson, Anthony Gill, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie (WAS) — Questionable: All five Washington players are listed as questionable, meaning the Wizards could potentially be without the majority of their meaningful rotation heading into Thursday's game.
  • Back-to-Back Context: Both teams face the front leg of a back-to-back. Chicago hosts the Magic on Friday while Washington hosts the Heat, giving both clubs roster management reasons to limit minutes and avoid risking further injury in a game with limited competitive stakes.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Spread: Bulls -6.5 — From a power-ratings perspective, backing Chicago as a road favorite of 6.5 points isn't the best idea but is somewhat justified when you're playing the conference's worst team. Tuesday's result was extreme and may not reflect a sustainable performance gap. The spread has also bounced between 5.5 and 6.5 multiple times. If you're forced to play the spread, taking the road favorite is the side to be on. The Bulls have won six of the last seven meetings, they are the more talented team even with their injury list, and Washington's current trajectory makes it extremely difficult to trust the Wizards to win a game outright in the final week of the regular season.
  • Total: Over 247.5 — Tuesday's game was a blowout decided before halftime, which naturally suppressed scoring in the second half as rotations emptied and competition evaporated. Thursday's game should be more competitive at least through the first half, and Chicago's starters shooting 16.0 percent from three is a statistical anomaly that is unlikely to repeat. The six-game under streak in this series is real, but the circumstances that created it — early blowouts, low-engagement fourth quarters — are more likely to shift in a game where the line is set at 247.5 and both teams have short rotations.

Final Score Prediction

Bulls 130, Wizards 122

Thursday's rematch is a more competitive game than Tuesday's blowout suggested it would be, at least for three quarters. Washington's depleted roster creates defensive breakdowns that fuel Chicago's shooting improvement from beyond the arc, and a more engaged first half from the Wizards produces enough offense to keep the total moving in the right direction. The Bulls ultimately pull away late on the strength of their talent advantage, but the final margin is modest enough that the spread is a much tougher cover than Tuesday's result would imply. The over lands with room to spare.

How to Bet This Game

The Bulls-Wizards rematch is a total bettor's game — the spread is too volatile and too uncertain given the roster situations on both sides, but the over has a clear, logic-supported case that makes it the primary angle on Thursday's slate. Here is how to get the most out of this spot.

For bettors who are newer to reading line movement or want to understand why a total moving three points in 12 hours matters, social sportsbooks are the perfect low-risk environment to engage with a game like this. Watching 100% of over money push a total from 244.5 to 247.5 overnight is a live lesson in how sharp action shapes a number — and you can follow along without any financial exposure.

For the over at 247.5, getting your bet placed before any additional juice movement is the right approach. The number has already moved three points from the open, and further sharp action on the over could push the price higher heading into tip-off. The bet365 bonus code gives new users a boosted position on exactly this type of single-game total wager, making it one of the more efficient platforms to lock in the over before the window closes on Thursday afternoon.

For bettors who want to add the Chicago moneyline as a secondary play alongside the total, combining the two on a single platform adds convenience without sacrificing line quality. The fliff promo code lets new users get into this kind of multi-play approach using bonus currency at no initial financial risk — a smart way to test the over and moneyline combination in a game that has enough moving parts to reward a thoughtful betting strategy.

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