Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 12, 2025
It’s a clash of Eastern Conference teams looking for an early-season win on the parquet floor in South Beach as the Cleveland Cavaliers clash with the Miami Heat Wednesday night in the second game of a two-game set and we have things covered with our Cavaliers vs. Heat prediction. These teams met Monday night in South Beach, with the Heat taking a 140-138 overtime win, winning outright as a 7.5-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Heat own an 81-53 advantage after picking up the victory in the first meeting this season, Monday night. Read more about this Cavaliers vs. Heat prediction! Need some winners? Check out our NBA Predictions and beat the books!
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Cavaliers Try to Earn Split of Two-Game Set
Cleveland went to overtime but ended up on the short end of the scoreboard in overtime in South Beach Monday night. The Cavaliers entered Tuesday night 7-4 on the season and stood tied for second in the Central Division, two games behind the Pistons for the top spot. Against Miami, Cleveland led by 10 in the first quarter and by five after the opening quarter, only to trail by nine at intermission. The Cavaliers trailed by 15 in the third quarter and by nine after three quarters before making a charge. Cleveland rallied to force overtime but with the game tied late, they gave up a game-winning dunk at the buzzer to wind up with the loss. The Cavaliers shot 40.8% from the field, including 21 for 65 from three-point range, and lost points in the paint 66-50 in the game. Donovan Mitchell led Cleveland with 28 points, 15 rebounds and eight assists in the loss.
The Cavaliers come into this one ranked 6th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 122.3 points per game this season. Cleveland is 17th in rebounding as they grab 43.5 boards per contest and stand 7th in assists by handing out 27.7 dimes a contest this year. The Cavaliers are 17th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 117.7 points per game this season. Donovan Mitchell leads the way in the scoring department for Cleveland as he puts up 30.4 points plus 5.4 assists a night on the year. Evan Mobley (20.1 points, 8.6 boards, 4.3 assists), Jarrett Allen (15 points, 7.7 rebounds), and De’Andre Hunter (19 points, 5.1 rebounds) are solid secondary options. Jaylon Tyson (11.1 points), Dean Wade, Larry Nance Jr., Lonzo Ball, Tyrese Proctor, Thomas Bryant, Sam Merrill (14.6 points), Darius Garland (13 points, five assists), Craig Porter Jr., and Luke Travers are other contributors in the Cavaliers’ rotation. Cleveland is 22nd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.5% from the floor as a team on the year. The Cavaliers are 1st by knocking down an average of 17 three-pointers a night, while they are 14th by connecting on 36.1% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Cleveland is below average at the charity stripe as they rank 24th by shooting 76.1% from the line as a team.
Key Injury report for Cleveland
Max Strus (foot) remains out indefinitely.
- Garland (toe) is out
- Mitchell (rest) is out
- Mobley (rest) is out
- Nance (knee) is questionable
Miami Maintaining Top Spot in Southeast Division
Miami started slow, rallied to take a hefty lead and then managed to pull out a win at the buzzer in overtime Monday night. The Heat entered Tuesday 7-4 and held a one-game lead over the Hawks for the top spot in the Southeast Division. Against Cleveland Monday, Miami was down 15-5 early but managed to halve the deficit before the stanza was over. The Heat took a nine-point edge at the half, pushed the lead to 15 late in the third quarter and wound up knotted up at the end of regulation. After giving up a game-tying three-pointer with 0.4 seconds left in overtime, the Heat won it on an Andrew Wiggins alley-oop dunk at the buzzer. Miami shot 46.9% from the field, including 12 of 36 from three-point range, and cashed in 36 of 41 from the charity stripe for the win. Norman Powell led the Heat with 33 points in the win.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,975.00 |
| 2 |  David Hess | +1,920.00 |
| 3 |  Ben Burns | +1,904.00 |
| 4 |  Mike Lundin | +1,800.00 |
| 5 |  Stephen Nover | +1,565.00 |
The Heat entered Tuesday 1st in the league in scoring offense with 125.5 points per game this season. Miami is 14th in the league in rebounding with 44.5 boards a contest, while the team stands 2nd in assists by dishing out 30.5 dimes a night. The Heat stands 24th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 119.8 points per game. Norman Powell leads the Heat with 24.5 points and 4.3 rebounds per game. Bam Adebayo (19.9 points, 8.1 rebounds), Jaime Jaquez Jr. (17.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, 5.2 assists), Simone Fontecchio (11.4 points) and Andrew Wiggins (17.8 points, 4.4 rebounds) are secondary scoring options. Nikola Jovic (10.3 points, 4.7 rebounds), Kel’el Ware (10.1 points, 8.8 rebounds), Davion Mitchell, Dru Smith, Keshad Johnson and Pelle Larsson are solid role players for the Heat. Miami is 6th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 49.6% from the floor this season. The Heat stands 14th in threes per game by draining 13.5 triples per contest and the team is 11th in three-point shooting by hitting 37.7% from beyond the arc. Miami is above average at the free-throw line, ranking 11th in the league by converting 80.6% of their chances this season.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ricky Tran | +4,680.00 |
| 2 |  David Delano | +4,650.00 |
| 3 |  Nick Parsons | +4,361.00 |
| 4 | Mark Ruelle | +4,278.00 |
| 5 |  Terry Edelmann | +2,224.00 |
Key Injuries for Miami
- Tyler Herro (ankle) is expected to be out until late December.
- Adebayo (toe) has been ruled out for this contest.
Cavaliers vs. Heat Pick
Cavaliers vs. Heat Spread Pick
- Heat -5.5 (4 units)
Cleveland had their chances in the meeting on Monday night but ended up with the loss at the buzzer. Now, the Cavaliers are playing the second game without three starters, along with a couple of key reserves. The line shifted in a hurry as Cleveland was going off as a 5.5 or six-point favorite before the announcement and things are now reversed. Miami won’t have Adebayo on the floor here but they had success without him as Larsson and Ware shouldered the load that he would have provided. Miami has more of their rotation available here and after winning Monday night, they take both games of the set by prevailing here.
Cavaliers vs. Heat Over/Under Pick
- Over 238.5 (4 units)
Cleveland stands 6th in the league in scoring offense, 8th in offensive efficiency and 7th in tempo with an average of 102 possessions per game. The Cavaliers have gone over the number in six of their 11 games and have gone over the mark in four of their six road games this season. Miami has seen the over hit in seven of their 11 games this season, including three of their five home games. The Heat stand first in the league in points per game, 10th in offensive efficiency and first in tempo with 105.6 possessions a game. We have two explosive offensive teams and saw 278 combined points Monday night. Even with all the missing pieces, look for this game to end up over the mark.
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